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TheYoungHorn

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Everything posted by TheYoungHorn

  1. Yeah. Honestly, the safety would have been the better option in hindsight. They are up five, and starting on the other side of the field, if they stay conservative and vanilla, Texas might get the ball back down one score with a lot more time left. Not that Texas would have stopped them.
  2. Out coached at every turn
  3. That was the shittiest clock management I have ever seen. Are we even aware we are down two scores?
  4. The entire secondary is just watching the game happen in front of them. Safeties are getting abused Sent from my LG-H811 using Tapatalk
  5. To update the discussion earlier on computer models that account for recency/trends, this is from collegefootballpoll:
  6. No. I think his turnover factor is only influenced by sacks and, I believe, passes defended, which he claims are the only quantifiable factor in kept data that correlates to causing turnovers. But you might know better than me how he comes to that number
  7. He doesn't have the stones to follow through and face the wrath of his current opponent's on a daily basis.
  8. Exactly, there is no "trending" model that I know of baked into this particular model. Some of the other computer models do have that, for example the Cosgrove model at collegefootballpoll.com who is .544 ATS this year. And his model has Texas as -1.04 this weekend in Stillwater. For reference, his model also has Texas ranked at #12 (http://www.collegefootballpoll.com/rankings/)
  9. How are you performing this season while betting every single game? Predicting college football games is incredibly hard, and while the model is far from perfect, his five factors have done a good job of helping better predict who will win games based on the factors that determine successful football teams from publicly available box-score and play-by-play data. If he was any better at it, I doubt he would be publicly sharing the data with the whole world, as he would be busy using his black box to make a fortune in Vegas. Can we all just admit that Texas has played a lot of bad football this season even while winning almost all of their games, and that his system ranks all of those bad stretches and plays equally as the good football we have also played? We can disagree on if the bad stretches of limping to close results against bad teams is some super secret, MENSA-Jedi strategy to sandbag the S&P+ rankings so analytics-obsessed opponents will under rank Texas and Longhorn fans will have a new enemy to direct their hate toward, and not indicative of the team they are (or can be) as a result, but it's easy to see why this particular Texas team does so poorly in this rankings.
  10. Because people don't know how to read.
  11. Simon, as I think they are probably doing in other spots across the country is going to have to break up that space and look at specialty retail and other "entertainment" focused tenants.
  12. Of course this is how they are making money. Did any one think any different? The HFT pay a bit to get access to guaranteed money on every single transaction they facilitate. Which, in some ways might be better than you paying a brokerage house a per transaction fee for them also to "sell" your trade to a match-making HFT. Either way, there is someone faster than you, and they are going to skim a bit off (rent-seeking FTW).
  13. Or efficient. Or consistent.
  14. How is your model performing this season?
  15. It's fun that Texas is actually winning games so us fans can now join the complaining against computers debate again.
  16. Because the board continues to be a willing participant in enabling his fraud, making it legally speaking not fraud.
  17. As I said earlier, I do.
  18. Stopped in recently and they are now making their own flour and corn tortillas. Not sure how long this has been going on, but years ago when I ate lunch there once a week it was definitely not the case.
  19. Plus the massive golden parachute he will get in addition to pilfering from the shareholders all the real estate and brand equity.
  20. Because when you think about it, simpler is always better. Occam's razor, etc.
  21. 26 and 5 in Giblet's Veer and Shoot, even with these same guys on the offensive line would be fun to watch.
  22. Of course it would. Because he wouldn't have the benefit of light boxes, open space and an offensive line that excelled under a simpler and more direct system.
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