FSU no longer has the factor in place that kept them out - only four teams. At 12 they get in. So they don't have that reason for jumping ship anymore. The bigger reason, for them or any other school, is the $$$ disparity between the conferences. In this constantly evolving landscape, there are now two major conferences and two lesser conferences - based on the revenue from TV contracts, which tracks the relative media market value of the schools. The reality is that each school has a certain, fairly known, value to networks. Above a certain line and your athletic department has a chance to be profitable and you get an equal share to all the other big boys. The money disparity will eventually have a large effect on competitiveness. So, if you aren't in one of the two big conferences making the most money, eventually you won't be able to compete. The wild west of NIL isn't going to last much longer. Eventually the schools will be paying the players; the schools with the most money will be able to pay the players more and the disparity will grow even greater. I foresee the BIG and SEC becoming like the AFC and NFC, if you will. Their "merger" in whatever form it takes, will effectively create a new league, which could replace the NCAA for football if they wanted. They would hold all the cards. They could make their own rules. Call it The College Football Champions League (brought to you by AT&T). There are 32 teams in the two major conferences now. I could see 40-48 making the cut. The remaining will be relegated to the NCAA and compete at whatever highest level the NCAA offers.