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Snake Diggity

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Everything posted by Snake Diggity

  1. Not trying to derail OP’s thread, but his post is part of a lot of anecdotal and statistical evidence I’ve seen over the last couple of years that right now is a pretty bad time to be a 45-65 year old worker. I think elements of that are true at all times but if you look at current demographic data it makes even more sense these days. The Boomers are hanging around and have a lot of the good jobs and there are a shitload of Millenials who now have good experience and are finally motivated to move up the ladder, so Gen X’ers (people aged 45-60) are getting squeezed. I think that will change in 5-10 years as most Boomers are forced to retire and their jobs open up and the generations coming behind the Millenials are smaller and smaller. (AI/automation could fuck that up and take away a lot of jobs.) I don’t have good advice for OP since he’s older and in a different situation to any I’ve ever been in, but if I were giving advice, I’d agree with almost everyone else here: figure out your marriage first, then figure out your career. In terms of career, I’d say if your heart isn’t in continuing on your business, I bet you’ll be able to find a job in construction management of some kind, but you’ll have to have pretty low expectations; it always takes longer to find something and it’s never as good a job as you hoped for when you started looking.
  2. “Trump is going to flee to a non-extradition country” is the Dem nut bar equivalent of MAGA’s “Kamala performed a coup on Biden to circumvent the electoral process”. Trump ain’t going nowhere. The most significant consequence of his behavior that he will actually possibly experience is losing the election(s). He will not go to prison. He will not flee the country. He will keep whining and grifting like he has for 5 decades. He just won’t be the (only) face of the GOP.
  3. I don’t think this will help Allred. It wouldn’t surprise me if Cruz saw his lead eroding and asked to debate. Cruz is a soulless scumbag but he’s not stupid or senile so debating against someone like Allred is unlikely to hurt him.
  4. Yeah if Harris wins NC but loses PA…that seems implausible to me.
  5. Harris winning Michigan and Pennsylvania means Trump has to win all 4 of Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, and North Carolina to get to 270. Interesting to me that there aren’t too many plausible scenarios where Nevada is the difference maker.
  6. Our country’s biggest problem is that most people think our issues are rooted around race, gender, or ideology, when it’s really about rich vs poor and urban vs rural. I am sensitive to issues of gender and race inequality but I truly believe a lot of the bandwidth those topics get is really just a ploy by rich people to get poor people to focus on something other than how much they’re getting fucked over by rich people. The rural vs urban thing is more logical. Rural people don’t engage in society in the same way urban people, so it’s reasonable that they’d have very different views on how government should be run. Liberals/Dems do a very poor job marketing their ideas to rural people; this is one area where I think Walz’s VP selection was great.
  7. In the analogy, the scoreboard is blurry as fuck. Some people think the Dems are up 10, some think they’re up 3, others think it’s tied.
  8. Using a football analogy, the Dems are up by 10 pts midway through the 3rd quarter, and they have the ball. Barring key injuries or a defensive collapse, they will win the game. But the game is far from over.
  9. Is “assassination attempt on man who attempted to overturn a free and fair election and continually attempts to undermine democracy” a surprising or even negative headline? The bigger surprise is that there weren’t more publicly known attempts from 2016-2023. Trump made a comment that Harris’s and Biden’s rhetoric are causing people to try to kill him. But if their rhetoric is the truth, how can you blame them?
  10. If a candidate wins the popular vote by more than 5 points and loses the electoral college, there should be a full scale revolt.
  11. 7 weeks to go, key dates for things that could change the outcome: 9/17: Fed meets on Sep 17-18; their announcement about rate changes could have dramatic impact on the stock market and sentiment toward Harris. 9/20: Early voting begins; exit polling and other insights might start showing up. 10/1: VP debate; for now it looks quite likely that Walz/Harris will receive another bump, but a major snafu could erode their momentum. 10/4: Sept jobs report released 10/10: Sept inflation report released 11/5: Election Day Unscheduled or unknown events that could change things: Assassinations and assassination attempts Health problems for either candidate or their running mates Scandals (affairs, etc.) Developments in Ukraine/Israel wars Significant stories involving illegal immigrants I think there’s more downside for Trump in the unknowns than for Harris. I think Trump is more likely to get killed, have healthy problems, or have a scandal. Harris is more vulnerable to negative outcomes related to stories on the economy, Ukraine/Israel, and immigration, but I think it’s limited. I don’t think the majority of Americans actually would prefer Trump to handle something like the aftermath of Putin firing off a nuke, or Iran escalating with the Israelies. Interestingly, it doesn’t look like the actual crimes that Trump has been indicted for are going to have any material impact on the election; that’s insane to me.
  12. Gotta admit, Donald Trump is all class.
  13. DaSentence Bosworth Absolut Verdict Maxamoose Richards Tactical Booty-Jones Buh-bye Terrence Abdullahad
  14. Our system was not meant to withstand the pressures of Trumpism.
  15. I do have to say that when Trump said “It’s like ‘Run, Spot. Run.’” I laughed my ass off. It’s the first time that piece of egomaniacal shit has ever made me legitimately laugh.
  16. 8 more weeks of him in the spotlight and us having to worry about him, followed by 12 weeks of him trying to overturn the election (assuming he loses). So we have at minimum another 20 weeks of having that piece of shit at the center of American politics.
  17. Did Biden or his social media address Trump’s claim that Biden hates Kamala Harris?
  18. Nah. None of the people she will mobilize to vote were watching the debate or paying any attention to the news of the day. They were watching The Eras Tour on Disney+. And right this minute they’re registering to vote.
  19. God bless Taylor Swift. Quite possibly an American Hero.
  20. Well we didn’t get him saying the N word and he didn’t go catatonic, but otherwise that could not possibly have gone better for Harris. Her closing speech was excellent. She’s up to the task.
  21. Yeah but that’s like millions of people.
  22. She’s clearly been trained not to call attention to Trump interrupting and getting additional time. As frustrating as it is to see Trump bully his way to the last word, I think Harris is making the right move there.
  23. Sadly, the election is close enough that tonight’s debate could be a determining factor. Trump’s winning strategy: his advantage is that the bar for his performance is extremely low. Winning for him means clearing that low bar (I.e. don’t pull a McConnell freeze moment and don’t say the n word) while hoping Kamala doesn’t clear her much high bar (or goading her into doing something that turns off moderates/never-Trumpers/swing voters, or quells her base’s energy). Harris’ winning strategy: her advantage is that she is clearly the more qualified candidate and has all of the momentum. She needs to use the opportunity to highlight that disparity between her and Trump while destroying any notion that she is an extremist. Her message needs to be one of stability, moderation, and hope. Any progressive ideas need to be presented as complete common sense and highlight that any objection to them is evil/wierd. She must avoid misspeaking or losing her train of thought at any point. A Rick Perry “oops” moment would be fucked.
  24. I’ve wondered about this. For one thing, if a rural/suburban wife in a swing/red state wants to vote Kamala, you know she’s “silent” otherwise her hubbie will beat that ass.
  25. I’m not sure how my wife is juggling 2 families but I’m certain we married the same person.
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