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40acredropout

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by 40acredropout

  1. He spent 2 years at OCC before his first year with us in 2020. So unless there was some additional waiver/medical redshirt , I believe that means 2022 was his extra COVID year and he's out of eligibility.
  2. Yes. Often significantly. Here are college bats taken in first two rounds of 2021 draft: These are more polished bats than Trey and pretty much all see pretty meaningful increased K rates. Worth mentioning that guys often see their K rate climb as they rise through the minors and the Minors stats above are mostly complied against lower level minor pitching. Trey was at 40.2% K% in Big 12 Play. So yeah... he will get absolutely feasted on by minor league pitching without a MAJOR change in approach.
  3. This. 1381 D1 hitters with 200 PA's. Trey had 5th highest K rate (36%). That's higher than the highest MLB rate from last season- Joey Gallo at 34.6%. Trey can be elite at SS and shows projectable power but none of that will matter if he can't reduce his K's. If he came back and got that rate down to 25%, he'd be a top 3 rounder. Slot value for where Reds took him is $219k, last pick of 3rd round slot this year was $577k. I'd love to see him back selfishly but I also think he could really do well for himself financially if he could take that step forward with us.
  4. I thought this was coming and I think he is at that point. He needs to show that he is capable of adjusting his approach and cutting K's to something SORTA passable (25-30% K rate). That proof of development plus his other tools should put him in the 3rd-5th rounds next draft. That will likely be a couple hundred thousand dollars in bonus and I think that is meaningful enough for a kid who is a long shot to ever make it to the bigs with the swing-and-miss in his game.
  5. Seems like a solid dude and wish him the best. He should’ve looked into a grad program in nutrition though.
  6. WANT. 13.67 K/9 and threw a No-No against UC Riverside (I'm aware how shitty they are). He got better as the season went on- reached season low ERA after last appearance. While Big West competition has slipped recently (19th best RPI conference), he did show he can do it against legitimate competition: Gonzaga: 7 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 7K, 1 BB Oregon State: 3.1 IP, 0 H, 0 ER, 6K, 3 BB
  7. Hurley is pretty interesting to me. He's 6'8 and PG had his velo at 93 out of high school- no clue where he sits now. That said, nobody on our squad who threw > 15 IP had a lower K/9 ratio. Maybe some life/upside left in the arm? *NERD EDIT* Another stat- Looked at the 767 qualified D1 pitchers at D1's stat page. There are 203 pitchers who had as low of a H/9 ratio as Hurley (8.38). Every single one of them had a higher K/9 ratio. Is this telling us he's fortunate he didn't get touched up harder? Or is that some kind of proof of pitchability/ good stuff? Here's how Hurley / Skenes/ Smeltz (Purdue kid) stack up compared to this past years roster:
  8. While we are jerking ourselves off in this world... 321.09 would be good for 7th best class since 2010.
  9. Nice of you to have homosexuals over for dinner.
  10. Was expecting it to be an aggy. WTF Dick, you fucking rube.
  11. FYI this was for 2020 season. This weekend I will try to replicate for 2021. Here is same data for other conferences which I don't think I included when I posted this about a year ago. Viewership data doesn't get published for some of the other conference tv deals so you'll see that it's a much less complete picture. Maybe still good fodder for you fucking nerds. NOTE- Second section of viewership includes following exclusions: PAC- USC & Oregon, ACC- Clemson & Miami, B10- Mich & OSU, SEC- Bama & UGA. PAC: ACC: B10: SEC:
  12. Anybody have insight on how summer ball works? I guess Skenes is taking the US National team route but that is obviously a rare and different route. How do players choose their summer team? Assuming players have to pay their own way like they would a travel ball team in high school? What percentage of guys just don’t play summer ball?
  13. Fuck yeah… tapping into another blue chip factory (Hewitt-Trussville):
  14. Murph back would be huge... Might have been someone on here who posed the question but can you remember a more under-appreciated season than the one Murph just had in Ivan’s shadow? Hodo is getting 7-10th round grades which I’m guessing will be high enough for him given he already graduated and I don’t think there are any glaring holes in his game that he could fix coming back for one more. Would be shocked if Silas is back. He’s going to go top 5 rounds easy and I hope he gets a nice, well earned payday. Biggest wildcard in my mind is Trey. I think he could gain most from coming back. The tools alone get him drafted but the K issue is the elephant in the room. If he can come back, keep slugging, and cut the k-rate to even ~25-30%, he’s probably going in the 2nd round next draft.
  15. Hoping there were occupancy issues… if not, holy fuck did they shit the bed underwriting this bitch.
  16. Pissed in an empty Gatorade bottle waiting in student line to get into Frank Erwin for a KU game. Thought my buddies provided enough cover and I was being discreet until I locked eyes with a girl from one of the prude spirit groups (spirits?) who was a few feet ahead in line. She was impressed by nothing she saw.
  17. Any cooperation should be contingent on them losing the fucking horn.
  18. Been a while since I laughed this hard on surly. And I feel poorly for it.
  19. Believe there are still a couple of interesting Baylor players in the portal- wonder if that helps here.. Specifically thinking of Jared McKenzie who would slide in very nicely into the outfield. Believe Phil Nevin's kid who also rakes was in there too.
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