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The Dog

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by The Dog

  1. The Dog
  2. The Dog
    You ask someone who has received a ballot whether or not they have mailed it in. The secretary of state offices have lists of registered voters and in those states with only mail you know who will receive a ballot.
  3. The Dog
    I'm assuming these are national numbers of those who have already voted.
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    It's not appearing on the embedded tweet but it's the gender gap - or the lack of one:
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    That and the crosstabs are fucky. Greater margin among men for Harris than for women? That's not happening. anyway there's this:
  8. The Dog
    What the fuck?
  9. The Dog
    and it's significant because Trump/GOP had been making inroads with that demographic. they just blew it all up.
  10. The Dog
    except we're seeing pretty significant gaps between local and national races in the polls so far. Trump is outrunning the local candidates by 5-10 points in several places. Some of it is this: But it still doesn't make much sense.
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  15. The Dog
    This. I'd also add that whatever information they consume is whitewashed/sanitized - even in the more mainstream outlets.
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  17. The Dog
    I think people are anchoring to 2020 too much. That said, I've been thinking NV goes red regardless.
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  19. The Dog
    Oops
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    NE-1 and NE-2 specifically.
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  25. The Dog
    Emma Hayes won women's coach of the year.

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