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TexasHooch

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Posts posted by TexasHooch

  1. If everything works, that's a great deal.  It retails for about $450.  Compare that with a similarly sized and equipped traeger at $700 and it's clear that this is a 2nd tier brand. That said, at $100, it doesn't need to last forever.  Another thing I always consider when I deal hunt for grills and smokers is whether parts are readily available- Which they definitely are for this model.

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  2. 10 minutes ago, Surly Bevo said:

    LOL at the notion that the fucking New Republic's opinion at this point means a goddamn thing.  This is just tried and true end of the race liberal bed wetting/hand wringing.  

    So I just read the report from the Center for Working Class Politics that this "article" references.  What it all boils down to is that "the working class" favors lies over the truth on the campaign trail.

    image.png.82eee136331cca2816f73fecabc5e4f9.png

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  3. 22 minutes ago, Gil Bang said:

    I'm reading about how we have brownouts every weekend in CA.  Now I'm worried about watching the game later...I was unaware that I lose electricity on a regular basis. 

    Pfft.  I live in MN.  I'll be listening to the game on the radio whilst sitting on a bed of charcoal under my burned out roof.

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  4. Here's the text of that article:  

    Quote

    “The investor community, they’ve been very, very, favoring Trump based on my conversations and based on just a general ambiance,” Interactive Brokers senior economist Jose Torres told Fortune. 

    The market has already started pricing in a Donald Trump victory. A series of recent analyst notes detail how the former president’s protectionist economic policies would translate into market outcomes. Investors expect a second Trump term would mean tariffs on importers hoping to enter the U.S. market and higher levels of inflation. Trump’s signature economic proposal of implementing blanket tariffs isn’t the platonic ideal of a free-market policy one might have associated with past conservative leaders. Yet the market is very much preparing for the tectonic shifts that a closed-off U.S. market could pose to the global economy. 

    In Europe, stocks are already lagging the broader market. In the U.S., inflation forecasts have started to trend up just as Trump pulled ahead in the betting markets. Analysts have even started to bandy about predictions of stagflation. The polls show Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris in a dead heat heading into the final week of their respective campaigns. However, prediction markets are tilting in favor of Trump, which has colored much of the market forecasts. 

    “Trump win increasingly priced in, but polls still tight,” Barclays European equities strategist Emmanuel Cau wrote in an analyst note published Wednesday.

    European stocks are already underperforming the market due to investors’ fears they’ll be hit hard by Trump’s proposed tariffs, according to Barclays. For investors, European companies struggling with Trump’s tariffs could lead to major earnings hits. In a worst-case scenario of a full-blown trade war between Europe and the U.S., companies in Italy and Germany could see high-single-digit drag on EPS growth, according to Barclays. Entire sectors, such as tech and the European auto market, could suffer the same fate, per the bank’s forecast. 

    European stocks, “keep lagging, suggesting they may be perceived as the losers from a second Trump presidency,” Cau wrote. 

    Another feature of Trump’s tariffs is that they’re widely expected to be inflationary. “Expected tariffs (per Trump’s stated proposals) support potential upside risk to market pricing of inflation if Trump wins the U.S. election,” Bank of America rates strategist Meghan Swiber wrote in a note on Wednesday. 

    And because Wall Street expects Trump to win the election, projections for the future rate of inflation have ticked up. For example, inflation compensation, which is the premium investors are willing to pay to protect the real value of their returns from inflation, rose since September, according to Bank of America. Part of the increase was due to positive economic data. Another part had to do with Trump’s political fortunes. 

    “We note it also coincided with higher market-implied probability of Former President Trump winning the U.S. election,” Swiber wrote. 

    Trump’s tariffs would lead to 70 to 80 basis points of inflation, according to Bank of America’s estimates.

    I think it's disingenuous though to state or imply that the market expects Trump to win.  The truth is that the implications of him winning are so severe that foreign markets have no choice but to hedge now in the event it actually happens.  It's what they do.

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  5. 19 minutes ago, TexEx15 said:

    Side note: if you buy A5 wagyu to use as ground beef, you are a monster. Trump probably asks for an A5 steak well done.

    And frozen too.  You're also an idiot if pay a premium for grass-fed 93% lean ground beef.  Might as well use a cut up (organic) leather belt at that point.

    Anyway, I also completed the exercise of pricing out her items, using comparable store brands where possible.  Even with the 6 lbs of grass-fed 93% tasteless beef it only came out to $66.

     

     

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  6. On 10/7/2024 at 11:35 AM, TexasHooch said:

     

    image.png.ac06eddab5fbb177e01d43dcb734604b.png

    image.png.c6218bafb4060692ad52571dfc1426f7.png

     

    Won the auction for this Lyfe Tyme 16″ x 40″.  

    $50.  Would have preferred a 20" chamber, but I'm not complaining. I'm looking forward to no longer having to my my brisket in a yoga pose to jam it  into the WSM.

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  7. For me it's less about "sticking it to Elon", and far more about simply removing myself from the negativity and inhumanity.  Beyond that, it's just a personal acknowledgement that it's become a bad product.

    BW3 was my favorite restaurant 30ish years ago.  Sure, it deeply offends me that they pretend that there's something called a "boneless wing", but mostly I don't go anymore because the wings are tiny, it costs too much, and all the sauces are made from high fructose corn syrup.     

     

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  8. Almost my entire extended family (my side and my wife's) is in the Tampa area right now (Wesley Chapel and Zephyrhills). They're out of the storm surge area, but my nephew has been in the hospital downtown for the better part of the month.  Luckily they're planning on releasing him tomorrow, God willing.  

    Funny enough, my father is actually here with us in MN though, having flown in- very reluctantly- yesterday as has been planned for a few months.  My mom convinced him to go- I think she'll be less stressed without him.  Poor dude is nervous as hell though, and I don't blame him.  We'll try to keep him distracted.  He's supposed to go back with my son on Friday, but I'm guessing that's 50/50 at best.

     

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  9. Nevermind.  I just realized that I was confusing Lyfe Tyme with Oklahoma Joe, and I'm pretty sure it's the former- which has been and still is legit.

    I know these dinosaurs are all over Texas, but you don't see these much around here in MN.  Think I might get it.  It won't fit much more than a single brisket, but that works for me.

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  10. Quick diversion:

    I need a buddy check on these pictures.

    image.png.ac06eddab5fbb177e01d43dcb734604b.png

    image.png.c6218bafb4060692ad52571dfc1426f7.png

    Am I correct that this is an old school real deal Lyfe Tyme, and not that thin steel mass market bullshit they sell nowadays?  If I'm right, I think I can get it for basically nothing, but I won't be able to check it out first because it's on an online auction.

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