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washparkhorn

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Everything posted by washparkhorn

  1. That boy should have never been near that protest. Bringing a weapon compounded his immature decision-making. The crying made him look like a toddler.
  2. It is an important metric that shows a 1.7% decrease in labor participation rate since Feb. 2020. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf
  3. Politics - Take it to the CR. Or move the thread to the CR. Please. ________________________________ Fed Reserve Mary Daly explains the economic issues succinctly: San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly on Wednesday said she expects high inflation to moderate once COVID-19 recedes, and repeated that it would be “quite premature” to raise rates now or even to speed up the Fed’s bond-buying taper. “Uncertainty requires us to wait and watch with vigilance,” Daly said in an interview on Bloomberg TV. High inflation is being driven by supply-chain bottlenecks and high consumer demand for goods, she said, and labor supply is constrained due to COVID-19 fears and impact. https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-fed-daly/feds-daly-inflation-will-moderate-uncertainty-requires-us-to-wait-idUSS0N2O401Y We knew the energy shock would translate into higher prices - always does. Supply chain remains fracture. Covid remains a drag on the economy (and on efforts to reduce supply chain inefficiency). Demand remains strong, as expected (that's actually a healthy sign for the economy). Lose that demand and we see recessionary signals.
  4. Props to AOC. She called out Biden's communications team for gaslighting people in harm's way. We need more of that for good governance. That's basic conservative wisdom (rooted in risk aversion). Give credit where credit is due.
  5. For workplace safety, the Supremacy Clause of the Constitution requires States to yield to OSHA (the proverbial 400-pound gorilla in the room). No getting around that. But you have a good point of action on the state-level. What are we trying to accomplish with these vaccine mandates? People are on their own when it comes to this. Here is the message from capitalism: Wanna have a better chance of dying, stay unvaccinated. That's the odds. Feeling lucky? the markets work well to rein in chaos. Just let those markets do their thing. It costs less to have a vaccinated populace. There are two ways to achieve a high vaccination rate. Can't save everyone, I suppose.
  6. I am not sure they get to that question. The four months to implement an emergency mandate justification doesn't quite pass the smell test (even though it is probably rational given the strong passion and feelings of anti-vaxxers/trumpers and the propensity for violence). Emergency means emergency in OSHA world. OSHA already has the ability to shut down unsafe work environments if the worksites are imminently dangerous. That may be a better avenue for OSHA/Biden.
  7. Definitely. Demand-Pull Inflation remains an active concern. The Fed combats consumer-caused inflation with interest rate hikes (currently planned for 2022-23), which cool demand by increasing the cost of borrowing for ordinary consumers who rely on credit. The general rule is central banks should not raise interest rates to combat inflation when employment and markets are unstable. Rate hikes are a broad spectrum deflator. I would hope by the end of 2022 or early 2023, we will see incremental rate hikes as the economy balances the sluggish and uneven recovery. With China conflict on the horizon, supply chains will continue to be an ongoing concern for our import-dependent economy.
  8. I am not seeing many signs of consumer driven demand-pull inflation, are you? Expansion was expected with the enormous Fed-monetary support to international capital ($120 billion a month and continuing since March 2020) and relatively modest fiscal support for humans and small businesses (these benefits for average consumers has stopped). Sorry for the long post.
  9. "Debate Me Bro" University is spot-on for this contrarian congregation of hubris-built idoicy.
  10. What type of inflation is this - demand-pull or cost-push? demand-pull = money burning a hole in consumers' pockets. Can be caused by too much government money creating excess liquidity. cost-push = cost of production rises due supply shortages. With cost-push inflation, there are two major concerns. Which is of greater concern if combatting inflation? decreased GDP (deflationary headwinds from higher interest rates) and the psychological effects (invisible hand) of consumer inflation expectations creating inflation (see this thread for the inflation scaremongering). Answer key:
  11. Tell me, if you will, the differences (in your mind) between center-right Democrats (establishment D's), progressives, ID-Pols, and leftists when you used this generalization of "leftist" compassion. I have a suspicion right wingers don't know the differences (and of the debates between these separate, but sometimes overlapping, set of groups). Can you confirm? It might be more illuminating if we used the same definitions.
  12. Dangerous woman.
  13. Doctor Dipshit Dentist
  14. Kyle Lowry getting no love from NBA Twitter:
  15. "Boys, let's go out there and win one for the Pinker!"
  16. The photos are awful. Perhaps intentional or poorly designed. On the chicken nugget question, I thought of chick-fil-a nuggets rather than a mcnugget - and that does satiate an occasional itch - so that's a +1 for me. I loathe mac and cheese (-1), but lobster mac and cheese (French Laundry-style) is heavenly (+2). The chili question made me think of what our chili champions here would concoct - so that was a +2 for me. I think my natural bias after three kids is to downgrade what I think of as kid food (which has nothing to do with how others view those same foods). But then I kept remembering how good "kid friendly food" can be. When I saw the hot dog photo, I thought of this (+2 on my scale). (Chicago-style hot dog) The pork photo was particularly unrepresentative of the succulent nature of the luscious fat goodness rendered from piggies. (+2) (Pork Tenderloin with Sauce Poivrade) The gold leaf eating cuisine is gonna get rich folk eaten by the when push comes to shove. Additionally, eating gold leaf is aesthetically tacky and gauche. tacky, tacky, tacky. Seriously though, if the research is accurate, I wonder what role food islands play in creating the divergence in food choice across classes of American society?
  17. Coming home shortly.
  18. washparkhorn

    SpaceX

    Coming home shortly . . .
  19. Sara Eisen "claimed" it was a microphone battery pack.
  20. Food Choice test and class status - https://www.idrlabs.com/food-choice/test.php My dislike of eating gold foil ruined my application for admission to the upper class.
  21. Here is the source for the information (no subscription required, yet) - https://www.dshs.texas.gov/news/releases/2021/20211108.aspx https://www.dshs.texas.gov/immunize/covid19/data/Cases-and-Deaths-by-Vaccination-Status-11082021.pdf (pdf of study) Key Findings: 1. From September 4 through October 1, 2021: Unvaccinated people were 13 times more likely to become infected with COVID-19 than fully vaccinated people. Unvaccinated people were 20 times more likely to experience COVID-19-associated death than fully vaccinated people. 2. Vaccination had a strong protective effect on infections and deaths among people of all ages. The protective impact on infections was consistent across adult age groups and even greater in people ages 12 to 17 years. The protective impact on COVID-19 deaths, which was high for all age groups, varied more widely. In the September time frame, unvaccinated people in their 40s were 55 times more likely to die from COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated people of the same age. Unvaccinated people aged 75 years and older were 12 times more likely to die than their vaccinated counterparts. 3. Overall, regardless of vaccination status, people in Texas were four to five times more likely to become infected with COVID-19 or suffer a COVID-19-associated death while the Delta variant was prevalent in Texas (August 2021) compared with a period before the Delta variant became prevalent (April 2021).
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