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Tuco

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Everything posted by Tuco

  1. I believe Florida doesn’t start counting them until the polls close, because they are attention whores.
  2. 4) The majority of their net worth was in their house, which is now worth a fraction of it did before the plant closed. For folks that are of working age, they have to move because they need to find a job. But for the old folks, they ain't going anywhere. They couldn't afford to even if they wanted to. With all of all my complaints about small town/rural folks, I can see why a "Make America Great Again" slogan is effective. The world has gotten better. The US has gotten better. For many of them, their town has gotten worse. It doesn't forgive the racism and stupidity that is wrapped up with being a Trump fan, but I can understand why his message resonates. I think it also provides some solace when they are told that the US as a whole, particularly the big cities, are in decline. It makes them feel better about their place in the world.
  3. Yeah, she's pretty cool. She is also generous with her time by being joining other candidates for their fundraisers. I got to sit in on one with her and Kara Eastman (NE-2). Smart and funny, and no fucks given.
  4. Sure. And rents are dropping now because of COVID. A small town can go to shit as soon as "the plant" closes.
  5. No, she can't find a safe place to live in Chicago for 1200 per month. That's because there are ton of people who love the city who are willing to spend a lot of money to live there, unless it's in a dangerous neighborhood. The fact that Chicago is cool as fuck is part of what drives that dynamic. Yes, homicides are up in 2020, after declining the three years prior. Yes, there are dangerous parts of the city. But so many hicks think that is what defines the city. It doesn't. I had a conversation with some dude who used to live in Seattle and was telling me about the city was imploding, just absolutely falling to pieces. He went on for likely twenty minutes on it. I then asked him if the rents were dropping. "Uh...no." Then it ain't fucking crumbling.
  6. I think one of the more effective things that social media propaganda has done is to convince people in rural America that cities are post-apocalyptic outposts of crime and sin. They really believe that Chicago is some cautionary tale of despair. Hell, they believe Omaha is frightening.
  7. Nah. Trump would come out and just throwing shit. Proof of UraniumOne conspiring with Hunter. Maybe some advanced QAnon theories that no one has thought of. Anything to change the conversation.
  8. It's about where I was expecting for Biden. For a couple of sanity checks on the sample. 420 respondents, MOE +/- 5.3% Same sample has Eastman trailing Bacon by 2 points. That's almost exactly where they ended up in 2018. I expect Eastman to do better this time around, because she has been working it since the loss in 2018, its a presidential cycle, and she is much better funded. But Bacon is also more established and funded. The last section indicates 2016 voting pattern: 39% Trump, 35% Clinton, 10% other, 14% didn't vote. In 2016, it went 48/46 Trump. So, the sample is slightly more Trump heavy, and definitely more "other" heavy, than what happened in the District. One advantage Biden has with Eastman running is turnout. She is a progressive, and is pushing M4A. Progressive/socialists aren't staying home in NE-2. Maybe they will write in Bernie or Warren, but they are showing up.
  9. No way. He would attach that article as part of a professional portfolio.
  10. I'm guessing they documented how campaign dollars were converted to Trump Org dollars. Illegally. That's the only thing that makes sense to me for Parscale. And it ties into the Trump Org financial issues.
  11. 1. He donates the salary. Maybe. 2. He makes money on things. The problem is that he has losses that overwhelm any income. The 750 per year was window dressing. He actually deferred losses so he could say that he made money. If he was playing it straight, he would have paid zero both those years.
  12. Foreign policy? He had a struggling business which would be severely impacted by how seriously people took the COVID-19. Hotels and resorts depend on travel. His financial viability was affected by what people believe about COVID. He didn't want to cause panic.
  13. As I am sure this clip will be used to attack Harris's blackness, are most 55 year old black people into rap? Hell, I'm just glad she didn't say Beastie Boys.
  14. Andrew Le Grone. "Who?", you might ask. He is a Nebraska state senator from a small town/suburb outside of Omaha. He was appointed by our piece of shit governor, who was previously mentioned on this list. Last weekend, he sent out a flyer attacking his opponent, Jen Day. But he is such a fucking moron that he outsourced his campaign to other morons in Florida, and they used a picture of one her volunteers in the flyer. (This woman is also one of my wife's friends, and she doesn't need this shit.) Le Grone couldn't even muster an apology for attacking the wrong person, nor did he warn anyone that another set of flyers with Brooklynne's picture was coming out a couple of days later. He's an incompetent moron, appointed to a legislative position because of his political connections instead of any of his own merit. He can fuck off. link
  15. Judaism has been reclassified as a nationality per Trump's executive order.
  16. It's pretty funny that the "get mitch" donation gives money to 12 Dems, but doesn't include McGrath. I just matched your donation.
  17. I think one of things it does is highlights wealth inequality in the country. A billionaire can come in and pay off the legal debts of 32,000 people, without putting dent in his wealth.
  18. The rules have changed since 2018? FWIW, I think the SC appointment helps Lindsey. He's running behind Trump in the state, so I assume people would look at him more favorable if he was more like Trump. Being a duplicitous fuck is more like Trump. It should turn some of those split tickets into straight party votes.
  19. I'm going of what the county attorney stated when he initially chose to not press charges, but haven't read the statute itself.
  20. But this the truly fucked up thing: if I understand the self-defense statute correctly, it wouldn't matter. The criteria is whether he believed his life was in danger. It is not whether that perception was justified. In that scenario, mental illness and racism could be used to support the defense, rather than the prosecution. The law needs to be revised. The way it is currently written, there is considerable overlap between what the shooter perceives and what is justifiable, which allows for considerable space for innocent people getting killed without any legal repercussions.
  21. I imagine it varies from state to state. In Nebraska, they are there to observe for irregularities. They are not allowed to "electioneer" (wear political gear, hold political signs, or talk politics), They are not allowed to get within 8 feet of the voter books (so they can't read who has voted). I think there are ways they could jam up the voting speed, by challenging if folks are allowed to vote. Anyone can make that challenge, but the voter still votes, the challenge is just reviewed before it is counted. But, according to my poll worker training, challenges are very rare. I'm guessing the biggest thing they are looking for is that the end of lines are established right at the poll close time.
  22. The bar owner, Jake Gardner, killed himself rather than turning himself in. Not the resolution I was expecting, but a resolution none the less.
  23. Today's assignment: work in "I think it's a smelt" into a casual conversation.
  24. So far, Trump has been fairly competent on the Supreme Court nomination. But I keep waiting for him to Trump it up. Most likely way is that he will vocalize some obvious extortion to the religious right: support me, donate to me, or I will nominate a liberal. Most hysterical way would be that he nominates someone the right wingers like, and then, after losing the election and before the nominee can be confirmed, he pulls the nomination out of spite.
  25. Did you think he was saying Ohio would remain undecided in the final tally?
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