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Lurch

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Lurch

  1. PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE just say “I’m more popular than Jesus”. I’ve long thought that may be the one thing that would backfire on him. I’m no longer as certain, but it would be an enjoyable theory to test.
  2. My assumption is that a fold would be quite likely at this point. Especially if we saw a lot of action past our check. If there's a bet and then a raise/jam, for example, I doubt our odds are frequently favorable (would depend on stack sizes, of course) to make a call
  3. I don’t mind either play preflop. Don’t think bluff jamming flop from early position was EV+ though. Too likely some of the 7 opponents had SPR spots where they’d call even if you showed them AA (which a flop jam screams here) Pretty much a rule to never bluff when 4-way+
  4. I jam and he snaps with 5h6d. I don’t get there.
  5. Web app this week according to WSJ headline (I don’t have sub) https://www.wsj.com/articles/metas-threads-app-to-launch-web-version-as-rivalry-with-x-enters-new-stage-706e8241?mod=mhp&reflink=share_mobilewebshare
  6. Yes, but fold equity is significant here
  7. Straights, Sets, 2 pairs, TT, KTss and maybe KJss all seem reasonable here. Not sure about 66
  8. $1100 at $2/5. UTG straddle. I make it $35 from UTG1 w As6s. BTN, BB and UTG call. $140 pot. 9s8s7c. Checks to me, I make it $80. BTN folds, BB (reg, competent but aggressive wild at times) check raises to $300 and has me covered. UTG folds. A. Fold (Lulz) B. Call $300 leaving pot sized bet behind C. Raise to X (??) D. Jam
  9. He should keep doing whatever he’s doing. It’s working perfectly
  10. Super messed up and almost certainly a troll by the organizers
  11. If your shirts aren’t polyester-spandex blend, are you even living?
  12. Nice! About 2 lb/week? How close was actual vs intent?
  13. My 12 month journey Took 7 weeks off and have been back on for 3 with a slightly less aggressive plan (1.5 vs 2 lbs/week) With various breaks, I averaged about 1 to 1.25 lbs/week over the year
  14. How many accidents per day is the sphere causing? It has to be 5+
  15. That was my takeaway from the story, too. Effectively, he performed pretty much exactly how any average sports bettor would perform over time and predictably ended up dumping 10% of his bets to the house for the privilege.
  16. and from another guy: I’d guess this is generally unadvisable for anyone. An insider already has a portfolio way overweighted towards their employer because of stock options/grants. Pretty risky bet even if you have confidence in the direction
  17. My understanding is that those that post a ton (reporters) do as it’s much easier to copy/paste etc. So not the audience so much, but the producers of content
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