dimyh

Hopefully his head explodes from all the contradictions.

Poles have been having some fun outside the Hungarian embassy in Warsaw. It's a new game called pull the Orban out of Putin's ass.

Well we have seen plenty examples of Russians demonstrating advanced tactics such as drive balls-to-the-walls into a minefield or bailing out once coming under artillery fire. I think it's more evidence of their overall poor training. It's not just driving the tanks but lacking the combined arms training to be effective. No infantry support with their tanks, poor coms for combined air or artillery support, etc.

Noice, new speed run record. We will see if some other orc is able to break that record.

So the subs can't operate out of the Novorossiyka port? I thought they had relocated most of their fleet over there once Sevastopol got in range. I'm trying to figure out what port options they have left on the Black Sea. Hoping to push them in a corner where we can see some real damage. Hopefully some swabbies can chime in here and explain what tactics might work from the Ukrainian position.

Awesome news about the attacks on the ships in Sevastopol. I love that this nation without any functioning navy has been able to fuck up so much of the Russian fleet. Does Ukraine have any capability to sink subs? If they can advance into Crimea starting next spring, kick them fully out of Sevastopol, and force them into Novorossiyka, could they eventually target the 6 subs still active in the Black Sea? If Ukraine can secure Kerch then they should be in HIMARS range with Novorossiyka. Does Russia have any other military capable ports in the Black Sea? Would love to degrade as much Russian naval capability as possible. The project 636 subs I believe were priced at 350M each. The project 11356R frigate that was just hit was priced between 450-500M. All of this was priced pre-sanctions. Reconstituting any naval forces is going to be a magnitude more difficult under their current conditions. So anytime I hear one of these ships get scuttled I feel like it's a 90 yard pick-six return for a TD.

Russia has released footage of the diabolical avian biolabs engineered by the morally decadent Ukrainians. It's truly sinister!

Krasovsky has been fired from RT. So even Russia has a line....apparently killing children is too much but kidnapping is fair game.

I'm conflicted...clearly we are engaged in a proxy war but not sure if it should be called the USA-Iran proxy war or the USA-Taliban proxy war. Either way those are some sick bastards willing to fight to the last Russian.

Some vids of the drone attacks in Kyiv. Would small arms fire actually stop any of these Shahed drones?

Good points there. While we are all on board with supporting Ukraine we still need to be aware they will be showing the worst angles for these attacks. There may be some semi-plausible military target in the areas. Just that their accuracy is like me pissing at 3am. It's going to be all over the place. Apparently right next to that glass bridge attack was the HQs of the EU Advisory Mission. Which is some type of civilian security advisory board. Not sure exactly what they do but still sounds like a non-military target and a definite cheap shot but still something that Russia could try to target.

I keep tabs on another msg board and one of the quality posters there is a Ukrainian guy living in Kyiv. He has been talking about the attacks on civilian infrastructure as one of his biggest concerns for several months now. That and just the overall economic damage suffered on the Ukrainian side so far. That is the one advantage Russia has...no moral qualms for going total war on someone. Dude had 4 to 5 missiles intercepted around his home. While he is grateful for that he's also disappointed with the overall defense. He's expecting an 80% intercept rate and last night's attacks had just a little over 50%. Getting some air defense support is going to be big as Putin fails away.

Geez thanks but I think they overestimate how many times I'm going to jerk off to their prime minister.

I don't trust the aircraft losses reported by Ukraine. Those numbers have always looked grossly inflated. There were some artillery attacks on airfields (Crimea and the one in Chornobaivka which liked to get pounded in the ass more than a NowThis wet dream) which can account for some of those losses but having +500 losses for all air assets seems extremely optimistic. Not that RU airforce hasn't been MIA for quite some time and has been probably the biggest surprise in those whole war. I've just chalked it up to Russia finally realizing that the risk/reward was not worth it once Ukraine started beefing up anti-air capabilities.

Is Lavrov the worst ambassador since this guy?

What you said but more concise and much hotter. I would click your avatar button if it showed her naked.

I hear people concerned that Putin's replacement could be much worse. A more competent hardliner. I don't see it though. Whomever steps in is going to be dealing with the exact same problems: crumbling military, cratering economy, an ugly war that hard liners may want to continue but that no one wants to fight. Whatever happens they will have to take an operational pause to reform the military, realign their production before they can even commit to another war. During that time is when the economic free fall takes place. Actually I'd rather have a hardliner follow up Putin than someone pro-west since whomever follows up is going to get blamed for a lot of the results of Putin's actions.

gotdamn this thread has been blazing fast the past few days. Just adding on to Brisket's poker analogy about escalation. USA is not escalating; we are just cold calling. It's like a NL tourney with Ukraine on the BB with a short stack, USA UTG limps in, a few other callers and Russia OTB sees the opportunity to squeeze the little guy and steal the pot. Ukraine has some cards and reraises. USA is just slick cold-calling 3bets the whole way. USA flops the nuts and checks down. Russia is still fixated on Ukraine and trying to get them all-in based on a weak draw and not noticing that USA is straight calling down the whole way even though they've got 10x the chips. Next thing he knows he's pot committed on the turn and the desperate realization that even if he hits his miracle card he's probably toast. All the while Ukraine knows its probably beating Russia and even if it does lose out, USA has already told them they are bankrolling them for the rest of their Vegas trip.

Also in case any vatnik trollbot starts standing on their moral high ground and proclaims USA is a complete monster for using nukes then consider this: Nagasaki - pop size 195k. Est casualties 40k-75k Mariupol - pop size 450k. Est casualties 20k-100k. Also includes estimates that around 90% of all buildings have been destroyed or damaged. The entire city has been practically razed from the earth. While still too early to get any reliable numbers this has the potential to match or even exceed a nuclear bomb. And this was not just one attack from over 77 years ago but a sustained attack just a few months ago. So who really is the monster?

Appreciate the posts even though we do not draw the same conclusions. I believe you are presenting your own concerns in a reasonable manner and not merely spouting vatnik propaganda points. It is perfectly understandable to be concerned about being vaporized over a war half the globe over but not taking a stand right now has its own repercussions. From the start I always believed Putin had committed strategic suicide the moment he sent troops across the border. The fact that he could secure a short-term victory still meant a long-time loss as we would resurrect the ghost of USSR only to have it slowly die away due to economic strangulation. Ending the war now with a few territorial concessions still has the West winning long-term, maybe 40 years out, with a neo glasnost undoing everything Putin is ranting about. However by not taking the additional risk and trying to end it right now has some significant consequences: Normalizes nuclear threats for offensive gains - if that becomes the norm then any nuclear nation can just wave around their arsenal to meet their demands. Nuclear proliferation - since nukes can be used with offensive threats then the only defense is having your own. Which means many smaller/less stable nation states will be loading up. I'm not looking forward to international nuclear Mexican standoffs between all the regional crazies. No longer deters land grabs - if Putin can get away with annexing clay with brute force then that opens up that opportunity for others sharing the same mindset. Continues propaganda machine - the most brainwashed in Russia are the older generation, still watching TV and still sipping that old Soviet nostalgia juice. The younger generation has lived without that legacy and is not as averse to Western culture. Adding another younger generation, immersed in more anti-West propaganda over their formative years is going to dilute the ones needed to make a long-term cultural change. Because it needs to be understood: the West is not trying to destroy Russian culture...we just want to stop the imperialistic ultra-nationalist ideals that says that they can bludgeon their neighbors anytime they want. While my initial idea was that by waiting it out and not joining the conflict directly we could achieve the same end goal by re-enacting a mini cold war. However we could strive for a more decisive win. We may not have a better opportunity of poor military performance, pathetic leadership vs a unified multi-national response featuring a defensive target valiantly fighting for their survival. The actions from this conflict are going to redefine the world order in ways we have not seen since the end of WWII.

So I'm still intrigued about the pipeline sabotage. Here is a clip that goes into some more detail, including some reasons for Russia to scuttle their own stuff. Avoid contract penalties due to a force majeur reasoning. Not sure how much they would save if that stood up in court. Not sure what else we could do even if we were able to positively identify RF/Gazprom as the saboteurs. We're running out of sanctions that we can throw at these assholes. Lifting technology sanctions so that RF/Gazprom could make the repairs. Which sounds absolutely fucking bonkers that anyone from the West would trust them with any repairs. Not sure how it works with a multi-national like this one but I'm guessing someone is telling Russia to back the fuck off, we got this. Possibly just to cause general instability or incite concern about the gas supply for the winter. Which is also ridiculous...nothing screams more little dick energy then threatening to take away the one thing everyone likes about you. Not because you have direct control of it but because of some "accident". It actually would make Putin look very weak. Or just your basic run-of-the-mill false flag operation. Where you are trying to point the finger at Ukraine, USA, or whatever western culprit you can imagine, in a supposed attempt to shut down any possibility of rapprochement. In any event all of those possible reasons sounds bat shit crazy if true. Not sure if Putin is showing his Chekist background and going to the only playbook he has left since his nuke brinkmanship button is worn out and broken at this point. If he is behind this then he is truly grasping at straws to figure out any type of angle he can gain. Curious to see ultimately what the investigators find out. They mentioned that the explosion could have been outside or possibly generated inside the pipe. Either way it sounds like a significant operation to pull off and something straight from a Bond movie or a Clancy novel.

fify