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Thetexashammer

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Thetexashammer

  1. He dun.
  2. I've had the sniffles pretty consistently for about a week. I'm starting to think it's the C virus. I think early estimates of R0 were significantly lower than actual.
  3. I was assuming that Italians would not comply with the closure of restaurants after 6pm. Most restaurants don't even open until after 6. And Italians are famously, how do I say this gently, laid back about rules and shit. Anyway I went into the pizza place, which had the lights on so I knew it was open. It doesn't normally open until 6:30 according to Google. They were takeaway only. No seating. Seems like a reasonable accomodation. Bad news is, lots of family owned businesses are gonna suffer pretty badly. 168 reported dead today here.
  4. I don't disagree, but the issue is that it was an overtly provocative statement. The idiot posted the tweet, which is fine. He then proceed to say "That's actively downplaying the pandemic and advocating literally doing nothing about it." Which is factually inaccurate and a product of the idiot's trump derangement syndrome. I support idiots revealing themselves, so it doesn't bother me. But not everyone has restraint, and this bullshit needs to be eliminated. The idiot needs to be banned for deliberately posting political bullshit. There's a thread for that, it's in the cloaca room.
  5. I may go ahead and book an international trip in August. I doubt prices will get any better. Getting eurodelivery.
  6. So? His tweet appears to be entirely accurate, yes?
  7. No, they don't have the assets for that. Period. China has PLA soldiers running around spying on everyone. Italy has the carabinieri, and they aren't really enforcing anything anyway. I would go through the numbers for how many active duty there are, how many are deployable, where they're located, etc. I could point to the number of roads in and out of a place like Houston. I could discuss posse commitatus. But for a million reasons, you are simply wrong. It's certainly not anything to do with corporate america for the love of all that is holy you are insane.
  8. It's almost like my permanently skeptical perspective of the media is even more useful during times like this. Seriously, it's like an in vino veritas thing. The stress placed upon our media is going to make their flaws even more obvious. Twittter will be even shittier. Even their most vigorous media defenders will have to notice how ridiculous they've become. Please note i didn't save "liberal media". They're all in the same Acela corridor, corporate bullshit, cultural bubble. Fox just has hotter women, excluding Katy Tur of course.
  9. It's worse than that. I can't look at the prices, but junk bonds were already in bubble territory. Corporates are likely just as inflated, including many that will simply not pay their principal back at all. When the recession finally hits, all hell is gonna break loose. I mean, at some point, the magic bubble blowing Fed machine just stops working, cash flows just dry up.
  10. All of Italy on lockdown now. Basically the entire country is restricted to "mission essential" travel now. Apparently the trains and airports are still open, FWIW, even in places like Milan. Exactly like we thought it would end up. Everybody gets to stay home for a month or two. I've spent weeks stuffed into in a cramped fucking hotel room before and it's no fucking good at all. Internet or no, I can't stay like that for long.
  11. If you find yourself alone, riding in the green fields with the sun on your face, do not be troubled. For you are in Elysium, and you're already dead! Also, no offense bro, but I'm in northern Italy. They're literlly putting boxes in every other chair to keep people 1 meter apart. I think I win this one.
  12. Literally, I would tell people "well there really isn't any of the apocalypse scenrios that could happen. I mean, except for that virus thing." It's like after 9/11 everybody said "who could possibly have seen this coming" and some guy who writes fiction pipes up and says "Yeah, well, I wrote this book over here about this exact scenario." It was totally predictable.
  13. Team #twominuteshate has a real desire to watch people suffer and die.
  14. You can't even confirm their actual population to the nearest 100 million. It's not a like a few funeral pyres are gonna move the needle for them. They're on a mission from God /bluesbrothers
  15. You can't even confirm their actual population to the nearest 100 million. It's not a like a few funeral pyres are gonna move the needle for them. They're on a mission from God /bluesbrothers
  16. It's a billion dollars. The ECB shits a solid billion before breakfast.
  17. Wall Street used to worship what we would call "quants". These PhD's would promise the universe, and very frequently, they delivered. Until they didn't. Because, from time to time, the underlying assumptions behind their models would be violated. It's something the rest of us like to call the "real world". You can model stuff and draw conclusions, but ultimately, your results must match the real world. And in this case, what we see a lot of are superspreaders. People who, to take one obvious example, might work as a flight attendant. Or a roving home health specialist. Whatever. The model isn't as robust as one might think, and we don't have time to test all of this out. Second issue. If you restrict everyone more or less to their home for a period of time, fine. You've slowed the virus. You better have that vaccine ready, or else a month or two later when you let everyone out of their cages, and they commence to drinking and fucking and all those things humans do, the disease comes back in a massive way. The goal here is herd immunity.
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