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Hagbard Celine

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Everything posted by Hagbard Celine

  1. neither accuse, admit or stuff bags tosu announcing they are playing by the rules is so stupid, i will be surprised if aggy can't resist creaming their summer cake with the same confession ejaculation the screencap upthread about fake money being thrown around is the best explanation college football is creating their own version of mortgage-backed securities and collateralized debt obligations we are winning with a diverse portfolio - can we at least get to december and see how this first settlement cycle plays out?
  2. example 8000 of our federation's stupidity the women are playing a friendly v. canada today.... kicking off 30 minutes after the men's guat qf
  3. i don't do social so just to make sure i understand this correctly..... @cupdates dude is either the official or defacto xitter updater dude for the director's cup aggy owns intertrons aggy bitches up a storm about ebil sips playing sportz aggy don't play therefore sips did not win director's cup OR director's cup is not real OR goatfucking is not included in director's cup, etc. @cupdates dude can't use his socialtrons because of aggy infestation @cupdates dude creates NEW metric exactly the way aggy would - selective data parsing specific to aggy not only does aggy not win aggy-specific metrics, they don't finish top 5, and sips still win did i get that right? please post texags or secrant links documenting the afterbirth
  4. what the resolution to the new jersey flap from december?
  5. i searched "what are the worst washing machine brands" and ai listed every us brand except speedqueen but 3.5cf is too small so i am going to end up buying the same fucking machine i bought last time because it's the only one larger than 3.5cf that does not have a bunch of electronics i don't want and don't need it's official western civilization, at least the us market for washing machines, has completed 100% enshittification we can't build a washing machine that doesn't suck the end is near
  6. that page says he's been a student at cocks since august of 2016 the bayler polo indicating a waco connection leads to this: there is no church in waco with that name, but there is a church with that name in cocktown sc for someone with this prolific level of output, zero podcast appearances, zero interviews, zero youtube tiktok social anything, zero public events, zero, zero, zero
  7. rising up like a salmon
  8. catching up and very late to post the departure of Olen Underwood, a junior starter in '63, on 28 february 2025 his son and i were part of the same jester east tribe 84-86, so i went to their house a couple of times very low key on the memorabilia - he had a '63 team signed football and 1 small framed pic as a bronco - no oilers despite the conroe home base https://www.legacy.com/us/obituaries/courier/name/olen-underwood-obituary?id=57868606 his last game as a horn was the 65 orange bowl - namath DID NOT get in to the endzone - and this new video posted 8 months ago proves it:
  9. aggy are WHITE HOT and a human named BOOBIE FEASTER
  10. we need to have the blinking envelope and the ag tag
  11. aggy irl do not write with perfect spelling, grammar and syntax no one has filmed or recorded him period, much less speaking extemporaneously at this point i would take odds on him not even knowing about the use of his name and image
  12. rewatching the penals.... did not know mls2 ties go to penals..... freese was 5 of 6 in philly union mls2 penals..... freese went the wrong way on the tico's first kick then guessed correctly on the next 5 there are lots of datapoints out there about penals..... +++ To determine the chance of correctly guessing the outcome of 5 consecutive penalty kicks, the probability of guessing correctly on a single kick is needed . 1. Probability of guessing correctly on a single penalty kick: Assuming each penalty kick has two outcomes (goal or miss), the probability of guessing correctly by chance would be 1/2 or 50%. 2. Probability of guessing correctly on 5 consecutive penalty kicks: Because each penalty kick is considered an independent event, the probability of guessing all 5 correctly can be calculated by multiplying the probability of guessing each kick correctly together. Therefore, the probability of guessing 5 consecutive penalty kicks correctly is (1/2) * (1/2) * (1/2) * (1/2) * (1/2) = (1/2)^5 = 1/32. Result: The chance of correctly guessing the outcome of 5 consecutive penalty kicks is 1/32 or approximately 3.125%. Note: This calculation assumes a simple 50/50 chance for each penalty kick outcome. In reality, the probability of a penalty kick resulting in a goal is significantly higher, around 75-80%. However, when simply guessing the outcome without any knowledge of the player or situation, a 50/50 chance is a reasonable assumption. +++ According to BBC, only 4% of penalties shot down the middle of the goal are saved. In contrast, 16% of penalties shot to the side are saved. However, shooting down the middle can also increase the chances of hitting the woodwork (7%) or missing the target completely (17%). Other factors that can affect the outcome of a penalty kick include: Goalkeeper's position According to InnerDrive, goalkeepers are twice as likely to save a penalty if they stay in the middle of the goal instead of diving to the side. However, a 2021 study by Ben Lyttleton found that the middle of the goal is actually where goalkeepers save the most penalties. Goalkeeper's anticipation Goalkeepers who can anticipate the direction of the kick have a better chance of making a save. Goalkeeper's height and reach Taller goalkeepers with longer reaches may have an advantage in covering the goal. Psychological tactics Goalkeepers can use psychological tactics to distract the kicker. For example, a goalkeeper can stand slightly off-center to bias the penalty taker into kicking to the side with more space, allowing the goalkeeper to dive in that direction. +++ the bolded part about going down the middle and skying the ball, especially if the attempt is a panenka soft-loft, doesn't seem to make sense, but recall baggio 94 to fucking LOSE the world cup: +++ freese won this shootout over the world's former #1 navas is the most-decorated goalkeeeper in concacaf history - if you don't know it check it out: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keylor_Navas they both achieved an incredible statistical improbability of guessing correctly 5 in a row if there are 3 possible choices, left-center-right then making 5 correct choices in a row is not .5*.5 etc. it's .33 * .33 * .33 * .33 * .33 = 0.004 and they both did it (navas kicks 1-5, freese kicks 2-6) maybe i've seen battling keepers guess 5 in a row but i don't remember it so freese' achievement is more remarkable in that on the day he did it besting the former world #1 when navas was also channeling the force with all-galaxy form +++ choosing left right or down the middle is not the same thing as making the save - and that's how freese won navas choices 1 correct - on goal - fingertips - not saved 2 correct - on goal - fingertips - not saved 3 correct - missed goal - not saveable - "saved" 4 correct - on goal - not saveable - not saved 5 correct - on goal - saveable - saved 6 not correct - on goal - not saveable - not saved freese choices 1 not correct - on goal - not saveable - not saved 2 - correct - on goal - saveable - saved 3 - correct - on goal - fingertips - not saved 4 - correct - on goal - fingertips - not saved 5 - correct - on goal - saveable - saved (statue panenka!) (this is how the match was won) 6 - correct - on goal - saveable - saved so the tale of the tape... saveable - saved: navas 1 freese 3 fingertips - not saved: navas 2 freese 2 not saveable - not saved: navas 2 freese 1 at the end of the day, the nats took 1 better kick, with a keeper that made +2 saves, when both keepers guessed correctly 5 in a row, despite beerholder2 keeping navas alive this is just incredible when compared to the marianas trench graveyard of the three lions in tournament penals - you could see it in the ticos faces - with navas they were sure they were going to prevail +++ shots down the middle ticos: 2 nats: 0 i don't have a take on this but it's interesting - i don't recall any team going down the middle more than once in one set of penals +++ sod over turf remains a FULL AGGY decision only concalaugh and mls can justify to themselves +++ the older berhalter girl is going to be a supermodel however, like father like son the family karma is not copacetic with national team football
  13. thank you plorant i know i haven't seen it
  14. europe is not the problem it's big club big money contracts that are the problem keller was in the top 5 in the world so he was able to hold down the #1 position for millwall, leicester and rayo vallecano across 9 seasons he only held the #1 job at spurs for 1 year and then primarily played in cups the last 3 seasons managing 85 total appearances across 4 years at that point he was the US #2 and i would rate him only in the top 25 in the world after 78 games as the #1 for borussia mönchengladbach then a few months with fulham he came home to seattle forest, despite being in the wilderness for 30 years, have 2 stars above their crest they think they are a massive side no american keeper at a massive side is going to keep the #1 job without absolute perfection - 1 mistake and they're out - see howard, tim turner did not have the resume to sign with forest but the money was sweet - the expectation for us keepers in england is leicester/keller and black-villa/friedel the best us keeper in history is brad friedel he was top 5 in the world in 02 coming out of japan/korea here's his career: 1995–1996 Galatasaray 30 1996–1997 Columbus Crew 38 1997–2000 Liverpool 31 (THREE YEARS ONLY 31 APPS) 2000–2008 Blackburn Rovers 288 2008–2011 Aston Villa 114 2011–2015 Tottenham Hotspur 67 (granted at the end of his career but 67 apps across all comps over FOUR YEARS) us keepers should never sign straight in to the prem much less a massive side like turner did rev -> arsenal in 1 year at arsenal he had 7 appearances and 4 clean sheets he wasted a year and derailed his career for a cut of a $6m transfer fee and now he's definitely not the nats #1 maybe there is news out there i can't find but the forest->lyon $9m transfer story is 3 weeks stale i hope it falls through - ligue 1 is a terrible place for americans he needs to go to the eredivisie and take minimum wage (whatever that is) to start for a contending side so he has a chance to compete with freese how fickle are the soccer gods? ethan horvath came off the bench in the first concalaugh nations league final, saved a pk and was the hero of the night in denver 4 years ago after those heroics, with his brugge contract expired, he went to..... forest.... BEFORE promotion...., where he was graciously allowed the following starts in 21-22: Championship: 7 FA Cup: 2 League Cup (EFL Cup): 2 forest loaned him to luton and he was their #1 with 51 appearances and got luton promoted cardiff wanted some of that and thought horvath could take them to the prem after regaining the #1 job in feb this year he signed a 3.5-year deal through the end of the 27-28 season here's the ai description of what happened to horvath over the last year: +++ Ethan Horvath was the starting goalkeeper for Cardiff City at the beginning of the 2024-25 EFL Championship season. He started the first four league matches before being replaced by Jak Alnwick. He lost the #1 job on August 31, 2024. The reasons for this change were not explicitly stated, but comments from analysts suggest: Horvath had a difficult performance in a 5-0 loss to Burnley. Some analysts questioned his confidence and comfort level with playing the ball out from the back. There were concerns about his shot-stopping, which had previously been considered a strength. It is worth noting that Horvath regained the starting position in February 2025 and played well, but Cardiff City was ultimately relegated to League One. It is expected that Horvath may leave the club in the summer transfer window. +++ can he get out of the 3-year deal? can he land someplace that has a supporting cast? can that place in europe be visible to the us soccer community that creates the buzz around a player? +++ the worst thing mls could do would be to sell freese to cash in on the instant buzz from last night therefore, i expect that is exactly what they will do
  15. Hagbard Celine

    Rush

  16. the league has set up the aggy coaster for it's october crash both utsa and utah state will make aggy use their starters deep in to the 2nd half aggy starters will be roasting while up less than 3 scores on utah state, and domer will be on exercise bikes watching, because they are off that week in the last 2 months of this thread i only read 1 comment about domer, how texags approaches that game will be interesting - moral victory in advance or sleeper awakens? they are off after domer then have the 2 easiest sec games on their schedule at home, at which point they *should* be 4-1 with florida at pyle on october 11th then they go to fayettenam and death valley for probable night games that has 4-4 written all over it
  17. this female ref is really good and there is an interesting dynamic she brings to handbags situations - at least with these 2 teams they immediately back down from each other when she steps in
  18. and klopp is right only concalaugh would have panama playing in honduras' color
  19. @harpercollins can you fit 2 pillows in a 3.5 queen? and the speedqueen reviews are going downhill the last couple of years - how old is yours
  20. had a hell of a winter and spring so did not have a chance to get this in imax nice of netflix to spring for some quality content rather than their own made-up bullshit spacefiller my rating is a tufnel-11 the workprint received a 10-minute ovation at venice '21 they need to bring the 3 of them together in a room while they are still alive and yes, being lz, they have to do it
  21. to be fair, that's not a claimed natty, the ap did vote and did award that title however the ap DID NOT award a trophy for the first 5 titles (1936-1940) so if there *IS* a trophy in the blimp hangar, it's fake it should also be noted that aggy holds a unique distinction that can never be repeated reminder that for 30ish years the ap (and then coaches) polls were taken and titles awarded BEFORE the bowls aggy were awarded their 1939 title undefeated at 11-0, outscoring the opposition 212 to 31 HOWEVER tennessee were 10-0, and outscored their opposition 212 to 0 they scored the same number of points, but aggy needed an extra game to do it; tennessee were the defending national champions since the start of the bcs, and now with the playoffs, it is impossible for a team to be unbeaten, untied and unscored upon, and not win the national title advantage: aggy
  22. you never posted the pics of the 3-way with your wife and her bestie
  23. the ag swag index is trending low as we head in to the heat of summer there are 5 bellwether houses in my neighborhood that can be counted on to have gone full aggy cornholio by the summer solstice and only 1 of them has their flag out as of wednesday
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