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Thetexashammer

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Thetexashammer

  1. What makes you think we would have developed herd immunity in the next month or so?
  2. They'll get their test. They just need to bring their military ID, their vaccination record, their dd-214s (all of them), their 2173, an approved DTS travel authorization, and a memo from the company commander authorizing the test. Then they will be placed on the waiting list and notified by military email when a test becomes available.
  3. There was something I read where they said if everyone wore a mask in public, it would provide near perfect prevention. Basically, there are public health policies which need to be undertaken to prevent transmission. But I'm not sure there is a plan. This wasn't planned for. I'm not huge on "new hospitals", but more ICU's and vent beds will go a long way. I also think they get a vaccine sooner than later, but not in time before we have to release from quarantine obviously. There was a second, larger spike in the fall after the Spanish Flu first happened. I think that is what we should expect here. At least, until someone figures out how to stop it. If you expect that we avoided restricting access to ICU beds I think you are mistaken.
  4. I understand perfectly. I am saying that all we did was shift it to the right. Have we established herd immunity? How is the virus less dangerous in six weeks as compared to now? The US has 4,661 people infected. Even if it's 466,100, that still leaves 99% of the population to infect. You didn't flatten anything.
  5. So now that we're "in it", is there a plan to get "out of it"? If we quarantine for six weeks, then people start starving and we have to release everyone, it won't have flattened the curve at all, just delayed it and added in a financial disaster on top of the pandemic. In other words, now that we've tanked the economy, did we gain anything?
  6. You do know what a "daily" ETF is, right? It's not something you hold as a long term investment. https://www.etf.com/etf-education-center/etf-basics/leveraged-and-inverse-etfs-why-2x-is-not-the-2x-you-think
  7. If there is ever a real apocalypse, Greenpoint will get taken out early. He's literally playing the role of Bill Paxton in Aliens.
  8. For reference, there have been 74 official deaths in the US, 42 of them in Washington State.
  9. He also describes at 48 seconds Manila being in a state of "calamity". Is that true? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GIMXekRVnHo
  10. Deaths appear to have peaked on Sunday. I believe it went from 369 to 348, doing it from memory not doublechecking. So I can't say exactly the number of days since lockdown, there were two "lockdowns", the second one being the full deal, and the lockdown was different and earlier in Lombardy, where most of the deaths and stress on hospital resources have occurred.
  11. I'll leave it to the experts, I'm not an expert on the FDA and their procedures. But my best guess is that you are wrong. The FDA did not design their immunization protocols with the goal of mitigating a global crisis that would entirely shut down society. Do you have any reason to believe that they did?
  12. The virus itself is a single stranded RNA virus with 30k base pairs. It was sequenced in January. https://www.wsj.com/articles/new-virus-discovered-by-chinese-scientists-investigating-pneumonia-outbreak-11578485668?mod=article_inline As an aside, here's a quote from that article, which was published 8 JAN. Caveat fucking emptor. Phase I trials are supposed to be (more or less) safety only, not efficacy. However, the trial was scheduled to begin in April, and it's begun already. So it's moving faster than expected. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/16/when-will-a-coronavirus-covid-19-vaccine-be-ready-human-trials-global-immunisation I don't know why you make a bacteria produce the protein rather than just injecting it, but whatever, that's not a new technology. Bottom line, it will generate an antibody mediated immune response and immunologic memory.
  13. While they are talking about more than a year to approve it, I think over time they will realize that they can loosen the safety protocols. It's a government bureaucracy, it's not flexible but over time and given a complete breakdown in society they will be forced to take more risk that they are normally comfortable with. I think I have an reasonably informed opinion and I am optimistic they can come up with something in a faster time frame, like before the expected fall resurgence. Herd immunity doesn't require 100% population immunity to be effective, just a good majority of the population.
  14. Debuting at No 41 on iTunes - REM's brand new song (that no one's ever heard of) called "It's The End Of The World As We Know It". https://www.cnet.com/news/coronavirus-has-r-e-m-s-its-the-end-of-the-world-as-we-know-it-climbing-charts/
  15. I'm able to go running here. People are exercising and walking dogs. It's pretty common. I'm not bothering to bring my "permit" as I don't think there are enough police around. I see them in the city center, and there may be checkpoints on major roads, but they're not around the rest of the city.
  16. On a not unrelated note, I recently discovered that the age of consent in Italy is 14, also known as 8th grade.
  17. True enough. UK just quarantined although they're not closing schools yet. Italy seems to have peaked.
  18. Maybe I'm a lunatic, but I just want to get it. I'm not in the risk group, and I'd just rather quarantine and move on.
  19. He's making decisions on a rolling basis. He's having trouble standing up to the restaurant lobbyists though.
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