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Eastwood

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Eastwood

  1. One scenario I saw during some research I was doing for a paper on MAD that I had to write in college had the Russians lighting up I-35 between Dallas and DFW to catch any Army equipment and personnel that evacuated Ft. Hood. They also had the Valley lit up just in case the military was storing equipment and personnel there with the hopes it would be overlooked. Modern satellite technology removed all that guesswork, though, and now Russia could theoretically pick and choose their targets just before launch.
  2. We don't even know if Dead Hand is truly offline. Dead Hand is the guaranteed "final strike" mechanism the Soviets had. If the system detected a nuclear conflict and did not periodically receive a signal telling it that Russian command was still operational, it automatically launched a retaliatory strike. There are various views on the Intel behind it and some think that such a system doesn't exist, but it was still a potential issue with a successful decapitation strike.
  3. The Ukrainians are basically turning Russian equipment losses into zombies. If you lose your equipment, it will eventually come back to kill you and make more zombies.
  4. We're in the tough position of either waiting for Putin to escalate the frequency and level of atrocities committed against civilians to justify the increase of NATO involvement or risking global catastrophe by involving NATO as a deterrent for future atrocities. We know what our hearts and the Ukrainians want (need). But if the Ukrainians can bleed out Russia long enough, it can be avoided. We owe Ukraine a huge debt that can never truly be repaid.
  5. If we're thinking it, it's likely Putin is thinking it. Paranoia is running sky high in the Ural Mountains, right now. Smoke'em if ya got'em, boys and girls. Gonna be a hard week.
  6. Believe me, I know. I started the thread on TOS and this thread. I've been hawkish on confronting Putin for over a decade. I'm saying this sloppiness and lack of preparation for international blowback is out of character. Something is very off with this and the Doomsday Clock is 11:58, probably.
  7. The more this goes on, the more I am thinking this was actually an internal coup to remove Putin. Feed him bad Intel, when he acts on that intel and decides to invade, sabotage his invasion with the worst war planning we have seen since Hitler's second half of WW2, and leave Putin in a such a weakened state that the people of Russia are practically begging for him to be removed and the rest of the world will gladly accept his replacement. This whole operation seems so out of character for Putin that he's either gone insane or he was sabotaged by his own circle of Intel and generals. If he doesn't take Kyiv by Monday, I'm seriously concerned that he will hold a nuclear gun to the rest of the world's head and demand a way out of this mess.
  8. I wanna party with that guy, but now I know for sure I couldn't hang.
  9. They've been in contact with Putin over the last 3 or 4 days and did an about face on their position. Very telling.
  10. China abstained the last round of voting. They did not vote no.
  11. I mean, under our previous knowledge of Russian combat readiness, I 100% agree. But as each day of this invasion passes, I find myself seriously questioning our intelligence on Russian combat readiness. Starting to look like the Russian military could fuck up a 1 car funeral.
  12. Something has changed in his calculus that has made him desperate. Not sure what it is, but his response to his situation has been so poorly miscalculated and such a huge mistake that I am wondering if he is dying or if this has been an intelligence coup from the inside of his circle of most trusted advisors.
  13. If he's truly moving on to indiscriminate bombing of population centers, then we'll be in the endgame on this. Europe, and the world in general, is already having a really hard time stomaching what we are seeing. Putin can neither afford to escalate, retreat, or leave the pace as is. Very precarious position we're all in. Probably the most danger the world has been in since the Cuban Missile Crisis.
  14. Anyone who has played an online game against anyone in Russia should be familiar with cyka blyat.
  15. I like "tripskreig," personally. Rhymes with the original better. Maybe we should trademark it for shirts. You heard it here first.
  16. On mobile, so I can't link it because I suck, but look up the Able Archer exercise of 1983. Almost caused WW3, depending on which Russian account you believe.
  17. As close to immediately as militarily possible. A handful of F35s with F22 escorts would wipe out mobile AA pretty quick and then it's Brrrrrt time. But that's just my halfway educated armchair take. I'd gladly listen to someone in the Air Force correct me.
  18. My friend MIRV would like to have a word with you. He's currently riding on the USS Ohio.
  19. They weren't overly worried until now. I might have my facts mixed, but Finland was only floating the idea before and Sweden had never really inquired into it, that I can remember, until this invasion. But, again, I'm not able to double check that, right now.
  20. It's too late now, but I would not have been opposed to putting a small tripwire force in Ukraine after Crimea. We could theoretically launch some precision strikes on Belarus, but Russia stationed troops there way in advance and we didn't press them on it like they would us. I'm all for automatic and immediate inclusion of Finland and Sweden, though. The time for Russia dictating NATO membership is over. It was over the moment they moved away from diplomacy by invading Ukraine. All of Europe needs and deserves NATO protection from Russian aggression.
  21. However, there is a lot of pro-Kremlin tribal forces out of region now. I could forsee an opportunistic tribe moving to quickly gain territory.
  22. Life is cheaper the farther east you go in that country. We have pockets of that type of mentality in our country, but Russia and Eastern Europe have whole regions.
  23. Also, this video documenting a night of protesting the Russian backed government.
  24. That and Putin is nowhere near the Kremlin. He's probably in their equivalent of the Cheyenne Mountain complex.
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