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TwiceHorn

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Everything posted by TwiceHorn

  1. I give that poster a break, there's a lot of (mis)information floating about, including a narrative that the denuded NWS fucked the dog. As much as I'd like to blame the whole mess on Trump, Elmo, and DOGE, NWS' performance is a testament to the civil servants that work there (present and past), who got their job done, despite adverse conditions.
  2. I don't see NWS being at fault hardly at all, even with the cuts, they warned of "life-threatening flooding" about an hour before it took place. Seems like everything downstream of NWS and local is at major fault for not seeing that NWS' message was distributed where it mattered and not reacting with sufficient urgency.
  3. Yeah, the concept of original sin isn't so much banal evil as being apart from God. Which basically means God lets shit happen, and if you want divine help, you must seek it. And that doesn't mean a new McMansion and a BMW in the driveway, but being able to deal with the slings and arrows of outrageous fortune, which is often as simple and as complex as just doing the next right thing, whatever that may be. So, prayer is often an after-the-fact thing in that something terrible has happened, how do I deal with it. But if you are prayerful, or for the non-believer, spiritual, constant contact with your divinity, while it doesn't prevent disasters, seems to help avoid them somehow.
  4. Well, it does say 76, which was pretty prime time for my cohort, even a tad early. But I suspect it got more "strenuous" as time passed. And, it wasn't really exclusive in terms of being extraordinarily expensive or hard to get into until fairly recently (there seems to have been a camp explosion as Longhorn has added still a third camp). In fact, Waldemar was considered the fancy-pants girls camp probably for most of their co-existence. But, it's like everything else in wealth-inequality asset-explosion land, it has become more exclusive over time.
  5. Yeah same and I knew a lot of Mystic campers, a guy who worked there summers in HS, and some family friends were close to what apparently were the earlier generations of camp ownership. The whole Christian thing, besides a kind of nominal thing, seems to be a latter-day development. Which pretty much makes sense.
  6. Intelligent, educated clergy are amazing companions and friends.
  7. I am paying attention to outcomes. The truth is out about Mamdani and his unfortunate, but probably not uncommon privileged gaming of affirmative action. That's really the end of the story on that topic. The other topic is NYT's ethics in taking information from a piece of shit like Jordan Lasker, which is unfortunate, but actually tut tutting. Also ironic that you would pick this particular subtopic to talk about outcomes versus processes.
  8. Geezus Christ. We're talking about a specific instance of bad facts from a bad source. Generalizing, the 4th Amendment in a criminal case is one of the few instances where we concern ourselves with the source of facts and will suppress them when the source or process that led to their discovery is tainted. We're not talking about court generally, or fascists generally, just Jordan Lasker. We're talking about facts and whether and how they should be used when they come from a tainted source. You will find any fucking excuse to twist what I say into support for fascists.
  9. Right it hasn't been suppressed. But that seems to be what people are arguing for? It came from a piece of shit so it should be ignored despite its truth.
  10. I'm not touching on the merits or demerits of Zohran Mamdani. Just that this is a bit of an issue. Bit doing some heavy lifting. It's intriguing to me for a couple of reasons. While I am now fully of the mind that programs that advantage minorities are justified, affirmative action in the employment and education admissions contexts have often troubled me, because it comes closer to a zero-sum game than most other contexts. And when you get to problematic attempts to "game the system" (if in fact that's what this is, you can have an interesting argument on that point alone) like this, the problem is underscored. The other thing here is suppressing factual information because it is a) disadvantageous and b) comes from an extremely distasteful source is extremely problematic. Another sticky wicket in the First Amendment/Free Expression argument. Although I submit it's not really a sticky wicket at all. To the extent truthiness can be determined, let it out. So, I can't disagree with NYTs decision to report this, but how they reported it may be a different matter. Funny thing, this factual reporting but with a tinge or spin on some related or background issue is what conservatards point to as lying in the media, while conservative media abandons fact altogether.
  11. The woke-ass NOAA had to put this up while Florida was doing its little spasm. Pretty comprehensive about all the chemtrail, space laser and other weather mod conspiracies out there. https://www.noaa.gov/news/fact-check-debunking-weather-modification-claims
  12. My main concern is that the Lasker information is, apparently, true. So, that's a bit of a problem for Mamdani. A separate issue is NYT reporting it while calling Lasker an academic opposed to affirmative action. While that is literally true, it's a pretty horrendous minimization of him. Some other fun tidbits. Lasker is a PhD candidate at Tceh, but that is one well-hidden fact. https://www.linkedin.com/in/jordan-l-b84457304?trk=people-guest_people_search-card He's also speaking at a "Natalist" conference held on the UT campus at the ATT Conference Center. ATT apparently is just a hotel that anyone can book for just about anything but geezus. "Natalists" are white supremacist eugenicists.
  13. Um, that whole 4th Amendment thing? Speaking in this case about the checkered origin of the truth. And, again, had the procedures had the time to spin out, he'd be convicted on more than 34 counts.
  14. So what's going on at Inks? I'm thinking about the floating cabins at Camp Longhorn.
  15. Yeah, agreed. News outlets is one thing, but private is not. The off chance it's inaccurate could be horrific.
  16. Well, I think the election was lost due to people who really aren't Trumpanzees, but were simply insufficiently engaged or smart (like Rogan himself) not to be taken by the propaganda. And some of the more benign Trump forces like Rogan and Von heavily influenced them. So, if you are able to uninfluence them the same way, they will probably flip and we get something more resembling 2020.
  17. I guess we as individuals are allowed to ignore the annoying and intrusive Amber, Blue, and Silver alerts. Personally, I keep the Severe Events activated because they have actually alerted me to things I didn't know were going on. But, if you have responsibility for a bunch of other people, I don't think you are or should be allowed to turn those off. But, even had the camp directors and others responsible had them on, it sounds like they may not have gotten anything. Still, there's weather radio and I think it's incumbent on LEO and county officials to take seriously and notify places like camps and schools of severe situations in unincorporated areas.
  18. Kerr County: Donald J. Trump 76.8% Kamala Harris 22.4% Most Mystic campers are going to be from affluent areas, so it's not guaranteed, but a decent percentage of Trumpists. Trump has a way of coring those people out. Eating out their substance.
  19. Point of order, most Republicans in fact do not listen to Jesus. At all.
  20. If "she" is really a "she" or a "he," it's Canadian, for God's sake.
  21. Yeah it seems the message was delivered by NWS/NOAA and in time. You can quibble about whether it was "serious" enough, as if predictions of 4-8" when 10+ came would have really made much difference. It did say "life-threatening flash flooding events." The message didn't get out and wasn't heeded.
  22. utee94 is a good guy I think and not actually a Trumper and probably considers himself pretty apolitical. But in that may have his head a bit in the sand about what Trump is doing to our country. The thrall in which Trump holds hardcore red state politicians like Texas' is something to behold and really fucking disgusting and un-Texan.
  23. Yeah, let us not forget that DOGE blasted email to everyone giving them a deal to retire/resign that included an implicit threat that if you don't, you'll be terminated.
  24. Oh I see the address you put in. Again, that's the nearby Camp Mystic Cypress Lake. The Camp that was destroyed is north where the striped part meets the blue part, just south of the River and on either side of that creek. It's not labeled on Google Maps (and is not searchable any longer oddly) but here about where it says "Edmunson Creek" is about the center of it. One of my best friends growing up's mother grew up in a really cool house right around there on Hwy 39 and was a Mystic camper herself I guess in the 50s. I used to know the area pretty well, but it has been quite some time now and things have gotten hazy. But yeah, the FEMA map was kind of spot on as far as Cypress Lake being out of the flood zone.
  25. Not sure how you're reading that, but the adjacent "Regulatory Floodway" means certain to flood, and the rest of it means Special Hazard Flood Area (SHFA), so squarely within the 100-year floodplain and without a base flood elevation.
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