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Bill Lumbergh

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by Bill Lumbergh

  1. "cleaning poop is really, really hard"
  2. For some reason, Herman seems to be able to get the team ready for games like this. I don't bet on sports, but if I did this is the kind of game I'd stay far away from. It would not surprise me at all if we win and look good doing it, based on the rollercoaster our team can be. That said, I'm not sure Herman hasn't lost this team, and if he has we will be beaten soundly. We didn't look lost against Baylor, but Baylor should be really, really bad. You just don't learn much from that. If we do happen to win, I expect to lose to wvu the following week, because the next time Herman's team delivers two impressive back to back games might be the first.
  3. This is a good example, but you missed the real magic. This is the same poster further down the thread responding when someone asked why he is religiously opposed to wearing a mask. Yikes. Edit to add: yes, he has a tag, so he is a verified graduate of that fine institution of higher education.
  4. First, not all of the $40M is incremental. We will have a coaching staff and pay them a lot of $ regardless of Meyer or not. We'll very likely make a coaching change this season based on our performance relative to opportunity, so the buyouts aren't even incremental to hiring Meyer. If you assume we're going to be paying buyouts and hiring a top tier staff no matter what, I'd argue the incremental cost of making Meyer that hire doesn't actually change the optics terribly much. Add to that, if support and excitement from the donor base is there with Meyer that isn't there with other candidates, it could actually be financially advantageous for the school to hire Meyer, assuming we have the right commitments in place. Not firing Tom Herman this year will save you short term money and optics but will have huge opportunity cost for years. Given our current trajectory on all fronts football and the importance of football to the overall AD and giving, it's hard to overstate the cost of keeping Herman. Firing Tom Herman and spending a lot of $ on the wrong candidate saves you almost nothing on optics (you're still spending a ton of $ on football in this economic climate), but possibly without the same level of donor support. You also may not fix the opportunity cost part of option 1. Firing Tom Herman and hiring Urban Meyer costs you on short term optics (agreed that they're not great), but probably has significantly higher short term financial benefits in terms of donor support and is your best opportunity cost play. Texas will likely not have a more sure thing opportunity available for football in the next 5 years, and really cannot afford to be wrong again. If you take a very short term limited perspective on hiring Meyer, it's easy to justify not doing it. If you take a longer term, wider perspective, it's hard to justify not doing it.
  5. Two high high ego guys working together will usually generate conflict. It's worse when one of the two has earned the right to his ego while the other is just such a narcissist he believes his ego is warranted even if everyone else can't see it yet. It goes full scorched earth if the one who hasn't earned anything starts getting credit for their combined success over the one who has the track record of success. That's Herman and Urban.
  6. I don't think anyone really wants us to lose. I think everyone wants us to be a better team, so losing doesn't feel so damn likely. If you think there's a high probability we lose, might as well rationalize the upside that it could mean the end of Tom's tenure here. Do I want us to lose? No. I want us to win every game, always. Do I think that's a likely outcome under Herman? After 4 years, I don't. This year particularly we're not anywhere near the team we should be on paper, and that's why I think we'll lose several more this season and Tom will lose his job. I'm not happy about any of that. This has been a shit year and a fun football season would've been a really nice distraction. If the consolation prize I get is a new coach to get excited about, I'll take it, but that doesn't mean I'm happy that we're a bad team who I expect to lose.
  7. You're talking in circles, so I'll leave it at this. Urban will come here if he thinks he can win. Guys as successful as him are going to be very good at understanding what variables matter, and what variables are noise in that calculation, as well as whether you can control the variables that matter. At Texas, he has talent (he's said so himself), a recruiting hotbed, a conference that shouldn't present as much of a challenge as he faced in the big 10 or sec, and resources. He has to fix terrible development and team culture. If he can fix those and win, a lot of other "problems" fall in line. Yes, our fan base is spoiled and has ridiculous expectations. Where that Meyer would consider coaching is that not true? I've heard mentioned usc or Notre Dame...are those variables better there? The kinds of jobs a guy like Meyer will look at will all have those cultural hurdles. He's faced them before at osu, and personally I don't think he'd avoid a job like Texas for those reasons. In other words, he will have control on the variables most important to winning, and winning will take care of the external variables. Clearly you think they'll be enough to keep him from the job, or you have an interest in him not taking the job, or maybe both. Either way, we don't know and won't ever know, but the next report that says he's reconsidering the job because of fan and alumni culture will be the first. I don't buy it.
  8. It's hyperbole a bit, but I think the culture within the team is a much bigger problem than the culture outside the team. If I'm Meyer, I'm concerning myself with whether I can fix the culture within the team. If he can do that, he can win. That's my point. He doesn't have to try to fix the fan or alumni culture.
  9. Care to respond to the point instead of just deflecting?
  10. Fan and alumni culture/atmosphere have zero impact on the team's performance. Player culture does, and the coach has complete control over that. Meyer is on record saying it's one of a head coach's most important jobs. I can't decide if you're aggy or sooner. I lean aggy.
  11. Which forces?
  12. Really? I could've sworn it was the shitty coaching. Ends up it was just the arrogance. I bet that's why Bama is so good. Because of how humble they are.
  13. But your opinions are bad and you should feel bad about it.
  14. We all know the answer, but I'll ask the question anyway. Since 3-1 Georgia was absolutely throttled in their loss to Bama, which of these impressive wins is propping up their #5 ranking: 2-2 Arkansas 3-2 Auburn 2-3 Tennessee
  15. If you don't think this defense is better than last year, I don't know what to tell you. Are we as good as I want to be? Not by a mile. But we have simplified and we are better. This unit, at least, does seem to be improving week to week.
  16. If that's how he's thinking, it will impact how we prepare, and next weekend will be reaaaal interesting.
  17. You make fast players slow by making them think too much or putting them in positions not to take advantage of their speed. Bad tackling can be a result of not practicing tackling, or being out of position and having to try to adjust and tackle from a bad angle. Anyone who watched what Greg Robinson did with Manny Diaz players in literally weeks should know that stud players can look awfully pedestrian under the wrong coaching. Your argument is that all of the stud recruits we land, who generally have offers from elite programs, all just happen to be busts. I don't buy it. It's coaching.
  18. Your argument is that Urban won't want to come here because he thinks the challenge is too big for him and he wants to avoid taking a chance where he might fail? Yeah, that totally seems like the way elite coaches like Meyer think. Low confidence in their abilities, risk avoidance, etc.
  19. If you believe that they wouldn't have had a chance of winning had Brewer scored, I'd like to introduce you to Tom Herman Texas Football, "where no lead is safe."
  20. I thought during the game they said they got at least a few practices in with different players available at different practices. I could've misunderstood, though.
  21. I thought during the game they said they got at least a few practices in with different players available at different practices. I could've misunderstood, though.
  22. And that's fair. It's not a double standard. Urban didn't enable anyone systemically raping little kids. That's why we rip Penn St. It's not that hard. Everywhere he has coached has been a better program when he left than when he took over. I'm ok to be the next stop on that train. If you're skeptical on Urban but want to consider Muschamp, you're either trolling (likely) or a fucking idiot (also likely).
  23. I'm genuinely curious, do you think her story adds up? Found in a highly trafficked area with no one having an her for weeks. No food or water. Originally family implied she stayed by the creek for water, until a ranger called bs because the water is toxic, then family changes the story to say she never drank the water (but doesn't explain where she got water, which she must have had or she'd be dead). Family says she may have been disoriented when she first entered the park, but she had no trouble getting to the park and hiking in the that far. Supposed head injury that kept her lost, but was not found or insignificant enough not to concern medical responders when she was found. Walked out under her own power and released to her family, but they need a $15k gofundme for medical assistance. You think all of this is on the up and up and the doubters here are just tinfoil conspiracy nuts?
  24. Based on this, I'm just going to assume it's already done and wait for the good news to be announced.
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