If that's accurate, Nov 5th should be a very good night for the Democrats.
1. 2024 NE-2 is not the same district as 2020 NE-2. It was redrawn after the 2020 census by the Republican Unicameral. It wasn't the worse gerrymandering, but my recollection is that it was a maybe 2-3 point shift right. They cut out some of the southern parts of the metro (older city, more diverse) with rural and growing satellite towns (new suburb, very pale). If Harris is running ahead of Biden, she is absolutely rocking the old split.
2. That's important beyond just the 1 EV. I think NE-2 is a pretty good proxy for Suburbia USA. It's a city and all, but not that dense, not that expensive, fairly well educated, and sprawling residential/burbs for a good chunk of it. It has had a woman mayor, a Republican, for several years, so maybe more open to voting for a women. But it's also pretty Catholic, so maybe more pro-life than your typical purple district.