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The Dog

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by The Dog

  1. The Dog
    In other news - Marist poll of Pennsylvania dropping tonight.
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    OH LOOKIE THERE'S ONE!
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    ELECTION INTERFERENCE!
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    Black turnout isn't dropping with a black candidate at the top of the ticket. C'mon Dave.
  13. The Dog
    Harris being at or above 50 is what to look out for. If she can consistently poll there then she should be in great shape. Keep in mind the polling errors the last two elections have been exclusively in determining Trump's support rather than his opponents. It's also notoriously difficult to poll. However, the same rules apply - pretty accurate for the Democrat and difficult for determining Trump support.
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    He tagged the Southeastern Conference's account:
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    USMNT 2024

    The Dog replied to Captain Ron's topic in Futbol

  23. The Dog
    Guess this goes here. Cal has been trolling the shit out of Florida State prior to their game:
  24. The Dog
    for those who want to go down that rabbit hole: National Popular Vote Interstate Compact
  25. The Dog
    I think calling them "quiet" Trump supporters isn't accurate. They are "unreliable" - meaning that they only vote when Trump is on the ballot and stay home otherwise. These are people who have been missed in likely voter screens. Siena is trying to account for this by including those who just say "I'm voting for Trump f off" and hang up. They used to exclude those but now include them in their polling. The Dobbs effect is real, but like you I wonder what impact the "Trump only" voters showing up will have. I don't think these people help GOP down-ballot races because these people vote for Trump and that's it.

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