choripan

I don't think this is fair. I think GM's super cruise was like $4k at the time. FSD was $8k and arguably more capable, but more dangerous. Arbitrarily and out of my ass, let's say FSD was worth $5k at that time. His point is that, as I follow it, beyond that Level 2+ functionality at the time, he took the gamble and bought an option for the incremental $3k cost that FSD would turn out to be what was promised by Musk. That was a reasonable gamble, IMO, especially because many didn't know at the time that cameras would hit a wall -- which, however unlikely (very!), it's still possible they could pull a rabbit out of their hats -- and because Tesla, at the time, had positioned themselves as market leader.

I will say, though, that for as much of a huckster barker as Elon is -- sorry you subsidized his company by springing for the FSD. Not sarcastic or dickish, but a genuine "sorry dude" -- I am thankful that he and his company have spurred more serious players into action in the EV and AV space.

I can see where you're coming from. That said, my wife is *in* autonomous tech and EV. She sits on the board of and advises a few startups and the M-City initiative at the University of Michigan (pretty cool, if you want to click-through: https://mcity.umich.edu/). I am her test audience before she goes and speaks at conferences -- this includes South By a few years ago, shout out to Austin -- or publishes papers or whatever, so I have that spousal "you have to know about this shit because your wife is tits deep in it" thing going on. In any case, the consensus in the industry is that there were two paths that companies took a few years ago. Tesla's path was, more or less, a bet on cameras. This was cheap and quick to deploy, and allowed them to jump out to a head start. Consider that you can get a 1080p backup cam for like $20 on Amazon; imagine buying at scale. Anyway, consistent with Elon's patterns, he marketed the hell out of this, including the "vision" you mentioned above. However, it appears to be bearing out that a system founded upon cameras is easy to quickly build up to Level 2 or 2+, but then you hit a wall. This is why Tesla is no longer seriously advancing and is flailing to put together a new hardware stack in hopes that it can move the ball forward. It is unlikely that Tesla will ever reach Level 4 or 5 with its current approach and the consensus is that Tesla is too committed/down the path of to its current approach to pivot and recreate the software side for a more fulsome system. The majority of the industry uses some combination of cameras, radar, lidar, etc. At first, many companies were well behind Tesla because of some combination of cost (prohibitive to deploy enough sensitive) and the software side (integrating the various sensor systems. Now, the cost of the hardware is plummeting (example: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-25/lidar-sensor-price-plunge-leads-to-orders-from-gm-volkswagen). Also, the physical size of a lot of these systems is shrinking and they're becoming easier to integrate. I wish I had my wife's slide deck showing the change, with the pic of the lidar from a few years back that looks like an old school police siren on top of the car to the little sensors that are coming online now. Anyway, between decreasing hardware costs and increasing hardware availability for the various sensor systems, and realizing the gains from all the investment that has gone into integrating multiple systems for higher-level automation, other players are now leap-frogging Tesla. This is why you see that MB just got their Level 3 approved and GM's Level 3 successor to Super Cruise is coming soon, why Ford's Blue Cruise is considered a leader now, etc. Trying to think of a good analogy, but maybe it's like a sprinter racing a distance runner over a half-marathon. Tesla jumped out to a big lead but, with its camera-based approach, is not equipped for the long run. Meanwhile, the majority of the industry has been plugging along, saw Tesla jump out to a big lead the first 100 or 200 meters, but is now passing it.

You MFer. I was so excited to post this!

Anyone spend significant time in CDMX during the rainy season? Looking to see just how bad it is. The internet is everywhere from "deluge from 2pm-8pm every day" to "kinda like Florida with afternoon showers, but otherwise it's good." For context, we are heading somewhere once my daughter's school year is over in early June and coming back late August in time to get settled before school starts back up. Last year, we did Madrid with various side trips. This year, we're looking at CDMX vs. Barcelona or Tarragona. Been to CDMX twice, both times in the Condesa/Roma area. With two young kids, we may be looking Polanco this time. Kids are fluent, having been in 100% immersion since 12mo. old each, and I'm B2 and my wife is B1 in Spanish, so not too worried about getting around, even if we miss a subtlety here or there. Bigly wanting to do CDMX because of savings and time zone (remote work for me during the days, and the Madrid time difference was rough last year), but don't want to be rained out basically every evening after work for us and daycare for the kids.

How do I turn the subtitties off on the video? I'm, uh, working on learning Russian.

I don't quite agree. No doubt, if he has the Rivian, his time is more than the $200 that he will get out of you, so if he's a spiteful MFer, spite him right back. Presuming there was no damage to your vehicle, and there is a police report on file, before I pay it I would either (i) ensure that, because you only want to use the most trustworthy provider, you will only pay for provided it goes to a reputable body shop that reports to CarFax and AutoCheck or (ii) report it to your insurance, so he has to take it to an insurance-approved body shop (which probably reports), but just rescind the claim and pay out of pocket when the deductible issue comes up because it will likely be less than your deductible, so your premium doesn't go up depending on how insurance works in your state. The goal here is to diminish the value of his vehicle in the future by having an "accident" on record with CarFax/Autocheck, no matter how minor it is in reality.

So stupid like it used to be with Saban or Urban (not that Harbaugh is on his level). NFL types put out info to try and spin the situation in the light most favorable to the NFL/teams. Now that Harbaugh has an agent instead of repping himself, his agent is playing the game, too.

Agreed re America's A cities vs Euros and the HUGE gap after, say, NY/Chi/Phil/SF/(Mia?)/Bos?). But that road tripping / out west romanticism is some white people shit. I say this as a white guy that had the best summer of my youth as a 16yo traipsing around Montana with a new driver license -- try leaving major metro areas as a nonwhite and, especially, a black person, and there ain't nothing romantic about it. Best case scenario is stares and the weight of otherness. Had my mind blown by this road tripping twice between Chicago and Austin with my (black) brother in law.

One more thrust and that's a penalty on Jamaal Williams

Not full goon, but fun to see nonetheless. (backstory: https://www.detroitnews.com/story/sports/nfl/lions/2022/12/20/detroit-lions-penei-sewell-breaks-down-viral-fans-bass-blocking-form/69745708007/)

I'm a Michigan alum and it's not particularly close. Shoe > Michigan stadium. We can rock sometimes, but not just about always like them. Stadium shape plays a role, too.

Trending up for both Michigan RBs....

Almost every fanbase is like 95% cool people you'd like to hang and knock back a few beers with, and 5% goons. Ohio State is the inverse. Go Blue!

Seven MSU players charged by the prosecutor:

Add in Michigan (10) and Northwestern (13) I think that makes a majority of the hallowed "Top 14" law schools that have opted out now.

Happy birthday to some of the proudest MFers I've ever met, and an especially happy bday to the marines this soldier drank with a bunch of times after training at MCAS Futenma.

I got my day started with morning nookie, kaszanka and eggs, [cloak room stuff], AND the Russians fleeing Kherson... damn near tears of joy over here! Now give those fuckers some ATACMS.

Michigan fan here. Will be pulling hard for y'all because (i) chaos helps ups our chances to get in as a one-loss team if lose a game to Illinois or OSU and (ii) would be nice to see Ewers develop like Burrow and have OSU people talking about what could have been again.

Never did Twitter due to how hard it is to follow, but have FB and Insta. I'm thinking not ever going in on Twitter is going to be like when I skipped over MySpace and was fine. TikTok TBD.

Last night, on Sunday night football, I saw Stefon Diggs -- alone, without any Bills teammates around him and with his helmet off -- jawing with the Packers CBs coming out of the tunnel. Made me think: "Gee, he sure deserves to be beaten with helmets."

No. That's shaggy[bovine].

Q: Visionary or Fraud? A: C U Next Tuesday.

I can assure you it's more likely than not that many of them brought their makeup to the field. Source: Am 1/2 Polish and 1/4 Ukranian.