Every year there are rumors of Harbaugh leaving, I never really took them seriously because it seemed he really wanted to be at Michigan despite the flirtations.
After winning it all....... I think, if he gets an offer that gives him control (maybe not complete control) of the roster and a team that isn't a dumpster fire he probably takes it. And after last night. I am cool with that. Michigan hired Harbaugh to get them out of the doldrums and back to relevancy, put the program on stable legs, and he did that and more.
I still think it is probably 50/50 he stays or goes. While Harbaugh wants that Super Bowl, after the past few years its becoming more clear that the NFL may not actually want Harbaugh. He is an odd duck, and he definitely pisses people off, not all NFL teams will want to deal with that, which is why he didn't get offers after interviewing the past few years. I think DC is probably out, based on how they hired for their search, they seem to be casting a wide net and I don't think at the end Harbaugh is going to interview particularly well compared to the long list of others. San Diego seems to be the only place that may say "fuck the baggage, we need a splash"
Michigan has offered him 12.5 a year base, with bonuses of
500K for beating O$U
500k for winning B1G
1 Mil for making the playoffs
1.5 mil for Making the final
2.5 for winning a national championship.
I am not sure that those all stack, so it may be 500k for beating OSU and winning the B1G and then one of the playoff bonuses, whichever it ends up being. But that is still close to 15 million a year. Owning an NFL team is a license to print money, but that is a lot of dough to shell out for a coach that flamed out due to a war with ownership the last time he was in the league.