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Everything posted by Eastwood
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As these airlines continue to lose money and shutter some operations, they need less planes. These fleets are old and only 3rd world airlines are going to buy them. This COVID thing will eventually be gone and the airlines that shed planes will need new planes.
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Things seem to be going quite well for Joe Biden
Eastwood replied to Parliament's topic in Cloak Room
But Ron Johnson doesn't want to speculate... He'll just gently guide Fox News to do it for him. -
Things seem to be going quite well for Joe Biden
Eastwood replied to Parliament's topic in Cloak Room
I haven't kept up with this thread, but had seen Fox News and others try to insinuate the possibility of child pornogrpahy being on the hard drive. But Giuliani says he is in possession of the hard drive and has been since 2019. Wouldn't that then mean that Giuliani has been in possession of illegal contraband and did not immediately report it to law enforcement upon discovery? I'm sure Federal agents and the New York Bar would like to know more... -
The oldest demographic isn't the only one at risk, though. Obesity, diabetes, autoimmune disorders, and on and on. Over 1/3 of the entire nation is at an elevated level of risk for COVID complications. So over 1/3 have to shelter in place while those who are healthy get to walk around unabated and continue to give the virus hosts, prolonging the situation and further increasing the odds that the at-risk population become infected despite their precautions? Stay-at-home and mask orders aren't quarantine. They are mitigation tactics that serve several purposes, the most important being the decrease in infection rate to a manageable level that won't cause a massive spike that hospitals are overwhelmed by. I leave my home fairly often for groceries, going to the park, Home Depot, etc. But I keep out of bars, restaurants, and basically anywhere that I don't need to be and I wear a mask if I'm going to be near people and I always wear a mask indoors. This isn't an all or nothing deal, here. People aren't being asked to lock themselves in their home. They're just being asked to stop unnecessarily exposing themselves to possible infection by having parties, participating in indoor recreational activities, and working from home if at all possible. The fact that some people can't come to grips with that is insane to me. We could have been close to being over this, by now, but now we are closer to a vaccine than a community-led effort to eliminate the virus.
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COVID-19 2nd wave - Texas only - Stats and such
Eastwood replied to justhookit's topic in Daily Texan
I definitely relate to the travel thing. A couple of times over the lockdown period, we have traveled to visit family that is also locking down. The days that we are there, everyone is in a good mood, the kids are behaving like they used to, they're perfectly potty trained, and they respect bedtime like they used to. We got an Airbnb with a big back yard in Galveston at the end of summer and everything was running like it used to while we were there. Hell, even when we are just at a city park for hours, the kids are in a perfect mood. The moment we walk back through the door of the house, things immediately start to sour despite mentally preparing for it and trying to stay positive and actively trying to create a positive atmosphere. It's gotten to the point where I think we might have to sell the house when this is all over with. It's accumulated too much of a bad vibe with the family and has started to feel less like a home and more like a prison. If we can't shake that after this is all done, we will have to move. -
Does this mean I'm one of those fancy "content creators" the internet keeps yapping about?
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COVID-19 2nd wave - Texas only - Stats and such
Eastwood replied to justhookit's topic in Daily Texan
This thing has exacted a heavy psychological and emotional toll on my household with small children and we haven't contracted COVID. I couldn't imagine what it would devolve into without it. Compound that with no family that can watch the kids within 180 miles, and we have had our kids (aged 5 and 3) 24 hours a day, 7 days a week for 7 months and 5 days, as of today. I can't think of a single time in my conscious life where my mom ever had me non-stop for that long of a period. Wife has asthma and I have two very elderly grandparents that I need to be able to help at a moment's notice, if the situation arises, so school and pre-k isn't an option and we are pretty much locked down. When a funk takes over the house, it is hell on Earth for about a week. Good luck to anyone else out there in a similar situation and know that you aren't alone and it does indeed suck. -
I love this game. Just wish I had more time to play it. I play with a joystick and remapped the controls on the keyboard to fit around WASD. W and S are throttle up and throttle down, Q E R are shields front, back, centered. A and D are look left and right, V is look up. F is targeting and the rest is handled by the buttons on the joystick. I swapped the roll and yaw because they had roll being the rudder swivel on the joystick and it threw me off way too much. I really recommend setting up your controls this way if you are used to FPS on MKB.
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538 has the odds, as of today, of Trump flipping a state Clinton won in 2016 at 26%. However, to put it into perspective how truly dire it is for Trump in the polls, flipping a former Clinton state has the highest odds for all of the positive election outcomes for Trump. Winning is at 12%, popular vote at 4%, winning more than 50% of the popular vote at 2%, and down and down the odds go. Therefore, Nevada can flip if it wants. It's the most likely positive thing to happen for him, anyway.
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The wife and I were talking about this the other night. She's brand new to politics and didn't start paying attention until COVID when she realized that the government actually can play a huge role in the day to day lives of its citizens. She asked if Trump supporters were typical of Republican support for past presidents. I think the honest answer, being a former Republican myself, is no. And it has only escalated as the presidency moved on to the point where just talking about common decency is enough to get some dander up because I think a significant chunk of Trump supporters know, deep down, that they're being assholes to family and friends. They do so out of a sunk-cost fallacy. "I've been backing this position for 3 years. If I turn back now, I'll look like an idiot." So, they'd rather be an asshole than look like an idiot. Then others take the all-in approach as a subconscious self-defense mechanism. If they are forced to question their judgment regarding Trump, maybe their judgment in other areas of friction in their lives was bad, too. They would have to accept that they lost friends and loved and they have no one to blame but themselves. Rather than do that, they cling to the belief that they're not wrong, everyone else that they pushed away was wrong. The majority of Trump supporters fit those two molds, in my opinion. They're all-in because they've burned all their bridges and there's no turning back or they're acting on a subconscious level of self-preservation. Then you have people like my grandparents. Small town folk from a small town congregation that has been slamming the podium twice on Sunday and once on Wednesday for 30 years about how this country is trying to make Christianity illegal, outlaw prayer, burn your bibles, and kill babies in the delivery room. In their eyes, Trump is a clown, but they hold their nose and pull the lever for him because voting for a Democrat in their eyes means voting for the end of Christianity.
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Also: https://www.businessinsider.com/sweden-shifts-away-no-lockdown-strategy-amid-growing-case-numbers-2020-10 So, by your favorite metric, being death, Sweden is actually a failure compared to its neighbors who instituted a lockdown. Also, they are nowhere near as close to herd immunity as they thought.
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Death rate is the wrong metric to go by and it drives me crazy that it continues to be used at the litmus test by certain groups for how the pandemic should be handled. There are people on this site who have given personal anecdotes as to how their COVID experience went and a lot of these stories involve multiple visits to health care providers, testing by health care providers, multiple days or weeks of illness and lack of productivity, and lingering effects. We're talking medical bills, loss of PTO, loss of wages due to lack of PTO, stressing an already thin health care system, etc. Death may be the ultimate toll that COVID may have on someone, but just because people aren't dying in droves like they were in April doesn't mean that a major wave of COVID won't be extremely disruptive to our lives and prolong the amount of time that we, as a society, have to deal with this horrible situation.
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Or intentionally infecting the citizens of Tuskegee with syphilis. Or the CIA trafficking cocaine into the US. Or the Teapot Dome Scandal....
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To add something to the hope jar, my dad, who is an Old Army Aggie, flipped his vote to Biden. Trump slowly lost him over time, but the only specific example that he gave to me was the downplaying of the virus, being given medicine not available to the general public, exposing others for his mini-parade, and then continuing to downplay it after. My dad hasn't been infected with COVID, but his personal and professional life has been affected enough to where he knows beyond a shadow of a doubt that it's real and serious. I also know of two other Trump voters who flipped to Biden for 2020. The only Trump voters left in my family are the evangelicals and they are single issue voters.
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What happens here and over there, to piggyback off of this, is that both Europe and the US were so eager to spike the football on COVID. The moment numbers start dropping back down, people are screaming to open back up and eager to declare that it was overblown. Europe was way more strict than we were after watching Italy fell apart for a brief time and even they are having trouble again. What that tells me is that COVID is going to be a problem until a vaccine is available. Especially since it is beginning to be accepted that a person can have multiple infections AND we still don't have a conclusive reason as to why some healthy people have so much trouble with the virus. The medical community is pretty unanimous on which preexisting conditions greatly increase the risk of hospitalization and death, but when it comes to healthy people, it is still a mystery. They made some discoveries regarding blood type, but the medical community still isn't close to a consensus on it. The second wave in New Zealand should have been enough for a reasonable person to conclude that we can't beat this completely until it is eradicated with a vaccine. A small island with very restrictive points of entry with very restrictive protocols that had gotten their cases down to literally zero and held at zero for a long time after opening back up fully had a second wave. As long as a virus has a host, it will have the potential to spread. As long as there are people are running around like the last 7 months never happened, the virus will not only spread, but "innocent bystanders" who have been following protocols the entire time will continue to have a non-zero chance at getting it from someone acting selfishly. Our only hope is an effective vaccine that has an extremely low rate of side effects.
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Check out the volume on Hertz today. 1 billion shares. Up 142%. They had some news today, but I'm thinking the meat of the surge had to do with Robinhood increasing margin requirements overnight. Hertz was a Robinhood darling.
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Damn, they really went and dug up David Carradine and rolled him out to ask that question.
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Biden nailed the Green New Deal/fracking question and I say that as someone whose livelihood depends on fossil fuels. The reality is that the future is renewables, but to try to shoehorn a 100% transition in less than a decade would be an economic disaster. A smoother transition is needed.
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It wouldn't surprise me if we go green today. I guess it should stop surprising us if days like this do go green.
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