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Snake Diggity

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Everything posted by Snake Diggity

  1. My final update: USA: Harris +6 NM Harris +5 MI Harris +4 PA Harris +4 WI Harris +2 NC Harris +2 GA Harris +1 AZ Harris +1 NV Trump +0 FL Trump +3 TX Trump +4 OH Trump +4 IA Trump +4 AK Trump +4 Nowhere else will be within 5. Senate will be 49D-51R with Murkowski and Collins sharing the Manchin role. Cruz +3. House will be 220 D - 215 R. We will be surprised how little violence there will be prior to the inauguration. We are getting expanded Medicare and people will get money for childcare. Ukraine will survive long enough to settle back to 2014 borders. Putin will be dead within 3 years. Israel will relax. Inflation will continue to be above 2.5%; that is the new normal for awhile. Bitcoin price will tank. Trump will continue to be involved in politics but only as a hired gun to juice turnout in rural areas in close elections and as a talking head on TV, and of course, on constant tour continuing to grift; he will die at age 87.
  2. Had a friend make an insightful comment this weekend. I don’t know if Harris is going to win convincingly, but if she does it will align with his comment: ”The United States and its people are always slower to move than they should be, but they end up doing the right thing. They ended slavery far later than they should have. But they did it, eventually. They entered both world wars later than they should have, but they did it, eventually. Trumpism should have been snuffed out in its infancy. It wasn’t, but it will be, eventually.”
  3. Election is in 4 business days. I’ll be sofa king glad when this shit is over.
  4. Another csb , Just got a reply from the GoP precinct chair who texted me earlier this week propagating election integrity lies. I had replied to him that baselessly undermining people’s faith in elections is traitorous and told him to fuck off. His reply: “Thank you for your reply. I just got off the phone with a lady who voted at Riverbend on 360 last Saturday. Her choices continually flipped to another candidate as she was voting. She reported to the clerk that she was having issues with Machine #4 - the clerk told her that Machine #3 was doing the same thing. In my humble opinion, ANY mechanical device can have a glitch. It is only fair to the voter that they check their summary to be certain that their choices are voted. I hope you have a wonderful day.” I know this story is bullshit. Clerks are required by law to immediately stop the use of any machine suspected of malfunctioning. No clerk would openly talk about a machine malfunctioning, especially to a voter while helping them vote on another machine suspected of malfunctioning. I replied to him with that and told him to fuck off again.
  5. If I’d gone through what you’ve gone through, I would not have handled it as well. Good luck to you. I’m so sorry you lost your daughter.
  6. I think for the GOP to fully turn on Trump they’ll have to see a path to winning elections without him, and I just don’t see how that happens. There’s not a meaningful part of the Democrat base the GOP could take without diminishing their existing base; essentially, getting married to the racists won them the 2016 presidency but it put them in a tough spot once that fully played out. If (huge if) Harris cruises to 320+ EV, I don’t see any way the GOP wins the presidency before 2036 unless the Democrats fuck up big time.
  7. This has nothing to do with the election you stillborn troll.
  8. Just got a text from the precinct 360 TCRP chair telling me to vote straight ballot R and “CHECK YOUR BALLOT FOR MACHINE GLITCHES”. Fuck these motherfuckers.
  9. If Harris wins the popular vote by more than 5% and loses the electoral college, I will seriously consider rioting.
  10. If Harris gets 350+ Electoral Votes next week and Donald Trump dies next year, I think you’ll see a lot of people’s blood pressure go down. (Not that those events are at all likely, but just that there is a scenario where things calm the fuck down.)
  11. I believe Bitcoin’s value will eventually be destroyed by 1 of 2 events: 1. A hack that destroys holders’ faith in the ledger. I’m not knowledgeable about blockchain. I’ve spoken to a shitload of Bitcoin evangelists but none of them know shit about how blockchain or the bitcoin code changes actually work. I’ve spoken to 1 person who I would consider knowledgeable about blockchain and he was pretty ambivalent about Bitcoin and said nothing is 100% secure. 2. Legislation by the US government if/when it becomes a threat to the viability of the US dollar. The US is not going to tolerate Bitcoin actually undermining the Dollar’s status as the world’s primary reserve currency. They will use their economic, military, and political might to destroy it if they need to. It may take years, but I consider one of those two outcomes inevitable. (FWIW I own a small amount of bitcoin but not as a meaningful investment or significant % of my net worth.)
  12. Yep. I’ll still stay engaged enough to be an informed voter. But I won’t be paying attention to polls, spending hours everyday poring over predictions and scenarios, and thinking that if things don’t go my way the whole fucking world is gonna end.
  13. I didn’t give a runny fuck about politics until that orange shitbird came to power. Then I felt kind of forced to start paying attention and having informed opinions. I am hopeful that after January, politics will become boring again and I can go back to not thinking about them at all, much less 24/7 like I am now. It would bring me great joy to never post in this forum again.
  14. Over the past 7 weeks, the average high temp in Austin has been a full 10 degrees higher than the average historic high for that time of year. Concerning.
  15. Revised prediction with 8 days to go.
  16. There’s no logical path to Trump getting more votes than his opponent. But that’s been the case since the beginning. I know a dude who voted Clinton and Biden who has become a gun nut in the last few years. He’s (almost certainly) voting Trump. And there’s some number of people who were willing to vote for a white male Democrat in 2020 who will not be willing to vote for a brown female Democrat in 2024. I don’t think it’s a very large number. I expect Harris to win by a wider margin than Biden did. But American politics has defied logic and reason for going on a decade now.
  17. This is exactly what AI would post.
  18. I’m just spitballing here but maybe thinking Trump is normal and funny is more a reflection of you than anyone else.
  19. I would trade a Sherrod Brown loss for a Ted Cruz loss. And I really like Sherrod Brown.
  20. Dude please no more referring to yourself in the 3rd person.
  21. Shane Gillis is the clearest example I can think of, getting fired from SNL for a joke he made on a podcast years ago. But that seems to have worked out pretty good for him in the end.
  22. Most comedians who use edgy humor have major disdain for cancel culture, and cancel culture is associated with the left/democrats. So some of these dudes think backing Trump is their only play. It’s really stupid, but understandable.
  23. Dems have a slight lead in all 5 swing state races (NV, AZ, PA, WI, MI). MT looks lost, but Texas is in play. OH is the only one that looks like a true toss-up but you gotta think the incumbent has a slight advantage. Right now it looks like 48-52. Bill Cassidy, Susan Collins, and Lisa Murkowski would be targets to play the role to stop the GOP from fucking shit up majorly.
  24. Shit if Trump is gonna win the election, I hope the mf wins NY. Let’s just get it over with.
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