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Tuco

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Everything posted by Tuco

  1. They just want more press conferences like this. It's good for the ratings.
  2. Not only do you have to deal with the blowback from different turnout expectations, you have to completely revamp your campaign approach. All those commercials you made and have been running with the focus on Trump vs. Biden - they are poison now. They need to switch it up to local politics.
  3. And, it takes like one tweet from Biden to completely destroy the attack. Of course, there is no reason to dissuade Trump from fixating on it at this point.
  4. Yes, to both of those. She needs a defense and citing that Trump killed a border bill (twice, if you include when he was President) is an excellent defense. Another way to look at it would be to say that Dems (Kamala voters) are roughly split down the middle on the bill, which is why it's a wedge issue. And a slight majority opposed making it easier to deport migrants and making it harder to get asylum. The other two items which weren't asked: 1. "Continue to build the wall for which funds were previously budgeted". The bill would have required Biden to continue to build the wall/fence which had previously been budgeted. That's a pretty big symbolic fuck-you to immigrant advocates. 2. "Provide legislative protections for DACA Dreamers?" or "Provide a path to citizenship for DACA Dreamers?" - That was a major Democratic goal that was completely ignored in the bill. That's the thing you trade some of the other shit for.
  5. I was the guy who said she needs to be careful with immigration, that it is a wedge issue, and therefore adopting Biden's "toughest" policy as the centerpiece of her campaign would be a mistake. It makes sense that she was addressing the issue with targeted internet ads rather than widespread TV buys. But, holy shit, a tech bro put numbers, and colors, and noticed it was an effective attack on the Dems. I take back everything I said. She should really do everything she can to make sure this wedge issue is what the election is decided on.
  6. Donating 16% of your net worth is impressive. Of course, she’d have to donate to a PAC. Individuals have a max level ($2600?) they can give to a campaign. Might be worth fact checking this one. If Biles is that onboard, I would probably ask her to join a few of the rallies - bring out the suburban moms with kids.
  7. Walz went to Chadron? Talk about humble beginnings.
  8. I'm pretty sure that Musk will still be insanely wealthy with a devoted following of techbros and angry virgins regardless of what happens to Trump.
  9. Sure, I get the intention. But Musk is also the guy who regularly gets pissy in earning calls, insults investors and causes the value of his company to drop. He is not stable. And Trump isn't great at not offending people. I think Musk is looking to build a political machine beyond Trump, beyond 2024. He wants to use Trump, but if shit starts going sideways, he'll call Trump an idiot.
  10. This has trainwreck written all over it. It's a coin flip on whether Musk turns on Trump mid-interview. It Trump's world, people are either for him or against him. Friendly outlets like FoxNews and Newsmax are going to do their best to carry him through an interview. But Musk is just a nutter with a ego that rivals Trump.
  11. I'm originally from Nebraska, but lived in Minneapolis for a year. In Nebraska, you have the snow/melt cycles. In Minny, it's like you say. So, for Nebraska winters, you stay inside and work around the cold/snow for decent weather to get outside. In Minneapolis, they just plan on playing in the snow - cross-country skiing, snowmobiling, ice fishing - even weekly parades downtown in bitch ass cold weather. It seems to work for them. My boss told me to head out a couple hours early a couple of times because of the weather. (And it took 3 hours to get home.) But, if it was that bad, there was no way I was going to go in on a heavy snow day.
  12. I have no idea if Walz will help with uneducated whites. I do know that anyone who is comparing presidential cycles vs. non-presidential cycles is pretty suspect. And why aren't they including 2018, which was Walz's first election as governor?
  13. I think the lack of a primary or incumbent adds to it. The field was wide open.
  14. Also worth mentioning that there were plenty of bullets and bloodshed. Just not from Gandhi.
  15. A girl’s got to have standards.
  16. That clip works on so many levels. Everybody behind him seems like they’d rather be anywhere else. It highlights that a well-known Republican woman in the state will not endorse him. And, of course, the grievance/whining politics. I know I’ve underestimated his appeal before (and overestimated the public) but damn this is a train wreck campaign.
  17. If he was Christian and had taken a hardline on anti-Israel protests? Yeah, I think I’d have a bigger issue with him. For me, worst case scenario with Shapiro: he gets the nod, anti-Israel protests at the convention get much worse than they’d be without him, media can’t stop talking about Chicago ‘68, and Dems get painted with the chaos, lose any of the “normal vs weird” mojo they built. Best case scenario for me is he takes a stronger line against Israel, and it’s one of those Nixon/China things were his past stances helps with a controversial policy. That’s not just because he’s Jewish, but it doesn’t hurt. Edit: fuck, quoted wrong post on tapa.
  18. Trump offers up a debate, but on fox instead of abc.
  19. Right now, I think if it's not him, then the campaign made a misstep by keeping him around this long. If the Israel issue was going to be a disqualifier, then they should cut him early on. Not picking him will be more conspicuous to pro-Israel and Jewish voters. Although, I do think it was interesting that the UAW leader said Walz and Beshear I would have thought Shapiro would be a favorite of the unions.
  20. That's a good deal. I'd take that deal. But Kamala gets to carve a swastika into his forehead.
  21. I think the interview was the longest, continuous clip of Trump I have seen in at least four years, maybe six or seven years. It's tough to do. It's like this weird visceral disgust combined with boredom. He is just, so fucking boring. It would be worse if he wasn't such a weird dumbshit, more boring I mean. The limited vocabulary, the pointless tangents and flashbacks, the repetition, the fucking droning. Without his idiocy, he's basically Uncle Colm. So, been a while since I've watched his schtick. Was he leaning into Jan 6th that much at the convention? I mean, that wasn't just him not being responsible. That was him saying it wasn't a big deal and that that security shot the chick "for just protesting." That was him blaming cops for letting the protestors in. I mean, I though the public was consistently against the J6 as just protest. That seems like a huge liability if he is going to push that.
  22. Agreed. The Republicans want to defend Trump's statements for not being racist. As Democrats, we see that argument, know it's horrible logic, are confident we can win the argument, and then engage. The problem is America already knows Trump is racist. They don't really have the attention span or interest in that argument. Some of them bemoan "political correctness" over whether it is racist. But "weird" isn't a logical argument. It's just observation. It's quick and clean, and pretty self-evident. And then surrogates can move on to pardoning J6 cop-beaters. They can move on to pardons/immunity for the Deputy who murdered Sonya Massey.
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