40acredropout

Since 2010, the furthest year-over-year drop after achieving a #1 recruiting class was Florida going from 1 to 11 in 2010-2011 classes. Aggy currently stands at 23rd after the Hill decommitment. Further- no team landing a top 3 class has ever fell outside of the top 20. But Aggy...

Just bought this for $5 on Poshmark. This is going to be a great gag gift in a few years.

Counting on one of you to get a Muledick sign on gameday before the party starts.

I've been kicking around Air Force -7 but the bizarre history of these games is giving me pause. Army defense is allowing 5.5 yards/rush (124th in country). FCS Colgate gained 6 yards/carry against them. PFF grades their rush defense as 127th. Advanced metrics- EPA has then 126th against the run, 129th in line yards, 129th in opportunity rate, 131st (dead last) in stuff rate. So you'd think Air Force offense should be able to dominate. I'm just not totally sure though... Army coming off bye week and they obviously know how to defend the attack. There have been instances in past where the advanced metric matchups (line yards) were close to as lopsided and you ended up getting really good games. Soooo.... I don't know.

People always shit on PFF player grades but I can stand behind this one. Cain- 52.0 REC grade. Ranks 484/520 FBS, 42/43 B12.

He's a changed man, dude. Try to keep up.

Am I imagining that Weigman has had serious concussion issues previously? I feel like I read on here (so 50/50 if bullshit) he was another concussion away from focusing on baseball or something.

Well duh but how many times has it happened?

How many aggy injuries is that so far? 5?

I've felt pretty strongly about this UVA under train the last two weeks but wouldn't pimp any other picks with the same conviction. I've got lucky both times where other team is on backup QB as well. I'll give y'all the full nerd paragraph again next time I feel like I got a real edge haha.

@Bodhi @Assman no self respecting football fan could enjoy this game… unless you’re riding that under. So far so good.

I’m on ISU and Ole Miss. Line dipped to -7 on ILL and I jumped on so on other side of that from you. I’m also on U65.5 UNC Pitt and Wake Forest -3. Good luck!

@pops you gotta fake diploma guy?

Took @Vince McCoy's #'s and broke it down on per game basis:

Don't have great feel for board overall this week but I do like doubling down on my UVA under play. They're 1-5-1 on totals this season (over-under-push) so it's a trend at this point.. this week I've got U48 UVA vs Miami. UVA put up 16 points last week against mediocre GT defense. Turned the ball over 4 times. Kicker is fucked, missed 2 FG's and an XP. Miami lost starting QB to injury last week and are likely rolling with their backup who threw 3 picks against Duke. They put up 21 points against a Duke defense ranked 85th in FEI, compared to UVA's 45th FEI ranked defensive unit. Miami throws the ball around (15th in pass %) and Duke defense ranks 118th in EPA against the pass. The UVA defense ranks much better at 56th and currently has the 9th ranked coverage PFF grade so I like the hoo's chances of slowing down the passing attach. Where Miami / UVA offenses rank in couple key metrics: Turnover % - 122nd, 127th Yards / Play- 82nd, 101st Points/GM - 94th, 124th Points/Drive- 88th, 123rd Touchdown %- 96th, 122nd

From the bar at ABIA waiting for flight to OKC… FIGHT

He was all Billy badass when they knocked the shit out of him on the sideline. Jumping up, stepping over defender, pumping his chest. Boy, did things go poorly for him to just not even try on the last play down 7 points. Whadda bitch.

I actually am. So ugly it’s cute. If this thing goes to OT and hits the over I’m going to be singing a different tune though.

I hate betting unders for this reason.. can’t relax. I’m mostly worried about Armstrong pulling his head out of his ass and putting up some points. His drop off from last year to this year is insane.

See what you did there. Also

I’m pulling for y’all. But more so pulling for U47. Couldn’t have scripted first two drives any better lol.

In on U47 GT vs UVA. Two absolute dogshit offenses. Defenses aren’t elite but believe this will be easiest or second easiest FBS matchup for both defenses so far this season. Brennan Armstrong has fallen off a cliff in new system. And GT QB Sims is still questionable with banged up leg.

I don't follow the portal stuff as closely as most of you... why would the transfer to Texas not count as his 1 free transfer? Is it just a question of whether the NCAA(?) actually enforces the rule going forward? It doesn't feel to me like there were any extenuating circumstances during his time here that would make him likely to be granted some kind of waiver. Fair. If we actually show him the door it does make me feel better about the rumored internal confidence that we might have a WR or two identified / queued up in the portal.