Thetexashammer

Almost two years ago, the guy I was sitting next to got tasked to go to DC to participate in the planning for Ukraine's summer offensive. That was our plan they executed last summer, and it didn't work. We provided them all a metric shitton of equipment, tanks, 155mm artillery, missiles, more than enough to engage in what we call, by doctrine, combined arms operations. We sent their people to our bases, where they were given training on our equipment. Lastly, we developed the war plan that they were expected to implement. We supplied all of their logistical needs. We provided everything you could need to win a battle. The result of their efforts was the Ukraine got beat. They were unable to retake any territory. We can look back in retrospect and talk about air supremacy and drones and whatnot, but Ukraine has nothing to show for everything that we gave them. They are not, by any measurable metric, winning the war. In the present scenario, there is exactly zero reason to believe they can win. Attrition is not in their favor. Most of what you posted above is hope, not reality. Improving their defense, Patriot missiles or otherwise, will not win the war, merely prolong it. They need a dramatic increase in the resources available to fight the war, and they need it soon. I asked the question and I will ask it again. Show me the tactical path to victory. How will a depleted, borderline elderly, and outmanned Ukrainian army engage in offensive operations and destroy the Russian army in its territory? BREAK BREAK What I am in favor of is cutting off Russia from SWIFT. I support much stronger sanctions on Russia and Russian companies. I am favor of giving Ukraine much more powerful missiles IOT destroy the Kerch Bridge permanently. We should end the ability of Russians to freely travel outside of their country. I am in favor of an international tribunal similar to Nuremburg at which we can convict as many Russians as possible for their crimes. What I'd like to see is Poland send its army into Ukraine, as well as the Baltics and France. A bigger key would be sending their support people. Meaning maintenance and logistics. Establish ano fly zone over Ukraine and kill everything that moves. Probably, that would help a little. But alone it would not win the war. More likely, the Polish, Baltics, French, and maybe the US will need to start actively killing Russians, if the standard is to expel the Russians from Ukraine, including Crimea, a goal which I support. Of course we need to send much better weapons to the Ukrainians, not just artillery shells and F-16s. AC-130s maybe? Under no conditions should Putin be allowed to win this, or to appear to have won, or in any way defeated the West.

I already said I disagree with the position. I merely said it has merit. It has been clear from the beginning the Putin is evil, I need not expound on that. Please show me, in simple steps, how Ukraine can win the war. They are currently engaged in a war of attrition with a much larger, much more populous country. Attrition is a battle of resources, and Ukraine is at or near its limit, with its chief constraint being fighting men. Currently, the AVERAGE ago of a front line fighter is 43 years old. They've lost almost half their population since the war started. They have been losing territory for the last 18 months. Please show me your plan for Ukraine to defeat the much larger Russian war machine. I'd love to see it. And then please share it with the Pentagon, they seem to lack your highly attuned tactical military expertise.

I wasn't making it about you. I would also like add, if you aren't getting shot at, you aren't in the fight.

Economic conditions are well known. And they are not bad. Your loss of subscribers is due to something else.

I disagree with the Republican stance, but the argument that "Ukraine can't win and extending the war is resulting in needless slaughter" is not without merit. However, some of you people have been listening the QAnon a little too much. Your conspiracy theories and both insane and posted to the wrong forum.

I am not sure CU is at the level of "locking down" anything. Maybe just target a winning record first.

Have you ever had a $40 million bonus? It's pretty awesome.

1. Israel recently opened two new ports of entry for humanitarian aid. Obviously there was no strategic decision to starve 2 million Gazans. Anyone claiming this is experiencing hallucinations. 2. If you live in southern Israel, you are required to have a bomb shelter in your building. When Hamas launches missiles (toward civilian populations), an alert is sounded and you have 30 seconds to get to you and your loved ones into the shelter. This has been going on for decades. Most people probably remember the scene is Zero Dark Thirty where the CIA is meeting with an informant at a base in Afghanistan. For five miles in every direction around the base, there is nothing but desert. This is called "standoff". It is a safety perimeter that secures the lives of the people living on the base. What Israel requires is a safety perimeter for its civilian population so that they are not constantly being bombarded with missiles. I see no reason anyone should be subject to a small but constant stream of missile attacks as a permanent condition of existing. Frankly this should never have been acceptable. This went on for decades prior to the war, so these missiles were mostly sourced in Iran and brought in via tunnels built from construction materials Israel allowed into Gaza. Gaza was an open air prison prior to the war. Given what Hamas did, I can't think it's going to be anything but far worse in Gaza than it was before. I don't think Israel will let in much more than some food and medicine, certainly not construction materials which will allow for the creation of tunnels and rearming of Hamas. As far as Israel continuing to provide electricity to the Strip, I am also skeptical. Possibly some water. Support for the Gazans from Israel will be extremely limited. The Gazans are going to live in conditions I wouldn't wish on anyone, with no prospect of ever having decent lives and the constant threat of being killed.

I'm still angry they preempted my Rockets playoff game for the idiotic car chase. Total bullshit.

Your concern for my prostate is touching.

Hezbollah.

With Sabermetrics you could see that the traditional stats had underlying limitations, and Sabermetrics obviously improved on that. The stats above look like somebody went to a lot of effort. But I NEVER find that stuff convincing. I like the PFF grading but have no way to evaluate its accuracy. Still, CJ averaged 4.8 per carry, and Blue averaged 6.1 CJ averaged 6.5 per reception, Blue 9.6. So he looks like a slightly better runner and a better receiver than CJ. But who knows. Play them both. Ipso facto, res ispa loquitor, veni vidi vici, fortis fortuna adiuvat we're gonna kick ass.

So most people here outside of Lenny understand that an individual data point is not information. I am interested in the signal not the noise. Efficient market theory says you can't time the market. Mostly true, but you can be a little smarter. You can see trends. So for example, I think this is four in a row that came in above expectations. Of course my thesis is that this is driven by money printing. Said money printing has started to move up at a rate that is totally out of control. We've reached the steep part of the curve. Jamie Dimon discussed this recently: Every asset class is going to be affected. We've mostly got over the idiots saying "it can't happen here", so it's a much more rational discussion. Almost certainly the disaster hits within five years, possibly sooner. It really depends on when we go into recession. Deficits >12% during economic expansion are unheard of in our history. The government is borrowing almost 50% of what it is spending NOW, before the recession. Financial repression is a thing, everyone will sell their bonds and get out of the dollar when they realize what we've done. What Raoul Pal said about "we are all debt slaves" was really powerful. Pal's Bitcoin argument has some holes, for example I am not seeing a flood of money into BTC today, but regardless, I am positioning the portfolio to benefit from the inevitable. It seems like the money printing is finally driving prices up. I mean, I was a decade early and all, but here we are. It's not an argument I wanted to win. I blame mostly the 535 ladies and gentlemen of Congress. I hope they all get uncurable leprosy.

You're too dumb engage with but you are a unique kind of message board hemlock. At least you understand you are highly regarded, that's about all one can expect.

I don't speak for others, but I reject nihilism. Can't say for sure that's what you are selling.

Dick Dowling middle School?

Do they call holding in the SEC? Then we should do great.

FIFY, good sir. While I correctly assessed that Michael Burry was early, fiscal accountability is indeed nigh. Gird thy loins.

Aer you talking about the fastest running back in college football? Cause that's who I think you are talking about. Shades of Jamaal Charles. Speed power and vision. He will create touchdowns from nothing.

I can live with a "genocide" that doesn't involve killing anyone. In fact, it involves a whole lot less killing and war. Peace, you even might call it. But you hate that LOL. The palestinians are human beings. They need to move to a place where they can be citizens and get on with their lives. Being dominated by Hamas, living in Gaza, it offers them nothing.

Again, the permanent solution is to remove the Palestinians to outside of missile range of the Israelis. We all want that, even you I hope.

I have almost zero situational awareness of what's happening on the ground. I welcome more information on all of that. To be fair, it's a war zone, it's a little tense.

When your population doubles in 20 years, it's hard to understand a claim of genocide. As for you statement that all of Israel want them gone, of course. So do I. So should you. The only actual solution to the problem is to put physical distance between the two groups. Meaning, Israel need to be outside of Hamas missile range. A desire for peace does not equal genocide. Get back to me when Israel shuts down food shipments and you will have my 100% support.

In this post, you state the following: You are, to be kind, experiencing hallucinations. Israel said no such thing. If Israel is targeting civilians, I will advocate for the US to withdraw its support and for a war crimes tribunal to be established, similar to Nuremburg. As we did with Milosevic and his ilk, and we should do to Putin and his cronies and his whole fucking country, they should be tried and executed for war crimes. The issue is, Israel doesn't target civilians. You stated they "plainly" confessed to the crime. No they didn't. The end. It's not worth discussing. It's no different than you stating that Israel has made a strategic decision to starve them out. But they are working with Egypt, the US, and many NGO to bring tens of thousands of tons of food into Gaza. Your argument make no sense. If they do that, I will condemn them. But they are not doing that. There are literally teenagers fighting for their lives, I absolutely get that they shoot first and pick up the pieces later. No soldier is a philosopher king, possessed of perfect knowledge and able to execute the morally perfect tactical maneuver. It's not a movie or a video game. I am going to donate $500 to WCK, they deserve it. LOL you just repeated you hallucinatory claim. Do you have a link to their confession?