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Snake Diggity

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Everything posted by Snake Diggity

  1. 2023-2024 avg fWAR vs 2025 vs 2026 projection (FGDC): Diaz 2.7 : 1.6 : 2.5 Walker 3.5 : 1.1 : 1.6 Altuve 4.0 : 2.1 : 2.8 Pena 2.7 : 5.7 : 3.8 Paredes 3.8 : 2.5 : 1.9 Correa 3.0 : 2.6 : 3.6 Meyers 1.5 : 2.3 : 1.3 Alvarez 4.3 : 0.5 : 5.0 Of their top 8 position players, 5 of them are projected to outperform 2025, and 6 of them should be expected to outperform 2025 if they revert to their 2023-2024 mean. Those 8 guys currently project to be 4 wins better than last season combined, and that’s with Paredes and Meyers ceding a lot of playing time to lesser players. Yordan is one of the 10 best hitters in baseball. No team can plan around missing a guy like that for a big chunk of the season. Dodgers ain’t winning shit without Ohtani, Blue Jays aren’t in the WS without Vlad. 2025 was fucked because the Astros lost the one guy (Alvarez) they couldn’t afford to lose, and the problem was exacerbated by other guys getting hurt and/or not performing.
  2. I do think that by July Houston’s SP could be dramatically improved with internal options. I’m really high on Blubaugh, Pecko, and Brito, but there’s another half dozen guys I’m not that high on that a lot of other people really like: Ullola, Nezuh, Tredwell, Hicks, Mayer, Santos. Houston hasn’t had this kind of upper level minors pitching depth in a few years.
  3. Houston could’ve gotten it done but the equivalent would have been Spencer Arrighetti and Ethan Pecko. I wouldn’t have liked that for Houston, especially considering it would have left them with less than $10M in payroll flexibility still looking for another SP, a backup C, and potentially a LH bat and 7th inning RP.
  4. Pretty even trade, probably good for both sides. Cards ate $20M but get back a graduated fringe top 100 SP prospect and a SP prospect who was top 5 in Boston’s system. Sox get a rental ToR and only have to pay him $20M, but gave up 2 good young pitching prospects.
  5. That goes both ways. Using war to evaluate any given player is just as fallible as using prospect grades to evaluate prospects, so evaluating trades in the moment is always extremely subjective. But I don’t know what your intention was in tagging me, alluding to the idea that prioritizing maintaining a healthy farm system runs contrary to winning. It doesn’t. Teams that don’t prioritize the farm might have a stretch of winning, but the only guarantee is that they won’t be winning much longer.
  6. I absolutley agree with you but I’m doing a very shitty job preparing. I’m in professional services consulting/project mgmt and I can’t really envision a scenario where there isn’t a 50%+ reduction in total jobs in that sector within 8 years. So I know I’m max 2-5 years away from a very likely axe but feel paralyzed on what to do, because I’m worried effort spent upskilling will be in vain (like I will spend a bunch of resources learning some shit only to find out it became obsolete) and a total career transition in my late 40s feels impossible. At this point I’m resigned to riding my current gig out as long as I can and hoping I can quickly figure it out once it ends. It’s really really hard to look into the medium term future and see where the good jobs will be.
  7. Yeah prospects have no value and teams with the mentality that the farm system can be bludgeoned and ignored usually win a lot.
  8. Going to be interesting. Far too many unknowns. If (significant “if”) Trump doesn’t run for a 3rd term, the GOP nominee will be either Rubio or Eyeliner. Especially if it’s Rubio, that makes it even tougher for the Dems to win with an establishment moderate like Newsome or Beshear. I think people are hungry for a dynamic/anti-establishment (straight white male) candidate. I don’t see that player on the roster, but I suppose one could emerge.
  9. Hard to envision who that could be. Al Franken?
  10. This is the way. Anyone not responding like this is missing the mark.
  11. Stearns has not been nearly as good in NY as I expected. Bringing in a 35 year old 2B coming off a terrible season and paying him $75M?! Bad idea jeans.
  12. Usually once you get southeast of Gonzales there’s a steady flow of maga signs all the way to the coast. One ranch just north of Cuero has always had a huge Trump flag out on hwy 183. Wasn’t there yesterday. Like I said it’s the first time in almost a decade that I haven’t seen a single sign on that trip. Not reading too much into it and I’m sure I’ll see some fucking Paxton signs starting next year. And I haven’t been to the speedy stop in POC yet, that’s usually the hive mind of the poorly educated and the purest pool of maga in the world.
  13. Anecdotal observation: for the first time since at least 2017, I did not see a single Trump/MAGA sign on the drive from Austin to Port O’Connor.
  14. This is like in that movie Deep Impact when the Sec of Treasury resigns abruptly because he knows about the pending Extinction Level Event.
  15. Not bad. I’d want NY to toss in some money or throw in a prospect but it’s close enough in value and it makes sense for both sides.
  16. It’s 11+ months until midterms and 3+ years until the next presidential election. This is not bad for Democrats but the risk of the trough of Trump’s approval coming too soon is very real. It boggles my mind that after how the last decade has gone there is anyone left who is willingly stating “oh yea this is it, Trump’s finished.” That fucking piece of excrement isn’t finished until he’s all the way under the ground and his grave is soaked with my urine. And even then there will need to be a lot of care to make sure the remaining roaches don’t start a new infestation.
  17. This was not a good trade but the Astros are desperate for payroll flexibility, having $80M committed this season to Walker, Hader, McCullers, and Javier. I just really hope they don’t trade Jake Meyers for nothing. He’s not making even as much as Dubon will and he’s worth far more. If they trade him it needs to be for a meaningful prospect or for a pitcher who will make a major contribution to the 2026 team.
  18. Hunter Brown. Or Correa.
  19. Holy shit. GOP leadership wanting things to go back to normal. You motherfuckers.
  20. Yeah you totally lost me on Alvarez “has never put it together”. wtf? He finished 3rd in the MVP voting in 2022. He has 3 seasons of 4+ fwar, as a DH. He is inarguably one of the 10 best hitters in the world over the last 7 seasons. The reason I said the next 9 months will define Dana Brown is because I agree with you that the Astros are teetering between becoming a dumpster fire and returning to the kind of success they had from 2015-2024. They have a competitive roster but a below average farm. They have an inefficient payroll but no contracts >$20M/yr after 2028. What the GM does this offseason will determine if the Astros are able to have one more meaningful season during Altuve’s career. How he does in the next draft will determine if the farm is able to start producing again and give them hope of being good after the current core is gone.
  21. Trump doesn’t actually care about loyalty. He cares about using people to get what he wants. A loser candidate is not useful to him.
  22. I don’t think it is at all a foregone conclusion that Trump will endorse Paxton. He will only do that if Paxton is able to improve his polling; Trump will not risk endorsing a GOP candidate who loses a Senate seat in Texas.
  23. I told them they are fucking up with their follow up requests for additional money. Very annoying and stupid to continuously bug your donors for more money before you’ve taken another step in the campaign. I could understand doing another round right before and right after the primary then of course leading up to the election. But they should have a FIRM rule that they do not ask anyone for money within 90 days of their last donation. And if there is some kind of emergency where they are desperate for funds, the request should come from a human being (preferably the candidate himself) in person, not a fucking deluge of texts/emails.
  24. What exactly is your beef with Talarico that you’re going out of your way to trash him in comments? He’s a great candidate, so unless you’re a maga troll fuckface, or can articulate a legitimate reason to be against him, these kind of comments are not helpful.
  25. Can you imagine the public reaction if Barack Obama had snapped at a female reporter “quiet, piggy”? He would literally have been killed.
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