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TKthunder2

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by TKthunder2

  1. They won’t join the MWC. The PAC12 will have significantly more postseason credits, long term sponsorships, bowl contracts, and it’s still part of the ruling Autonomous 5 within the NCAA. Even if it’s down to just Oregon St the rest of the MWC would ditch San Jose St and Wyoming to join them.
  2. Possible line up if big ten 3 permanent rivals that also illustrates the competitive balance by using conference winning percentage from 2014-2022. Saved all the current rivalries except one but the variance in SOS is pretty drastic.
  3. TK’s first attempt at designating the Big Ten’s 3 permanent rivalries
  4. This whole argument again. Yes SWC schools like Houston and SMU and TCU and Rice “fans” absolutely switched their alliances to Big 12 schools. Clearly not 100% of them, many die hards would not but then they likely just stopped watching cfb. But their kids, when they started getting interested in college football likely gravitated to Texas or aggy or Tech. People want to belong and feel included. You can still root for Rice while also rooting for Texas. Just because you personally disagree with this doesn’t mean it’s not true. As for why conferences and networks would ditch Okie St or BYU’s 1-2million eyeball it’s because they are local die hards and not casual fans. Die hards will watch them play San Jose St but casual fans won’t. What happened when the FBS/FCS split, when Texas ditched the SWC for the B12 or Miami ditched the Big East for the ACC? Did college football suffer when Rice and USF were left out or did it get more popular? This isn’t a black or white solution. If Texas, Oklahoma, Ohio St, Michigan, Penn St, Alabama, LSU, Georgia, Florida, Notre Dame, Clemson, and USC split off to form their own league just playing each other and crowning their own national champ that would not be the best the sport and would likely not have the desired outcome for the networks. But flip side, let’s not act like the world of college football would be ruined just because Oregon St, Mississippi St, Wake Forest, Purdue or <insert Big 12 school> we’re left out. There is a balance that the networks need to be mindful of. USC/UCLA are not the only programs West of Austin that have value.
  5. Unless the merger nullifies the ACC GOR I’m not sure how that helps. Even if they have a clause that triggers a renegotiation, it’s likely based on just paying more for the new schools not paying everyone more otherwise they could just add UConn or Memphis and not worry about going to the West Coast. I get this comes from a source WAY more knowledgeable about the subject matter than any of us, but I feel like they skipped over some key information that proves their point
  6. Dell Seton adding a wing and doubling their height. https://www.kxan.com/news/local/austin/ascension-seton-invests-280m-to-revamp-expand-dell-seton-medical-center/
  7. I haven’t put a ton of thought into this but yeah, USC/UCLA are obvious. Then they’d pair one (likely UCLA) with Nebraska as the Western most member that has no significant history with the Big Ten. After that though… You assume they need to get at least one of the Big 3 (UM/OSU/Pedo) on USC’s schedule so they have a guaranteed USC vs 2 of those 3 each year but I’m not sure how they’ll swing that. Michigan: Ohio St, Michigan St each year Ohio St: Michigan and Penn State each year Penn St: Ohio St and Rutger and Maryland each year I don’t see them cutting off Rutger/Maryland from Penn St, nor do I see them overloading Ohio St/Michigan with anymore big games but something will have to give. You don’t add USC to your conference and NOT pair them with another blueblood as a rival. Best guess it they give them Penn State and have Rutgers drop their annual Penn St game for Ohio St or Michigan.
  8. I wish they’d just tear down the rec and remodel that whole two blocks for both football and a new and improved rec. Gets the players directly next to the locker room, provides more roof top field space and they could excavate down for underground parking on both blocks. I assume the price tag is too high because it seems like an obvious solution.
  9. So this guy was putting his gun in his pants while cocked (ready to fire) and with one already in the chamber. That’s pretty stupid.
  10. Zero motivation? I mean if they want to keep the ACC around with teams that actually justify general interest, I’d say that motivation. If they don’t give FSU/Miami/UNC more money sooner rather than later, what are the odds those schools would want to continue their association with ESPN either by joining the SEC or by staying in the ACC and continuing their partnership with them? They have a motivation. Now in these belt tightening days of TV$ is that enough to override their greed? FSU/Clemson/Miami/UNC see themselves as worth the same money as Maryland and South Carolina. Now they obviously won’t get that by staying in the ACC, but if ESPN doesn’t give anything then there won’t be an ACC worth broadcasting come 2036. I see ESPN pushing for another 5 year extension and giving the ACC the same money as the Big 12 is getting (maybe a little more to make them feel good) in exchange for 9 conference games and a better OOC slate (say all ACC teams have to work with ESPN to schedule 2 P5 teams a year going forward). The goal is to keep the Big Ten away and provide ND a home to keep them out of the Big Ten (where ESPN will have even less access to the Irish).
  11. Probably Ole Miss most years over Tech honestly. If Tech was added as the 17th SEC members they’d likely be around #11 of schools we’d want to play just barely sneaking into that third quadrant with Auburn/OleMiss/Mizzou just above UK/SC/MSU/Vandy We’ve played Tech 72 (not 100) soon to be 73 times which will tie them with SMU as our 7th most played team. Texas is reconnecting/keeping 3 of our top 6 and finally getting to leave Baylor like we wanted to back in 1996 and ditching TCU and now UH again for the second time. If Tech stop whining like a little bitch I assume we will keep them as a regular OOC game in nonfb sports and an occasional OOC opponent like we do with Rice. Texas A&M 76-37-5 (118) Oklahoma 63-50-5 (118 *passes aggy this year lol) Baylor 80-28-4 (112) Rice 74-21-1 (96) TCU 64-28-1 (93) Arkansas 56-23-0 (79) SMU 47-22-4 (73) Texas Tech 54-18-0 (72) Oklahoma State 26-11-0 (37) Houston 16-7-2 (25) Missouri 18-6-0 (24) Kansas State 13-10-0 (23) Kansas 17-4-0 (21) Iowa State 15-5-0 (20) Tulane 17-1-1 (19) Colorado 12-7-0 (19) LSU 9-8-1 (18) Nebraska 10-4-0 (14) West Virginia 6-6-0 (12) Vanderbilt 3-8-1 (12) Notre Dame 3-9-0 (12) Alabama 7-2-1 (10) North Carolina 6-3-0 (9) Ole Miss 6-2-0 (8) Auburn 5-3-0 (8) New SEC will have 413 games of history for UT when we start play. The 10 team Big 12 would have had (without expansion) had 517 which 113 of those were against Baylor who we all hate and wanted to kick out of the fucking conference anyways. The whole Texas is leaving its historical rivals story line is dumb since we already fucking did that back when the SWC broke up. This is just the next chapter of that same story. Even leaving out aggy/pig, we already have more history with LSU than we do with WVU, and in a decade they’ll pass any history we have with KU/KSU/ISU. So changing conferences for Texas is a wash historically speaking and a GIANT win for our home schedule, recruiting, financials and just about every other metric (which is why we made the move). A real argument I’m not hearing anyone really make is that Oklahoma is leaving it’s historical rivals, but as everyone loves to focus their hate on Texas somehow they keep getting a pass in this whole thing in the media/public.
  12. The College Super Bowl B1G/SEC makes the most sense but again it’s one of those issues which lines up great on paper but fails in practice. I think you’ll always have to have some version of a general CFP now that is inclusive but I also imagine the club rules may get significantly raised soon (athletes as employees just for starters) to shrink the pool of competitors from 130 to 60-70. Giving the SEC and Big Ten full control over their own 4 team playoff where they then face each other is ideal for both but then you have to give the Big12/ACC/whoever some access to avoid antitrust. Treating them an equal to the P2 is also not great either. The new 12 team playoff will be 4 rounds. My thought is that the winner of the SEC and Big Ten get automatically slotted into the final four. While the rest of the field fills out into 8 spots that play their way down to 2. Take the 2 highest conference champs out of the P2 and then seed the tournament based on the next 6 highest ranked. Last year SEC tournament participants UGA/Bama/TN/LSU and the Big Ten participants would be UM/tOSU/Pedo/USC. Winners UGA/Michigan slot automatically into the final four (play 4 postseason games to win it all) and Clemson/KState get the 2 other autobids. The next 6 would have been TCU, Ohio St, Alabama, Tennessee, Utah, USC (these might play 4, 5, or 6 depending on their CCG setup). TCU/Clemson v Ohio St/Tennessee; and Alabama/Utah v K State/USC to get in final four spot vs Georgia or Michigan.
  13. Agree it won’t be tit for tat. I doubt the SEC grows past 22 (more on that # later) unless there is some other significant factors (like leaving the NCAA and holding a P2 or P5 or FBS only bball tournament) that don’t currently exist. But I still disagree with you around FSU. If the Big Ten adds FSU and Miami then they have a very significant presence in the state and that will hurt the SEC. They may not be able to get consensus on adding Miami from the SEC members or from Miami themselves who may prefer the Big Ten (think back to how the Big East was for Miami in their hayday, not exactly regional for them and the MLB Miami/TB playing with NY/DC it NFL Miami playing with NY/NE/Buffalo). Still, in order to secure Florida as an SEC state first and foremost the SEC should add FSU. If the Big Ten gets both Miami/FSU bringing USC, Ohio St, Michigan, Penn St, and maybe even Notre Dame into town regularly and that will affect recruiting for both FSU/Miami, but also for the B1G schools I listed above as well. The recruiting conversation is about keeping the Big Ten schools out of Florida, not keeping FSU/Miami contained (as that’s not really realistic). Those schools will always be able to recruit based on simple geography. Miami is the odd duck and I can 100% see them going to the Big Ten as they are not a great cultural fit for the SEC which is #1 flagship U and #2 State type schools with big campus stadiums with enrollments outside of Vandy. Plus the whole further North you go the further South you are, works both ways. I also disagree about SEC schools would not be excited to play Clemson and FSU. Maybe it’s just outside your area but Clemson has a lot of history with the SEC schools and FSU is a regular OOC opponent. FSU besides playing UF annually (which means it would free up an OOC game for both) has played Alabama, Ole Miss, Georgia, Oklahoma, and LSU on its OOC slate. Clemson besides playing SC annually and UGA AND Auburn semi regularly has played LSU, aggy, Oklahoma and Alabama. So the only schools I see not being excited about playing FSU/Clemson is the weaker SEC schools like Missouri, Vandy, or Mississippi State. Adding FSU and Clemson with not dilute the conference. They’d join the top 8 schools that others would be excited to play. Like you said, right now for Texas outside our obvious rivals we’d play UF/UGA/Tenn or LSU/Aub/Bama any given year if we added a 3rd rotation of FSU/Clemson/?OleMiss? you’re not going to see a drop off when you balance them out: Bama/UF/OleMiss, LSU/Clemson/Tenn, UGA/FSU/Aub. Going to 22 actually would be a little easier as they can keep the 3-6-6 model but just add another 6 model and rotate through everyone every 3 years instead of every 2. I’d personally prefer the SEC stay at 16 for a long while but if the ACC is going to blow up, they’d be dumb to sit by and let everyone go North and ignore the long game.
  14. If the SEC participates in any kind of end game scenario it’s 100% around UVA/UNC and FSU/Clemson. That gets them to 20 and unless they are doing a full split of NCAA scenario (which will put a larger premium on successful basketball schools like Kansas and Duke) or they and ESPN (who is will to pay) decide they need to protect their market from the B1G (Miami, GT, NCSU, VT) it just doesn’t make financial sense expanding just to expand. The Big Ten in the other hand has 3 national over the air broadcast partners and partially owns their own network which means they directly benefit from carriage fees and going coast to coast. Adding teams and markets of a lesser stature don’t hurt them as long as they have a way to protect and insulate their big programs from overloading on riffraff. As proven over the years, Ohio State/Michigan versus anybody in the Big Ten conference is big enough to warrant a national broadcast. Notre Dame would also be at that level were they to join. Penn St/USC are close but just a step below. Penn St vs Rutgers didn’t get put in FOX Big Noon, but Michigan vs Rutgers did for example. Here’s a list of the top DMA’s outside of the new Big Ten with realistic expansion candidates. I omitted Texas markets as they like can’t truly break into that market without UT/aggy or going all in adding Tech/TCU/UH which seems unlikely. San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose (#6) Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto (#20) *Cal/Stanford Atlanta (#7) *Georgia Tech Boston (Manchester) (#10) *Boston College Phoenix (Prescott) (#11) *AZ/ASU Seattle-Tacoma (#12) *UW Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota) (#13) Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne (#17) Miami-Fort Lauderdale (#18) *Miami/FSU Denver (#16) *CU Portland, OR (#21) *UO Charlotte (#22) Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville) (#24) Greenville-Spartanburg-Asheville-Anderson (#35) *UNC/Duke/NCSU Salt Lake City (#30) *U of Utah Hartford & New Haven (#32) *UConn Kansas City (#34) *Jayhawks So the PAC10 schools are still just sitting there but since the SEC has said they are staying regional, there is not really a rush to add them because where are they going to go? But that’s 6 schools that can bring in 6 top 21 markets (and Utah). I know West Coast time zone and fan apathy have drawbacks, but by going national the Big Ten will not leave a top 10 market like SFO, an area of the country like the PNW, or an entire time zone like the Mountain time zone outside their footprint for too long. Look at every major professional sports league and know that’s how the Big Ten is now modeling it’s future. Other than the West, the Big Ten needs the South. Getting into Florida (3 top 20 markets), Atlanta (#7), and NC (3 top 40 markets) is very attractive. The SEC could try to proactively grab those schools to protect their territory but I find it unlikely they take all of Miami, FSU, GT, Clemson, UNC, Duke, NCSU, UVA and VT just to keep the Big Ten out. So the Big Ten will get someone from the above list, the SEC/ESPN simply has to decide what it can deal with, which is taking the most powerful (FSU/Clemson) away and making sure they get the best flagships (UNC/UVA maybe Duke, and FSU to go along with UF to offset Miami) from any potentially shared markets. I also think it’s worth noting that Boston College, UConn, and Kansas are also fringe Big Ten candidates. BC for their top 10 market, academics and to add another enticing piece to help lure ND since Boston has the 3rd most Irish fans of any market only behind NYC, Chicago and even ahead of South Bend. Kansas/UConn from their basketball and top 40 markets. So I see a 20 team SEC looming with FSU, Clemson, UNC, UVA and a huge 24 team Big Ten with UW, UO, Stanford, ND, VT, Duke, GT, Miami.
  15. Yeah, how could he forget Stanford? Am I right?
  16. Ziprecruiter is only good for two things. It allows people actually looking to hire to reach out to you with requiring that you apply better than most other sites not named LinkedIn, and you can quickly apply for 5 jobs in less than a minute to satisfy your unemployment requirements, which it also keeps a record of in case they ever audit you and ask for it. Other than that it’s not very good at actually placing applicants. Agree your network is 100x better than Ziprecruiter.
  17. If he pardons him…
  18. A&M Kingsville aka TAMU-K fka Texas A&I plays DII in the Lone Star Conference Texas Southern is a HBU in Houston is DI FCS in the SWAC Trinity Valley Community College is in Athens (East Texas SW of Tyler) most famous for Cheerleading and a Netflix reality show following them. Baylor rapes and kills people in Waco Prairie View A&M is a HBU on the NW outskirts of the Houston market is DI in the SWAC Hardin Simmons is a Baptist school in Abilene that plays DIII Note: I think both TAMU-K and TVCC are claiming John Randle
  19. THIS I have kids, they loved it. For the first time ever they asked to go back and watch it again. Might go back tomorrow if they are good and clean their rooms. It’s entertaining just not great cinema but I didn’t go into it thinking I’d get the Godfather like some of the critics seemed to expect. I saw one review that said the critics are writing it off as a less of a movie and more fan service, where as the audience score is like “ITS AMAZING FAN SERVICE!” But Jack Black’s Bowser stole the show. I wouldn’t have expected some of the decisions they made with his character but it was perfect. Wife enjoyed how they portrayed Peach too, not the helpless damsel in distress, but not overshadowing the main character (that the studios often do when trying to comply with the #metoo movement). Also they ‘fixed’ Mario’s voice it seems from the early audio that was leaked. It worked enough and humanized him more and made the movie far more watchable in my opinion than if I had to listen to the thick cartoony Italian accent for 90 minutes straight. There are post credits scenes. One mid credits worth staying for and a very small clip at the end that not really worth it.
  20. Wow. Didn’t think that was the most likely outcome here.
  21. Waiting on jury. https://www.kxan.com/news/local/austin/daniel-perry-trial-24-hours-into-deliberations-no-verdict-yet-on-murder-trial/
  22. I see FSU/Clemson joining the SEC, it just seems too logical. While I could see the Big Ten making a play here, giving them two historical powers in the heart of the SEC won’t sit well with the conference or ESPN. But honestly the next major realignment battle will be over UNC and UVA. If the Big Ten gets those then I see them going further South and grabbing Miami and Georgia Tech and the city of Atlanta. Both are major city hubs for Big Ten alumni/fans and would have the Big Ten represented in every major city/market along the Eastern seaboard from NY to Miami (only really missing New England). But without UNC/UVA I don’t see them wanting to have both LA and Miami/Atlanta on virtual islands which is why I think they’d pivot and go after the West Coast.
  23. Let us not forget the Kansas–Nebraska Act of 1854 which setup Kansas to be a slave state. Jayhawks to the SEC confirmed!
  24. It would have been the best situation for all. Shame on all for their egos and hubris. Would have been a little cleaner if the PAC had just poached Tech, TCU, Okie St, and Kansas after UT/OU left and then could have picked up Iowa St, Kansas St, Houston, SDSU, whoever for after USC/UCLA left but this obviously doesn’t work out as logical in real time as it could have on paper.
  25. My point was a 10 team PAC10 versus a 16 team Big 12. I don’t see a scenario where the PAC10+? in any form, is regularly getting 2 bids. The Big 12 on the other hand, without UT/OU, may have done it multiple times if the expanded CFP was in place with TCU, Baylor, Okie St, K State, and even Iowa St…and that’s without including UCF, BYU, Houston, and BYU’s occasional success over the past decade. That was the basis of my 2 of 16 > 1 of 10. The SEC&B1G will likely pull in 3 bids regularly so it’s really not worth comparing to them.
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