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Born to Run

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Posts posted by Born to Run

  1. 1 hour ago, C-Man said:

    All great books. I liked The Last Picture Show better than All the Pretty Horses.

    To this list, I'd add The Gay Place by Billy Lee Bramer. Strange Peaches is simply fantastic. I got a chance to meet Bud Shrake and Gary Cartwright at a cocktail hour while at UT. Bud signed my copy of Peaches.

    Great recs. Read Gay Place in undergrad (American Studies). Billy Lee has an interesting stories for sure.  His LBJ character is a riot and spot on.

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  2. 1 hour ago, Brisketexan said:

    Because it's all fake and imaginary....see below.

    So much this.

    And a dangerous amount of this.

    Valuation in the stock market shouldn't be materially different than any other "business valuation."  I've litigated multiple cases where the value of a closely held enterprise was at issue.  Valuation is almost always done as some function of a revenue or earnings multiplier, or a discounted cash flow, something like that.  Yes, there can be some adder in there for "good will" or reasonable future potential....but it shouldn't be THE source of value, because that's just fucking imaginary bullshit.

    So, not saying that every company on the stock exchange should be valued solely at a revenue multiplier or somesuch.....but when you have enterprises like DJT and Tesla where the massive valuation is completely decoupled from actual performance, it's fucking nonsense.

    Yes, anything is worth what people will pay for it (so, DJT stock has been "worth" what people would pay -- today, that's apparently $12.40), but when you see such a decoupling from all performance and fundamentals, that highlights the "meme stock" vulnerability of any stock market.  If enough buyers are delusional, they can boost the share price of "We sell baggies of rancid shit, Inc., but nobody has yet bought a single baggie, and nobody is likely to do so" to $1,000 per share.  In that respect, stocks share the same vulnerability of tulip bulbs, beanie babies, crypto, etc.  Sure, it's worth $1,000 because enough of you say so....but if enough of you stop saying so, then it craters, and there are no fundamentals behind it as a backstop.  If you're holding DJT when it craters to $.02 per share, you aren't going to be bailed out by a liquidation of its assets, or a dividend based on its annual profits.  There's nothing there.  Zero.  It's all smoke and hocus pocus.

    Counterpoint: We sell bags of shit Inc, offers discreet shipping anywhere,  anonymously, with a personalized note with every delivery.

    I've purchased two this week.

     

    One note said "Karma Motherfucker" and the other "fuck you."

     

    Worth every penny. Business is booming.

  3. 14 hours ago, pacman said:

    Those images are from an Etsy shop, but I am sure she sent that cease and desist herself lol

     

    We actually owe Trump a huge thank you. It used to be difficult to tell which suburban white women were crazy and which weren't.

    We always keyed in on the eyes but it was hard to tell.

    Now, Trump has made it easy as can be to identify the crazies and fewer of our tires have been slashed and cars keyed because of it.

    Good point.  The crazy lady that has put up 40 4x8 custom Maga signs throughout Lakeway might be a little off.

    The lady with the single Harris sign down the street is a much safer bet.

  4. 1 hour ago, Brisketexan said:

    I mean....yes it is.  It's just a very, very, very stupid, short-sighted, peak-leopards-eating-faces thing.

    My idiot painter would vote for Trump if he could.  I has to ask him to not wear Trump shit on my jobsites.  Trump would love to deport his ass. 

    The only issue I can see him aligning with Trump on is guns. Dude loves shooting his AR at the ranching.

    It's nuts.

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  5. 1 hour ago, Brisketexan said:

    By the way, this sort of thing is what Elmo actually has in mind when he discusses "crippling bureaucracy."  What he MEANS is: "any law or rule that doesn't let me do whatever I want, whenever and wherever I want."  That's it.

    See, other parties saying "hey Elmo, you can't use my land to stage your construction shit" is really an impediment to his genius plan, and the crippling laws that stand in his way must be struck down (well....they must be struck down as they apply to impede HIM.....as they apply to PROTECT his property, well, those laws have to be enforced - you don't want a lawless society, do you?!?!?)

    Elmo is the living embodiment of the "laws that protect but do not bind, vs. laws that bind but do not protect" modern "conservative" ethos.

    If we only had recent examples of unregulated industries harming people and are planet.  It's not like there are bays and rivers that it's still unsafe to consume from or anything right? 

  6. 6 hours ago, Laxtonto said:

     

    So all of a sudden we see a massive uptick in secondary and tertiary hops in the ammunition supply chain. What I am more curious about isnt the how/what they are targeting but the "why".

    This is a major change in tactics and a much more visible approach than targeting long-range aircraft and various rail hubs.  If we are looking at this strategically then, what does this do that is different that their prior approaches? Is Ukraine trying to bleed out the front-line troops of ammo to essentially starve off the current counterattacks in Kursk? Are we seeing a preemptive strike to look to limit the Russian stockpiles before winter to keep them from using the cruise missiles to target power infrastructure this winter?  Are they trying to force Russia to be reactive and move their supply depots farther east? Is this more of a psychological set of targets to now sow fear in the Russian populace overall?

    Generally, when you look to cripple major hubs in the supply chain, the point is to create downstream disruptions to then force scarcity within the combat units to degrade their combat effectiveness. The problem with this approach is that it is time dependent. At some point, the enemy creates a workaround for those shortages. The other obvious reasoning is that these are targets that Ukraine just now has the ability to attack and they have decided to hit their highest value targets with this new weaponry while Russia has not yet developed a sufficient counter or changed their directives regarding munitions handling and storage. Some targets are just too juicy to pass up and when you have the means to reach them you do.

    So, my learned scholars, what does this mean? What is the goal here? With us still being in autumn in Ukraine, does the time dependent nature of this have any larger meaning?

    They have been systemically probing Russias defensive capabilities and striking where they can. They have taken out a shit load of air defense. It appears it's worked and they are able to strike more targets deeper into Russia with a variety of craft.

     

    My understanding is that you cannot defend against various drones; rockets; bombs, missles etc with just one system. It's gotten more complicated with new technology. This favors Ukraine,of course as they are nimble, smart and adapt to the conditions in the field.

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  7. 3 hours ago, SydneyCarton said:

    lol. Biden stepping down voluntarily is a coup but changing the electoral structure of your state’s votes 7 weeks from the election is totally normal. 
     

    I swear to god if we get all 3 chambers at any point of the next presidency, pack the court, make dc and PR states, fuck the filibuster, and enact a new voter rights act that outlaws gerrymandering and implements ranked choice voting, and overturn citizens united. 

    it’ll take a generation for the shrieking to subside, but it will eventually and we’ll be better for it. 

    They are going shriek hysterically anyway, might as well give them something significant to bitch about besides tan suits.

     

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  8. 38 minutes ago, Bookman said:

    I’m visiting my father and have watched about 15 minutes of Fox News. I’ve learned that housing costs are the fault of illegal immigrants, Kamala’s policies as VP are the cause of all your problems, this country is being overrun with illegal immigrants who are ruining your life, this country has a huge problem with illegal immigrants, and flip-flopping Kamala’s open borders policy is ruining your life and causing all your problems.

    Not at you, but

    Go hire a painter or plumber in Austin right now. Then consider prices when Trump deports everybody. Then consider his tarrif policy. Our economy would be a smoldering clusterfuck and all these "serious" bastards are completely clueless about it.

    GOP policy only works as grievance. If they actually implement anything it's a real dog catches car moment.  Like Dobbs.  They need to run on deporting people; but if they actually do it they are fucked. 

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  9. 2 hours ago, Chuckie Finster said:

    One part of this whole thing that has gone woefully under-discussed is the fact that there were never any rumors of Haitians eating dogs before the debate!  It was, and has been, only cats.

    DONALD TRUMP WAS SO EXCITED TO TALK ABOUT THIS STORY THAT HE BLURTED OUT THE WRONG ANIMAL.  MOTHERFUCKER HAD A 50/50 CHANCE AT NAMING THE CORRECT COMMON HOUSEHOLD PET AND BLEW IT!

    Blew it like a dog!

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  10. 4 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

    The entire GQP is of the "ready, fire, aim!" school of thought.  Dumbest fuckers around.

    Oh, and when you find yourself singing in flawless, perfect harmony with FUCKING NAZIS, you should probably stop singing.  

    There is no distinction or daylight between the GQP and its supporters and fucking nazis.  None.  Zero.  If you support Trumpism, you support nazis.  Godwin's law has been repealed.  Godwin himself said so.  So, fuck off, you nazis.  My grandfather shot you in the fucking face with an M-1 carbine.  Because you fucking deserved it.  You did then, and you do now.  So choose a different path: stop being fucking nazis, you fucking assholes.

    The worst part is they label those trying to do the right and decent thing as enemies of the state, communist etc and millions of people believe it.

    We like shit talk Russians for getting duped by denazification bullshit.

    We the people aren't any better.

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  11. 27 minutes ago, cmontexas said:

    UPS drivers are also skewed towards being rural people. Kinda like senators; Mineral Wells gets 3-4 drivers every day because of the miles involved in servicing the territory. Downtown Fort Worth only has 3-4 drivers despite a much higher population (maybe less now that Sasha Bass has run everyone off).

    Drivers also tend to live on their routes and in small towns like Sulphur Springs or Palestine, driving for UPS is one of the only jobs left that an uneducated small town dipshit can show up and make 100,000 a year while going home and seeing his family every night. We know how those guys vote

    Wait UPS drivers make 100k, have benefits, fresh air and exercise and sex up lonely wimenz?  My UT career counselor has some explaining to do.

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