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40acredropout

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Everything posted by 40acredropout

  1. There is a difference between saying our defense is going to suck forever and looking at this roster and reasonably expecting us to suck balls again in 2022. This was our defense last year: Points per Play - 93rd Yards per Play - 100th Turnovers per Game - 99th Sack % - 103rd 3rd Down Conversion% - 94th Red Zone Scoring % - 93rd Punts per Play - 85th That wasn't a young unit being thrown into the fire. 65% of defensive snaps were taken by 4th+ year players. This won't be a brand new defense. Returning players account for 72% of snaps from last season. We have an incoming freshman class and the only two portal additions are a FCS LB and inexperienced 2nd year CB. Is it reasonable to expect marginal improvement due to a 2nd year in PK's system or GP being added to the mix? Sure, maybe. Addition by subtraction sending guys like Foster packing? Maybe. I really don't think the lack of talent at LB can be overstated. Tell me how you see that unit being materially better. I hope I'm wrong but I don't see DTB moving the needle. Without getting significantly better at LB, I don't see the defense materially improving. Hope I'm wrong.
  2. There's a lot more natural talent at edge than LB. The lack of talent at LB is the very reason I pushed back on idea of that unit reaching top 30 level production, even in a best-case scenario. We know damn well high recruiting rankings don't equal production (or the inverse) but I think they're worthy data points in assessing raw talent. Take a look at the pedigree of everyone in the LB room not named Overshown or Gbenda: 5 of 7 veteran LB's ranked outside top 1200 as recruits. Alabama, Ohio State, Georgia and OU have signed 219 LB's since 2005. Those four schools during a 18 year stretch have signed 1 LB outside the top 1200. Think about that for a minute.
  3. For fuck sake! Using those PFF metrics above, Overshown belongs on the 118th ranked LB unit (384/422x130) and Ford would be on 79th ranked unit. And you’re adding an undersized FCS linebacker. Acting like top 30 production out of that group is a reasonable best-case scenario is like me claiming that fucking Sydney Sweeney is a best-case scenario for my weekend.
  4. Damn... we were on her case years ago. Surly sleuthing never ceases to amaze me: edit- @smuggs already dug it up in APD Booking thread.
  5. LB at top 30 is biggest stretch to me. PFF player grade ranks (Big 12 and National): Overshown: 29/31, 384/422 Brock: 31/31, 421/422 (!) Ford: 17/31, 256/422 I’ve seen ppl shit all over PFF player grades but this doesn’t feel that off from the eyeball test. Can’t imagine an off-season plus a 5’9 FCS transfer is going to elevate performance to top 30 level. Maybe top 50 if things go really well?
  6. Fuck. Y'all are welcome! Lets beat Bama, Quinn!
  7. I've reached the point to where I hope Card gets the nod. Reasoning: I want to see CTJ lose his bet and resulting righteous anger. I haven't wrote off Card. (Redshirt) Freshman QB's often suck. He sucked. After a few glimpses into Fall camp, Surly consensus is that he is a head case / damaged goods. I don't know that he's NOT damaged goods, but Surly also doesn't KNOW that he is. There is a pile of historical data that suggests he could be very much improved. Speaking of head cases / damaged goods... what's a good way to really mentally fuck a young QB? How about throwing Quinn out to Will Anderson and co in his second game in... 20 months? After having only had 6 months within a completely new, complex offensive system. Say we do run him out there and it goes poorly... good thing we have such an even-keeled, non-toxic fanbase that will definitely not immediately dial up the pressure to 1000. Oh wait... Card should starts. Quinn gets ~half of game against ULM. Feed Card to the wolves. Quinn isn't beating Bama you fucking idiots. If Card shits down his leg (possible if not likely), bring Quinn in against the 2nd team defense and hopefully there's a spark. I have little doubt Quinn wins the job outright before the season is over. Let's stop being reactionary, unrealistic, retarded pussies and acting like the world is ending if It's not 100% Quinn day 1.
  8. Dear god. He skipped his senior year of high school and enrolled two weeks before camp at Ohio State. The guy he was "unable to beat" was a Heisman finalist. Are you surprised? Vince Young, Trevor Lawerence, Jesus Christ himself would not have been "able" to win that starting job. And here we are today. He is effectively an early enrollee, true freshman QB who didn't play his senior year of high school. I don't know if you know this but that profile very fucking rarely comes in and starts day 1. And when they do, they almost always fucking suck. It should not surprise anyone that he hasn't yet been heads and shoulders above another highly ranked QB who has 1) two years on campus, 2) an extra year in the current offensive system with actual meaningful playing time (shit on performance all you want). Quinn not being day 1 starter is not part of some meaningful "pattern." The only pattern is stupid lazy takes in this fucking thread.
  9. Can't tell if you're kidding but our fan base is fucking retarded. Sark very well may end up sucking. This season very well, and frankly probably, will suck. But to direct your outrage at Sark at this point is so fucking toxic and reactionary. The experienced leaders of this (and last year's) team should be fuckface Tom's 2018 and 2019 classes. What does Sark have left to work with from those classes? Offense- Roschon, Whittington, Liebrock, Angilau, Jones Defense- Coburn, Ojomo, Sweat, Overshown, Brockermeyer, Gbenda, Bush, Cook, Jamison That's it. If this season is a dud with no sign of improvement and we lose the '23 class, then okay. I disagree with whether or not he should have already lost the fan base but I can at least understand it. Until then, stop being such fucking pussies and understand the shit he inherited.
  10. Food for thought- biggest year over year improvement in QBR (per ESPN). Notes: Per ESPN, Adjusted Total Quarterback Rating (QBR)values the quarterback on all play types on a 0-100 scale adjusted for the strength of opposing defenses faced. Data covers 2005-2021 seasons Sample is limited to P5 (+ Notre Dame & BYU) QB's Sample only includes QB's who qualify in each season (20 snaps per team game) 512 QB sample 2021 Texas QB's: Casey Thompson - 62.6 QBR (62nd in country, 7th of 9 qualifying B12 QB's) Hudson Card - 59.5 QBR (did not quality, but would have ranked 69th in country, 9th of 10 B12 QB's)
  11. You did not- I am an idiot. I meant to say what ESPN calls RTG whish is an efficiency rating and separate from QBR.
  12. QB Efficiency Rating (RTG on ESPN) seems like it sucks as a metric. Obviously not apples to apples for variety of reasons but RTG would tell us Card was on par or better last year (138.6) than Colt in 2007 (139.2) or VY in 2004 (128.4). As for QB's getting better year over year... here are most improved from 2000-2021. This is by RTG so maybe worthless, but only metric I already had data for. Note- guys only show up if they qualified statistically (14 attempts per team game) in both seasons).
  13. Who is your least favorite?
  14. It's easy to forget that the people we interact with in our day-to-day lives aren't necessarily representative of the population at large. I'm grateful for Surly posts like this one to remind me how utterly fucking stupid some people are. Keep your head on a swivel.
  15. What talented studs did he hold on the sidelines for said shitheads?
  16. I've never kept up with Texas volleyball and have only really recently gained interest in the sport through playing recreationally. Shoutout to @Js1 @SL Xpress and others for all the good info in this thread and making it a little easier to hop on the bandwagon this season. Looking forward to following along and probably annoying you all with newb questions.
  17. Here's the full list, fyi:
  18. 16 total times since 2000. 8 of those were Case Kennum or Leach QB's. 6 were other G5's. Then Burrow and Mahomes.
  19. I heard Sark hands out Sydney and RGBIII's #'s and they don't pick up the phone.
  20. Sometimes pain is the only way I can still feel
  21. Now sitting here watching this shit. Should neg you.
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