Everything posted by Tuco
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Love this. Clean jabs. So confident.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
But to be fair, there is no reason for the Democrats to be pushing a different version. The perception of a close race not only increases the chances of beating Trump, it helps down ballot, builds a warchest, and brings new voters out for future elections. (Also, it lines the pockets of the political machine, but maybe that's a little more cynical than I want to focus on.) I have a legitimate fear that I may be misreading America and Trump really has a 50/50 shot of winning. I am sure the Harris campaign shares that uncertainty. They don't want to say anything that drives complacency. They aren't commissioning Dem friendly pollsters. They aren't releasing internal polling (except in races that no one thought the Dems had a shot.). They aren't working the media to drive confidence. I feel like it's the beginning of the pandemic when the CDC said not to worry about masks. It was bullshit, but it was necessary to get those masks to healthcare workers. I think Dems are complicit in pushing bullshit for the greater good. I'm okay with that, even if it wrecks my nerves. Or maybe the race really is close.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Yep. I have been a democrat my whole life. But I am not hoping for the death of the Republican Party. I am hoping for the return to sanity. Politics without competition between two, reasonable, competent people is not good for anyone. I may never vote for a Republican, but I want to have that choice.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
"grover" isn't right, but something like that
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Well, the ones that survive grade school.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
"they couldn't get me, because I said 'peacefully and patriotically.'" Fucking knockoff mobster.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
They do that every year. Maybe this year they have more resources and it has been more effective, but following up with AV and VBM is standard. I think they even get data on which ones have been returned.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
They also were trying to spin up all new gear, using union shops, while hundreds of other candidates had earlier orders. Still frustrating.
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2024 Senate Elections
If he wins, future donations. If he loses, it’s a loss. Also, there is a lot of fundraising that happens in the last 2-4 weeks that is difficult to effectively use. Loaning yourself the money helps utilize the expected funds. So, his loan may be less by Election Day.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I had a friend from Florida who said Nebraskan racism was worse than Deep South racism because Nebraskan racism had stealth technology.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I'm confirmed as well. See you there.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I'm betting he has one of those in his freezer.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I would have loved to see a pivot to crypto. He thinks that losing the dollar as a reserve currency is like losing a war, but he is going to push an alternative because he can make a buck off of it.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I also doubt he played tight end. It wasn't really a position until the 50s, and I doubt you would have seen it much at the high school level. It is also unlikely there were many players lifting weights. My stepdad played for the Cornhuskers in the early 50s and weightlifting was prohibited for fear of making the players "muscle bound." So yeah, all of that is just bullshit he invented on the spot based on what he understand about football today.
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2024 Senate Elections
It would be so nice to see Fischer lose.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Cool. I am all about getting Trump unscripted on any neutral media available.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
They get the same number of votes as Nobel Prize winners. Should any campaign ignore idiots?
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Do you want a transcript of his statement? Cuz all I’m finding is FoxNews sources. And context of a sentence like that would be pretty important.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
For me we have two major data points for Trump presidential elections: 2016 and 2020. In those events, we have three main variables: Trump, Dem Candidate, and the public. I think 2024 is the worst version of Trump. Not only is he personally deteriorated, his campaign is garbage. In the past two elections, the GOP attachment brought some competent logistics. That seems lacking today. He had women advising him. Ivanka is sitting this one out. Kelly Anne Conway is a minor character in this chapter. And I think that has made a difference in how he talks about women. Just techbro incel nonsense now. I think the Harris campaign is the best version of a Dem campaign I have seen. It’s not just Harris, although she is good. KamalaHQ, the dynamic DNC, etc. My big concern is America. If Trump wins, it will demonstrate a real rapid decline over the last 8 years.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Right now, I am thinking there is a 30% chance Trump wins a close one, 30% chance Harris wins a close one, and 40% chance Harris wins in a blowout. I have decided to follow this election closely, despite knowing how crushed I will be if Trump wins. I figure I was already crushed a few months ago after watching the Biden debate. Worst case scenario is I got an extra 4 months of hope before 4 years of distraction and despair. Best case scenario is I get to watch America turn the page on this stupid, ugly chapter. This is Midway, and I can’t stop watching now.
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2024 Senate Elections
That means 50R/49D/1I - assuming Allred or Tester doesn't pull it out, correct?
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
So he tells Californian Republicans that he is going to withhold money for fighting forest fires, and they cheer?
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I was going to put up some other contenders. Then I watched the 45 minute speech. Yeah, he's the best speaker of our generation.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Spit it out.
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2024 Senate Elections
And frankly, there aren’t a lot of up and coming Dems that are itching to get hammered in a statewide race. In 2020, none of the three primary candidates had previously held elected office. This year, there are actually two Senate races and the Dems put up Preston Love against billionaire asshole Pete Ricketts. Preston is a local civil rights activist; good guy, he takes high schoolers to the Deep South on civil rights history tours. But he knows he has no shot. It’s not a race worth even mentioning. It’s hard to even find information on it. At best, it’s a race that helps with Gotv in North Omaha. At worst, it drives Republicans to the polls. So, it’s pretty easy for Dems in Nebraska to concede the race and hope an Independent fills the void. I think in Texas, the right candidate has a shot against Cruz. So recruiting a Dem isn’t as hard.