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Lurch

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Lurch

  1. Note that in Phase 2, when the shooter hits their point and then establishes a different one, the dealer may need to move you off one number and onto another. Be sure to adjust your tracking chips to match.
  2. I really like my approach for keeping track where you are in the strategy The table usually has two parallel rails for you to store your chips. Keep your chips in the rail closer to you. When you start (phase1) put 2 $1 chips on the rail above, splitting the section into thirds. When you hit your first number, take one down and full collect. when you hit the second, take the second one down and full collect. Now phase 2 You are starting with an empty rail from phase 1. When you hit one of your 3 numbers, put a $1 chip either far left, center, or far right, depending on which number you hit. Ie if your numbers are 689, a 6 would go far left, an 8 would go center and a 9 would go far right. Now tell the dealer you want a full press. Repeat this and when you hit a specific number a second time in phase 2, place a second $1 chip on top of the first, again telling the dealer full press. Repeat the process again, likely building 1 or two chips on your other two numbers as well. Finally, when you hit a specific number a third time, take down those two $1 chips, tell the dealer same bet and take your winnings from that roll. Start the phase 2 process all over again for that number, though now you’ll be starting with a much higher base for it. This is when shit gets real When the shooter rolls a 7, take it all down and reset for phase 1 with your two $1 chips splitting the rail into thirds. I set them this way so that no matter how much I’ve been drinking,their placement tells me I am in phase 1 and not phase 2
  3. $2/5, $800. Fourth hand of the session Folds to CO who opens to $20. He’s a solid reg w about $1k. I call with QhQs looking to be sneaky with him. $40 pot JdTd9d. I check, he makes it $35, I check raise to $125. He slow calls. Qc. I check call $300. As. I check, he jams. Your move?
  4. Booked my WSoP trip for July 4-11. Airfare has gone up quite a bit, now costing me $900 when I’ve paid $3-400 in the past. Got 4 “free” nights at Park MGM, but with resort fees and the other three paid nights, I’m looking at another $600 there versus $2-300 in the past. Sorry guys, but I’m going to need to go ahead and take down the Main Event this year. Hope you’ll understand
  5. That was my immediate thought
  6. I jam and he shows 66 Stupid game
  7. If the point is 8, we play 5 6 9 If the point is 6 we play 5 8 9 We always make three bets, on 3 of the four inside numbers: 5, 6, 8, 9 We never bet 4 or 10. The house edge is too high on those two If the point is 4 or 10, we “hug” that number, so 568 for 4 or 689 for 10. We actually prefer these rolls, because the house has the least edge on 6/8 and we get to play both.
  8. What do you think about a larger bet to make sure draws pay a premium
  9. $2/5 NLHE, sitting w $2000 EP opens to $20. HJ, CO, BTN, SB all call. I complete BB w 5s5c. $120 pot 4h5d7d. Checks to CO (30ish white reg dude, competent but not scary. $850 behind) who makes it $60. Folds to me and I check raise to $200. Others fold, he tank calls. $520 pot 6h. What do you bet here?
  10. Stay on 9, follow the schedule, don’t bet the 5. We’re indifferent to Come bets
  11. I find this to be incredibly true for my poker game the last 10 years, after being ignorantly bliss the 10 years prior
  12. I will say it was fun. Similar to the 72 game, though, it could be problematic as players deviate from standard strategy. I personally don’t care for games that are wildly out of line as I don’t think I’m good enough to adjust properly. I would hate to be facing a big bet and having to factor in that the player who 4bet the flop could be holding a 2 when the board comes A345J because we’re playing the 72 game.
  13. We were having a ton of fun watching the board mock him with like JJ4 flops There was also some discussion about how much a player could impact the game. Ie, if you were Seat 5 and were dealt J4, you were incentivized to make sure a flop was dealt, so you might flat a bet. Alternatively, if you were the other guy and got J4, you were incentivized that the flop NOT ever happen, so you would want to raise everyone out preflop. This actually effected a few hands, including one where the other guy four bet with 44 on the button to prevent a flop, only to be forced to fold to a 5 bet. He lost like $250 in action, but saved that $25!
  14. Also, at one point his wife texted him mid stream laughing that he had convinced someone to play the Jack Four game
  15. For those wondering, I calculated that the odds of hitting was 46.15%, which you could arrive at by adding (8/52) + (8/52) + (8/52) = 24/52 = 6/13 = 46.15% Alternatively you could recognize that a deck has 17.333 flops of 3 cards, of which the 8 cards evenly distribute as 8/17.3333 = 46.15% For Seat 5 to be break even with his $25/$50 pay structure, he needed the hit odds to be 33.3% or less, so he was WAY off. I calculated that he should have been paying ~$29.17 rather than $50 for this to be break even for both sides (46.15/53.85 x $25) and that the bet was +$9.50 EV for the other guy PER HAND!
  16. In last nights live stream the player in seat 5 made a bet with another that they called the Jack Four game. He said the other player could choose any two cards (in this case they used Jack & Four) and if either of those two cards appeared in the flop, seat 5 would pay the other guy $50. If neither card appeared, the other guy would owe $25 to Seat 5. Several of us quickly calculated that this was a terrible bet for Seat 5, but he was so damn confident that he knew that he was a favorite for long term EV, that he had us all questioning the math for nearly an hour. This was only exasperated by him getting up 11 bets in fairly short order. Through the rest of the stream plus several hours after as we continued the table, the guy finally had to quit as the odds eventually caught up to him and he eventually dropped $800+ playing the side game alone It was pretty wild watching his confidence weaken over the course of ~4 hours with something he’d been convinced of as a winning side game for YEARS that he’d somehow maintained some success with at his home game. He was nearly a broken man by the end of it… just couldn’t understand why it wasn’t working /csb
  17. Yeah if you want to be a winning player long term
  18. If anyone is around can someone tell me what Chuck had on seat 8 at 4:25 Central when the flop came 963 and I had K6 in seat 1 Bestbet livestream $2/5/25
  19. That’s a smart play that I didn’t consider. It’s quite possible I’ve never 4bet out of position with anything other than AA/KK. After watching BTN the rest of the night, he very well could have been weak. That said, he also could very well have put me to the test on the river with pretty much any card. I folded turn, so we’ll never know. Regardless, finished a solid 8 hr session +$2400, so not too concerned that laying it down was too weak
  20. What would be your 4bet size?
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