Cheers from Seattle,
I don't know how or where to look at graphs like that on a state level. At this point, I feel like it would be useful to be able to show the curves of the major international places and compare them to each state in the US as each state is on it's own curve, with unique exposure, length of time, testing access, stay at home measures in place, etc etc.... Have all states with X min cases on the graph along with S. Korea, Italy, China, Spain, UK, etc.
US total is an aggregate of so many locations at different points in their curve with different strategies, etc, to lump it all together is seems to be more like numbers porn than insightful data. We are just at the start of this thing from a national total level. I hope I'm wrong but this thing seems like it's going to balloon up in places as populations relax down the line.... I'm less interested in the US curve and much more interested in seeing what places are doing well here, with data, so that example can be copied or bettered.
I've seen such graphs before either here or on twitter but my google fu is weak. Is that something I could filter into somewhere? Specifically at the moment i'm curious about the comparisons between WA, MI, NY, LosAng, LA, FL, and Italy, Spain, UK, China, S.Korea.
Another note, am I wrong in thinking it would be nice for people to talk about the huge lag time from 'exposed, then contagious' to 'confirmed case' to 'confirmed case with death'...... this can be weeks sometimes, how useful is that!? not very. So we are all looking at data for cases confirmed NOW but these people have been out and about potentially a week. Not even accounting for the people that don't get sick enough to get tested by hospital, or the asymptomatic who never even know......THEN we are reacting with policy to those super delayed numbers after they post. We have been so far behind the pace of this for many reasons but I feel that is one not talked about enough. It's not political to say confirmed case now equals exposure and risk a week ago minimum. It's just a fact of the data we are working with. When trying to reinforce the idea that we all need to treat this seriously, I think this is an under utilized point. On the flip side, the news reacting to total case numbers or deaths each day like it's a shock..... that just isn't the point, we have known it's going to be exponential increases and there is a very real lag time from implementation of social distancing to change in curve..... To be impersonal about this for a moment, a death statistic +1 today is an exposure probably 2 to 3 weeks ago..... Acknowledge that and use it to scare people into staying the fuck home. I don't think I've seen that delay mentioned in a while and it's pretty crucial to understand the underlying mechanism of what the numbers mean at a given point.... right?
rambling over. hope this makes sense partially at least. We have some great beer up here and I am indulging. deuces.