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Texas Jeff

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Everything posted by Texas Jeff

  1. Texas Jeff
    Better than listenin' to some dipshit, doesn't know what the hell he's talkin' about, anyway!
  2. Texas Jeff
    Biden is directing all states to open it up to all adults by May 1st.
  3. Texas Jeff
    C'mon that was not his message. He was encouraging people to go get vaccinated as soon as they are able to find an opportunity. He set the vision that if we all do our part, we can celebrate the 4th of July with backyard gatherings. He said that large scale gatherings may not be wise by then, but we would follow the science. I'm paraphrasing but the message was go get vaxxed ASAP so that we can get back with friends and family and stop missing out on life.
  4. Texas Jeff
    Texas 1st shot percent now over 20%. Seniors will hit 50% on Friday.
  5. Texas Jeff
    Here's allocated does vs actual shots as of today. The blue line is first shots, the orange line is second shots. The solid lines are the federal allocation for Texas and the dotted lines are shots-in-arms. The lines curved upwards this week because of the J&J vaccine. Since only one dose of J&J is needed per person, it moves both the "first shot" and "fully vax" lines. The actual shot lines are tracking the allocation lines with a time delay, which tells me that we are still supply-constrained. The solid lines show only doses that the feds have already promised to deliver. Weekly allocations are usually released on Tuesday and move the lines upward. But you can see where we are headed.
  6. Texas Jeff
    Today, Texas' 7 day average daily 1st shots exceeded the capacity of DKR for the first time. I know the feds are delivering more vax but we are burning through it plus some of the backlog from the freeze. Texas is on pace to finish 50% of seniors five days from now and 50% of everyone over 16 by May 10th. At the 7 day rate, 100% of seniors should have a shot by April 30th and 100% of those over 16 by Aug 21st. The percentage of shots going to seniors is falling off, now around 37%. Seniors are still getting shots at about the same numbers each day, but dropping as a percentage of the whole as supply increases. Travis Co is catching up, but is still about 10 days behind the rest of the state for both seniors and everyone else.
  7. Texas Jeff
    Here's two: 1. On the Red Line, develop 3-4 stations with double tracked rail in the Robinson Ranch area to create a ribbon shaped urban area between roughly Lakeline Mall and the Domain. 2. Relocate Mopac (the train) to improve Mopac (the road) with commuter rail and maybe a second toll lane, allowing you to connect Round Rock/Robinson Ranch/the Domain/Downtown/South Austin all with commuter rail.
  8. Texas Jeff
    Right now it's all doses, 2 per customer. So right now it's enough to give 700k both shots. The J&J is just now arriving so next week that won't be true,
  9. Texas Jeff
    Yeah, about that inventory... Here's a look at inventory over time. This is for ALL shots, not just first shots. This is the amount of doses that have been received by sites but not injected. It is always going to be more than zero because it takes some time for a dose to go from the delivery dock to a shot in an arm. We were headed for lower inventory before the snowstorm. Now we have more because more shots per week arrived and we didn't give many shots during the snow. Still, it's about a week's worth of inventory at our current injection rate. Supply is going up but so is the rate of injection.
  10. Texas Jeff
    The "there are only seven notes in this song" is what Longhorn Band and many other SWC bands sang in the stands when SMU played their fight song. Ah, the SWC, where did it go? Sing along the next time you hear SMU play their fight song....
  11. Texas Jeff
    Last May Abbott "reopened" Texas. By mid-June he was looking for an out. Man, just when numbers were on the way down and everyone had water and electricity again...
  12. Texas Jeff
    They probably had a phone, but it was rotary dial and no one knew how to make a call.
  13. Texas Jeff
    I don't know the words either, however I do know: There are only seven notes in their song There are only seven notes in their song There are only seven notes There are only seven notes There are only seven notes in their song.
  14. Texas Jeff
    Currently 39% of Texans 65+ have had a 1st shot.
  15. Texas Jeff
    Here's a look at the Texas vaccine allocation vs reality through the end of February. Solid lines show what was allocated, dashed lines show what actually happened. Allocations run ahead of shots. You can see that Texas was catching up with the allocated amounts through mid Feb, got knocked back by the storm, but is now getting back on track.
  16. Texas Jeff
    What's the demographic like at the UT site? Average age and obvious co-morbidity or not? I am registered with UT and willing to wait my turn but it would be nice to know how they are selecting people and about what age they are currently inviting, so that I could judge my place in line.
  17. Texas Jeff
    Some of the data you want is here: https://www.dshs.texas.gov/immunize/covid19/COVID-19-Vaccine-Data-by-County.xls You can see how many 1A and 1B, total allocations, people with one shot and fully vaccinated, over 65, people with a medical condition, all broken down by county.
  18. Texas Jeff
    Texas Week 12 is out: https://www.dshs.state.tx.us/news/updates/COVIDVaccineAllocation-Week12.pdf In Travis Co, APH stays the same at 12k. UT ramping up, now over 9k shots per week. Seton really back in the game with 14k Moderna. This is the first week that Travis Co's first shot weekly allocation has cleared the bar to vaccinate everyone over 16 in six months. Some other counties in central Texas are pretty far behind, particularly Bastrop, so these extra shots should help the region catch up with state averages.
  19. Texas Jeff
    Texas Week 11 is out. Welcome to Texas, FEMA... https://www.dshs.state.tx.us/news/updates/COVIDVaccineAllocation-Week11.pdf FEMA will be setting up sites at Jerry World, Fair Park, and NRG Stadium. 42k doses for DFW, 42K for Houston. UT and Seton getting more allocation in Austin, along with some other non-APH sites. Shots at Fair Park cost 10 tickets and come with a fried item of your choice.
  20. Texas Jeff
    Best you can do today is watch the control room sweat it out. Here's Curiosity's view of landing on Mars, from 2012. I think the thing dropping at the beginning is the heat shield.
  21. Texas Jeff
    Earth again invades Mars today, good luck JPL and NASA: https://mars.nasa.gov/mars2020/ Landing is around 2:55 central time this afternoon. Here's a preview of the landing: This rover has a drone helicopter attached. They are going to attempt powered autonomous flight on Mars. JPL is no place for the meek.
  22. Texas Jeff
    Interesting, I stand corrected... Right now they show 1000 first shots in inventory, I was going on that. They really need to be aiming for the 5k mark per day county wide for first shots, for all of the hubs in the county -- 35k first shots per week. A capacity of 10k shots per day. However you get there, hubs, HEB, whatever. 35k first shots per week gets you to 100% of the over 16 population in Travis Co in 30 weeks from when you started, which is around August or so. Right now Travis Co has a seven day average of 1841 per day, or about 12,900 per week. They need to double or triple capacity and hope that the vaccine supplies increase, and be ready when they do.
  23. Texas Jeff
    I am pretty sure they are getting rid of their shots. I don't think they have enough allocation to service the area at the same rate that other areas of Texas are getting shots.
  24. Texas Jeff
    Some milestones: Over 1/8th of Texans over 16 have had a first shot About 1/3rd of Texans over 65 have had a first shot Senior Texans are still tracking to be 50% first shots around March 6th and 100% first shots around May 1st. They are still getting about half the vaccine statewide. It will be interesting to see at what point the senior curve starts to flatten; so far it's a straight line. The date for Texans over 16 has pulled in a bit, now June 18th for 50% first shots and Dec 1st for 100% first shots. Travis Co is not doing as well as the statewide numbers. Seniors are getting a lower share of vaccine and Travis Co is overall about a week behind the state averages. Travis Co has fallen a week behind in a month of giving shots, so the 50% and 100% numbers are pushing way out. Travis Co could use additional allocations, either more to UT (Dell Med) or an additional vaccination site for APH, or give vax to local pharmacies.
  25. Texas Jeff
    Did any of the city officials appear to be speaking from Cabo?

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