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Texas Jeff

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Everything posted by Texas Jeff

  1. They need to open it up. Every day where they inject fewer people than the max they could handle is a chance to give someone a shot you can't get back. If it was just a few appts in reserve, I wouldn't mind. But a third of their weekly allocation ... they are just prolonging the epidemic.
  2. Texas is past the 1/3 mark for 1st shots and this weekend will pass 20% fully vaccinated. We are a week away from the 50-64 age group passing 50% first shots and 26 days away from everyone over 18 passing 50% first shots. Seniors are at 62% first shots but demand is slowing.
  3. We are playing chicken with the virus. People are tired of living this way and looking for a reason to declare that it's over. Hopefully vaccines will beat back the variants. If you look at the northeast, they are clearly having an outbreak that is spreading, and they are more vaccinated that we are. Hopefully, there is enough time for more vaccine to get in arms here before whatever is going on in the northeast arrives in Texas.
  4. "Conan O'Brian Can't Stop", streaming on Amazon Prime. Gives you a look inside his tour after whatever happened to him with NBC happened. If you don't like Conan this may not be for you, but it shows you what happens to a guy that goes on the road night after night. He's totally energetic onstage and wiped out offstage. Everybody wants just five minutes with him, or a photo, or something signed.
  5. Sounds like they unfroze their supply for a clinic and then not enough folks showed up for the clinic. Dimmit is at 50% first shots already. 600 shots would have covered like 8% of the county. As these rural areas start to get to high percentages, the state needs to start sending J&J out there rather than the frozen stuff, just to avoid waste.
  6. Here's some video of the helicopter being developed. Hard to tell how big the rotors are, but you get the general idea. At one point they tell it to climb to 1 meter and from that it looks like the rotors are maybe a meter across.
  7. You J&J fans are going to love next week. Last week's J&J allocation for Texas: 30,200 This week: 153,900 Next week: 392,100 Pfizer dropped 80k for next week, Moderna went up 10k, but J&J was the big winner. Next week will be the first week for Texas with over a million first shots.
  8. J&J can be stored between 36 and 46 degrees F. You are not supposed to freeze it. It is a game changer because of the easy storage requirements, the low cost, and the single dose -- compared with Pfizer and Moderna.
  9. Texas Week 16 is out: https://www.dshs.texas.gov/news/updates/COVIDVaccineAllocation-Week16.pdf Anyone know why UT received zero doses this week? Also, most of the J&J (45k shots) went to "DSHS CENTRAL PHARMACY WAREHOUSE" and 24k Pfizer doses went to "Texas DSHS Laboratory". What is the state doing with all of that vaccine?
  10. If you or anyone else is still looking: 1. Make sure you are on UT's list -- anyone eligible can join. https://uthealthaustin.org/patient-resources/covid-19-updates/covid-19-vaccination Pfizer quantities are going up next week and UT is a Pfizer site. 2. On Monday and on Thursdays, at 5:45 PM, try to get in line with APH: https://covid19.austintexas.gov/s/?language=en_US The big batch of appointments has been going out Monday nights, but there are sometimes extras on Thursday nights. Make sure you can sign in to your account prior to 5:45. If you can't, try adding ".aph" to your user name. For example, joe@gmail.com would be joe@gmail.com.aph. Don't ask why ... just try it. At 5:45 you will be placed in an online queue. At 6pm they will randomly assign you a place in line to get an appointment. If you are 3000th in line and they have 3001 appointments, you'll get one if you just wait. People drop out so even if you are 4000th in line for 3000 appointments you have a chance. "Waiting" means you just have a browser open until it is your turn to pick an appointment. Check out Austin Public Health on twitter to see when appointments are being released. Monday night you could have just logged in and gotten an appointment. For about a hour they had appointments available and an empty waiting room. They eventually filled the appointments. 3. https://coryellhealth.org is north of Ft Hood, about an hour north of Austin. They tend to dump all of their appointments for the week at one time. If you catch them just after the dump, you can get an appointment.
  11. Feds out with first dose vaccine numbers for next week for Texas: Pfizer 441,090 -- up 81,900 from last week which was itself a record Pfizer week Moderna 260,400 -- stable over the last six weeks or so J&J 153,900 -- up 123,700 from last week, not quite up to the 219,200 from their first week but their ramp has begun Next week will be a new record at 855,390 first shots allocated to Texas, only the second week over 700k. Second shots should also set a record as the effects of the winter storm wash out. It will be interesting to see how DSHS deploys the extra Pfizer and J&J.
  12. Milestone. APH has more shots than takers for the first time.
  13. My wife got both shots through APH. She heard nothing from them until the day before she was due for the second shot. No way to sign up in the portal. The day before, she got an email with an appointment time and location for the next day. The location for the second shot was different, so she had to drive to the Austin ISD PAC rather than the Delco Center for the second shot. So check the location as well as the time and date if you get an email appointment. Her onsite experience for the second shot was great. She took a printout for the second appointment with her, which I think had a QR code they scanned, but there was almost no line and she was back home less than an hour after she left. here's a tweet from APH with a flowchart telling you what to do based on your online portal status:
  14. More than 25% of Texans over 16 now have a first shot. At this pace we will hit 50% in 40 days. And based on recent progress I would take the under. Phase 2 (no restrictions) is coming sooner than people think -- I have no inside info, they are just going to run out of 1A/1B/1C arms.
  15. Every Tuesday, the feds publish allocation data for the next week here: https://www.hhs.gov/coronavirus/covid-19-vaccines/distribution/index.html That leads to Friday, when the state publishes allocation data for the next week here: https://www.dshs.state.tx.us/coronavirus/immunize/vaccineallocations.aspx The feds have a table just for J&J (Janssen) and the state breaks it out in their weekly allocations. So you can see how much J&J is coming to Texas and where it is going by the weekend before the distribution week. I don't have a link for the J&J ramp but I have read articles saying that the first week was a dump of all of the vaccine they had made up until that point, in the time when they were waiting for their trial to be over and for EUA approval. That was "Week 13". Now we are in a period where the initial dump is distributed and they are just distributing what they are able to manufacture that week, which is lower. However, I have read that once the factory ramp period is over they are going to be producing a lot of J&J quickly ... and that period could be over around the end of March. Put that together and we had a happy J&J week 13, followed by a trickle for a few weeks, followed hopefully by a flood in April.
  16. The projected date at which 50% of Texans will have a first shot keeps moving in. Last weekend it was May 11th. Yesterday it hit May 1st. Today it is April 27th. The number of first shots per day is just flying up. Expect a little flattening over the next two weeks because there is not much J&J this week or next, followed by maybe a lot more J&J in late March and April. But holy cow the numbers are rising.
  17. Better than listenin' to some dipshit, doesn't know what the hell he's talkin' about, anyway!
  18. Biden is directing all states to open it up to all adults by May 1st.
  19. C'mon that was not his message. He was encouraging people to go get vaccinated as soon as they are able to find an opportunity. He set the vision that if we all do our part, we can celebrate the 4th of July with backyard gatherings. He said that large scale gatherings may not be wise by then, but we would follow the science. I'm paraphrasing but the message was go get vaxxed ASAP so that we can get back with friends and family and stop missing out on life.
  20. Texas 1st shot percent now over 20%. Seniors will hit 50% on Friday.
  21. Here's allocated does vs actual shots as of today. The blue line is first shots, the orange line is second shots. The solid lines are the federal allocation for Texas and the dotted lines are shots-in-arms. The lines curved upwards this week because of the J&J vaccine. Since only one dose of J&J is needed per person, it moves both the "first shot" and "fully vax" lines. The actual shot lines are tracking the allocation lines with a time delay, which tells me that we are still supply-constrained. The solid lines show only doses that the feds have already promised to deliver. Weekly allocations are usually released on Tuesday and move the lines upward. But you can see where we are headed.
  22. Today, Texas' 7 day average daily 1st shots exceeded the capacity of DKR for the first time. I know the feds are delivering more vax but we are burning through it plus some of the backlog from the freeze. Texas is on pace to finish 50% of seniors five days from now and 50% of everyone over 16 by May 10th. At the 7 day rate, 100% of seniors should have a shot by April 30th and 100% of those over 16 by Aug 21st. The percentage of shots going to seniors is falling off, now around 37%. Seniors are still getting shots at about the same numbers each day, but dropping as a percentage of the whole as supply increases. Travis Co is catching up, but is still about 10 days behind the rest of the state for both seniors and everyone else.
  23. Here's two: 1. On the Red Line, develop 3-4 stations with double tracked rail in the Robinson Ranch area to create a ribbon shaped urban area between roughly Lakeline Mall and the Domain. 2. Relocate Mopac (the train) to improve Mopac (the road) with commuter rail and maybe a second toll lane, allowing you to connect Round Rock/Robinson Ranch/the Domain/Downtown/South Austin all with commuter rail.
  24. Right now it's all doses, 2 per customer. So right now it's enough to give 700k both shots. The J&J is just now arriving so next week that won't be true,
  25. Yeah, about that inventory... Here's a look at inventory over time. This is for ALL shots, not just first shots. This is the amount of doses that have been received by sites but not injected. It is always going to be more than zero because it takes some time for a dose to go from the delivery dock to a shot in an arm. We were headed for lower inventory before the snowstorm. Now we have more because more shots per week arrived and we didn't give many shots during the snow. Still, it's about a week's worth of inventory at our current injection rate. Supply is going up but so is the rate of injection.
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