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The Dog

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by The Dog

  1. The Dog
    Susan Collins so the Democrats can steal a senate seat.
  2. The Dog
    and that's why I like RCP better is because they just "add it to the pile." they may include polls that are dubious but they don't modify them in any way like Silver does. if you feel the need to mess with the result then don't bother including it!
  3. The Dog
    True, but they are literally the difference between CU being competitive and not winning a single game.
  4. The Dog

    USMNT 2024

    The Dog replied to Captain Ron's topic in Futbol

  5. The Dog
  6. The Dog
    There's no way Deion sticks around after this year. That team is total ass without Shadeur and Hunter.
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  9. The Dog
    Everyone's clowning on the idiots who are trying to make this a thing.
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  11. The Dog
    (Huckabee's post is from 2018...)
  12. The Dog
    They've put the poor Pitchbot guy out of business.
  13. The Dog
    It's because he's relying almost entirely on the transfer portal. He's had 95 guys transfer there in two years.
  14. The Dog
    I'm seeing more than a few of the latter in the wild. They're saying that they'll leave the top line blank then vote straight red. As to the former - this group is overwhelmingly "low information" voters - remember that Trump's favorables are POSITIVE with "disengaged" voters. MAGA is primarily from this group. Fox/Newsmax/OAN are working overtime to keep them in the dark about how shitty Trump is and how badly he's flailing. The problem with polling right now is that it's missing new registrations. IMHO that's why polling has been so off lately - in 2016 Trump brought in a bunch of disengaged voters. Recently it's been in the opposite direction thanks to Dobbs. We're seeing spikes in new registrations right now and those people won't be polled this cycle simply because they won't be on any voter lists - much less be included in any "likely" voter model. That could skew things either way depending on how these people intend to vote.
  15. The Dog
    CU had one of the worst run defenses in the nation last year. If they can't stop the run then it won't matter what Shadeur does.
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  17. The Dog
    Williamson is Exhibit A of how with just a tiny bit of effort the TDP could flip a historically red county blue for the foreseeable future. I don't know how this all works on a local level, but I do know how things have been trending at the top of the ticket since we moved here in '07. I've included a couple of previous elections just to show how red this county was up until recently:
  18. The Dog
    squirrel (david) has been talking about this being a trap. now the Russians are wondering why their advance has been so easy:
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  20. The Dog
    crosstabs: https://www.scribd.com/document/763520245/StPetePolls-2024-CD-13-GEN-August27-Q7JXA2#from_embed This is for the FL-13 poll.
  21. The Dog
    The Bolts' road trips: Jacksonville would easily be the top road warriors (> 30,000 miles) but the NFL showed mercy and they play their London games back to back.
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