The Dog

would explain why the GOP pushed so hard for a last minute "winner take all" change in NE.

https://www.tampabay.com/news/2024/09/26/florida-live-cameras-watch-hurricane-helene-landfall-videos/ Live feeds from various beaches in Florida.

Either they are giving up on Tester, think Allred has a shot, or they have "fuck you money" and can do whatever they want. IMHO a combination of all three.

Full article on substack: https://thecycle.substack.com/p/the-gops-2024-achilles-heel ETA tl;dr - The Trumps eliminated the GOP's very effective in-person field organization and outsourced it to Elon Musk and Charlie Kirk's organizations while the Democrats have built a massive 50-state field organization:

NO NO NO WE WANT THEM TO STAY IN THE DARK!

If the Canes don't absolutely crush the Hokies then we'll know they are a fraud.

The problem wasn't the local Democrats in 2016 - it was all Hillary's campaign and their arrogance. The local parties in Michigan and Wisconsin were sounding the alarm bells and Hillary's campaign ignored them. Then election night happened.

guy on reddit bragging about making 60 grand US shorting DJT (and some weed stocks):

RNC hasn't given to the GOP's campaign arm all cycle.

and what's worse is they are the ones saying Texas isn't in play which depresses their own turnout.

Agreed, but the problem with Texas is the size - you have to know where to spend and focus in order to get the maximum benefit and turnout. Democrats and Republicans have spent YEARS researching and placing targeted ads/offices in specific counties in swing states like Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Georgia. They would need to do the same with Texas which has more large cities than any potential swing state. So you are looking at targeting demographic groups in 5 of the 12 most populous cities in America - Houston, Dallas, San Antonio, Austin, and Fort Worth. That's not even including El Paso which is on the other side of the state - and El Paso is bigger than Detroit, Las Vegas, and Milwaukee (the MSAs are bigger but the cities themselves are smaller). It can be done but requires a large investment in time, money, personnel, and infrastructure. It's the kind of thing that needs to be built up over several years. They at least have an idea where to spend in Florida due to its history as a swing state.

I think we just peeled back the curtain on how they are skimming the GOP coffers. Good bet that Trump is doing the same - paying himself for speaking at his "rallies" and calling them "speaking engagements." This. She just wants Kamala down there to help her against Scott. IMHO this is also about making Trump spend money in Florida - which is supposed to be a "Safe R" state for this cycle.

He committed to us the second he got an offer. UH was clearly his safety school and he was going to "flip" if he got something better. Kind of different from flipping guys from Oregon, LSU, etc.

IIRC this is from when she got banned from Twitter.