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Lurch

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Lurch

  1. Yeah, one of the talking heads asked a panel yesterday what if Nauta flips, and the response was that the govt no longer needs him to. His best bet at this point may be to simply ride the Trump coattails in hopes of a hung jury.
  2. What do we think of BB? Most semi competent players in BB's shoes would raise pre vs a button opener with AT-AK. If we can eliminate those from his range, then we know a) we have him absolutely crushed and b) he's going to have a very hard time folding. I'm guessing hero opened to $10 and BB called, so $20 pot, pre-flop. Then Hero cbet $10 and got called on flop, so now $40 pot. On the turn, I want to bet before any scare cards come on the river that would give him an easier fold. Feels like we need to act like we're on a draw, but in that case we'd almost always check through this turn since he showed the table the Ace. Super tough decision here. I think we're now in a polarized situation where we're either getting a fold if we bet or we have someone willing to make a big mistake. There may not be much middle ground. Let's target those capable of making the big mistake and throw out $50.
  3. at 1:40 you can hear them laughing and running away
  4. My guess is that this is a pretty funny backstory. There's obviously a finite list of quality local attorneys and I'm sure Nauta deferred to the Trump team to go through that list to find Trump's attorney first. Depending on how deep on that list he went, he likely made Nauta's task incredibly difficult as I doubt any of the attorney's that told Trump "no thanks, we're...uh... busy" would then turn around and take on Nauta.
  5. There's a bit of gamesmanship to it, it would seem. The prosecutors didnt ask for this as now it forces them to show some of their cards in terms of who is most likely to be called as a witness. Regardless of the list, he's not to talk to ANY witnesses about the case. The list is just those he's supposed to avoid *all* contact with.
  6. No bail, no travel restrictions. Judge wanted to limit his conversations with witnesses, but defense objected due to the volume and nature of them. Plaintiffs must come back and present list of witnesses they want him to limit contact with.
  7. Nobody was after them. The knock was real but it shows them overreact to an otherwise innocuous event, probably the neighbor kid pranking them
  8. Yep. There’s no hint of magic left for Florida.
  9. And now Vegas is 1 for 14 on Florida power plays
  10. Florida 0 for 13 on power plays
  11. Sally’s alcohol/PTSD induced hallucination Reminder
  12. Look at those crazy eyes. We all know exactly what the fuck
  13. I had a similar experience on it. Still one of the greatest times I’ve ever had playing, regardless
  14. It’s fun. Just a flatter prize-pool structure which a you have full approval to bitch about if you finish top 10… otherwise you probably greatly benefited from that structure!
  15. Wynn's poker room is possibly the best run anywhere and there are plenty of whales any time of day. Obviously, there are also a shit ton of pros, but that's just the game. They, too, are running a poker series right now thats worth considering. As a bonus, during the daytime hours you get to watch scantily clad ladies come and go from their pool club right next to where they host tournaments. https://www.wynnlasvegas.com/casino/poker
  16. If you're not playing any WSoP events, I'd strongly suggest getting in one of their daily tourneys. Outside of that, Wynn has the best room since its impossible to get a seat at ARIA these days. MGM tends to run soft, but on the downside you're at MGM.
  17. I think the pattern is that the judge will enter a gag order, he'll ignore it, the judge will admonish his lawyers, he'll attack the judge, he'll be fined and then SQUIRREL! and he'll move on to something else for a while.
  18. An all time finish right there
  19. Hooooooooooooooo Lee shit
  20. That 20 footer on the first playoff hole was sick
  21. Well, they negotiated the right to purchase up to 49%, yes. Yeah, much speculation that regardless of the legal fees, there were other reasons to shut it down as quickly as possible. Discovery almost always reveals embarrassing emails, for example. They also we’re struggling with title sponsors at least in part due to ongoing uncertainties. Finally there is FTC investigations underway due to their initial actions re LIV, so they were already walking in a minefield and every subsequent move in the PGA vs LIV lawsuits introduced more risk via FTC
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