Jump to content

40acredropout

Burnt Ends
  • Posts

    1278
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by 40acredropout

  1. So far: Coastal -2.5 @ G State U49.5 WVU @ VT Syracuse -10 vs Virginia Air Force -24 vs Nevada Boise State - 16 @ UTEP Baylor +2.5 @ ISU OU -12.5 vs K State UNLV -3 @ Utah State
  2. How are appeal decisions typically announced? By league or school? If latter, I could see scenario where we already know and Sark isn't saying either way out of gamesmanship. It's ridiculous if we really don't have an answer yet.
  3. I think Demarion said it best in his IG post today:
  4. Donovan Smith appears to be ass when you can dial up some pressure.
  5. Feeling pretty great about the improvement in our pass rush so far. Last season PFF gave us the 115th ranked team pass rush grade. Up to 19th this year. I went and looked at it on game by game basis and the improvement is impressive. We doubled our pressure % from 37% last year to 74% this year. Even more impressive, we generated pressure on Alabama on 59.5% of passes which would have been the 2nd highest rate of any game played in 2021 (Rice was at 81%).
  6. I peaked at lines last night and had same take on TCU, KU, Texas, USC lines. No super strong conviction on the others. You feel strongly on Tennessee? I'm having hard time getting myself to them beating Gators by 11 just knowing how one sided series has been. I know that doesn't make a shit and Florida looked like ass last week, I just can't get there in my head. On betting Iowa O/U, feels like betting over is the equivalent of trying to throw deep when your QB sucks ass but they're stacking 9 (or 10) in the box on you. 35.5 is such an absurdly low line. Dating back to 2003, of 14,889 game sample, only 10 games have been at that O/U line or lower. Offenses have to be putrid for that line to be put out in the first place so I guess it shouldn't be shocking that 7/10 of those games hit the under. Neither Iowa or Rutgers has shown me anything to feel strongly on the Over, that's just such a low total I can't help but question it.
  7. Just to stir some shit up... https://www.teamrankings.com/ncf/odds-movement/ats/results/ Teamrankings.com has historical line movement dating back to 2008 season. 11,583 games. Largest movement from opening to close was 8 points which happened only 14 times. This would miss a scenario where a star was injured in the previous game as that injury is presumably baked into opening line of following week. So dating back to 2008, there hasn't been an instance of a player being unexpectedly unavailable after opening lines were published that resulted in more than an 8 point swing.
  8. Looks like #15... are we sure that's not Will Stone though?
  9. Probably because Anwar’s dumbass claimed he saw the video of something that didn’t happen (the dipshit “mounting” bevo). Video clearly shows the handlers stopping the guy as he was climbing the fence and then getting taken down by the cop… never got close to Bevo. But Anwar had to be part of it.
  10. Holy fuck I got my ass handed to me this week lol. 4-10 straight picks, missed my sucker dawg ML parlay as well. Now 24-25 on the year.
  11. Lol college fucking football man. Had my worst week gambling in the last 3 seasons and of course I nail the score here. Smdh.
  12. Dude. The preferred nomenclature is mo thicc
  13. Have these dumbfucks not seen our Alamo bowl record? We are obv gonna own them.
  14. This was my first thought. Or maybe the UTSA hype video put some fear in Sark and he isn't comfortable rolling with Wright anymore.
  15. who that posts on here do you think had enough friends to fill a large table?
  16. In last 6 games I believe they have 5 offensive TD’s and 11 turnovers. Not great.
  17. Did you or him make more money last year?
  18. I hope so but I'll believe it when I see it. I don't know how many times the last 10+ years we've heard players talk about how the mentality/culture has changed for the better. Players know the right things to say. I don't trust that shit though, show us on the field. Yeah, you showed us something Saturday. Do it again. And again. And again.
×
×
  • Create New...