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FWD

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by FWD

  1. My view as well. If you took Bernie's personality and history but dropped the extremely unpopular positions he has that poison him in the general, I would be a huge fan.
  2. If they show up at the polls today and in other primaries, they will get their guy.
  3. The lack of nationwide testing for this is outrageous. We are basically flying blind without accurate and widespread testing, and when you look and see what countries like South Korea have put together there is really no excuse.
  4. You have it backwards. 2018 was a referendum on Trump but in 2020 it becomes a binary choice.
  5. My contention in this thread is that many general election swing voters perceive Bernie as an independent and hence moderate, and after 8 months of being told about his extremely unpopular and radical policies, will no longer have that perception.
  6. Prediction markets now give the GOP a 43% chance of retaking the House, this is up from 30% 2 weeks ago. If Bernie seals the nomination I would bet on even money that Dems lose the House. And just to be clear this is absolutely a nightmare scenario, but Bernie is a disaster candidate if your goal is to hold on to the right-leaning suburbs where Dems made all their gains in 2018.
  7. This is objectively untrue. Bernie has taken a lot of extremely unpopular opinions.
  8. No, I do not think the people who caucused for Bernie in Nevada aren't going to vote him. This is a small number of people. I am talking about swing voters in the general election and the House races in 2020. Bernie/Dems will be completely crushed in those races.
  9. This is exactly my point. The current perception of Bernie is as "an independent" and the guy who took on the establishment Dems in 2016. This perception has a strong appeal to moderates, but it is untenable in the long run. If he gets the nomination people will hear every single day for 6+ months about his actual policies.
  10. Most Americans still think of Bernie as "the independent that took on Hillary and got screwed". When they hear about how extreme his policies are and how he is way, way to the left of most Democrats, suburban voters who voted D in 2018 are going to run back to the GOP faster than you can believe.
  11. I guess I am old enough to remember all the way back to 2016.
  12. The Dem House majority is built on the swing of moderate suburbanites from R to D. If Sanders is on the ballot those voters will swing right back from D to R. Any other Dem nominee and the House is safe.
  13. Strongly disagree. GOP won the House as recently as 2016 and the Dem majority is based on a lot of small margins in suburban districts that swung in 2018. In Bernie is the nominee those are exactly the districts where his hard left agenda will play the worst. Trump will likely have a GOP House to work with in his 2nd term if Bernie gets the nom.
  14. FWD

    team amy

    I've always thought she was the strongest general election candidate and would easily beat Trump, but didn't have a shot to break through in the primary. If she proves me wrong and gets the nomination I will be extremely happy.
  15. Reid is only 61 and not going anywhere. Mahomes is 24, the youngest league MVP ever and now the youngest Superbowl MVP ever. It is Mahomes' league now, everyone else is just playing in it.
  16. He has "evolved into the one of the best RBs" because his offensive line and scheme have improved. The Titans o-line plays extremely well and open up huge running lanes. When Henry gets into the 2nd level of the defense he is very hard to bring down, but if you can get to him near the line of scrimmage he is a below average back. KC showed that if you adjust the defensive scheme to commit to getting to him early he is nothing special. Tennessee's real problem is that this cinderella run may cost them in the long-term. Both Henry and Tannehill are free agents, and this late season run could pressure them into signing both with big contracts. In that case, I doubt we will see the Titans in the playoffs anytime soon.
  17. Tennessee had a true Cinderella run, but they were bound to come down to earth. Frank Clark was right, Henry is not that hard to tackle. KC showed this holding him to just 61 yards on 22 carries which is closer to Henry's career average then the past couple of games which were complete outliers. Without Henry playing out of his mind the rest of the team, Tannehill especially, looked pretty much average.
  18. FWD

    Tell me about ou

    What's going on this offseason?
  19. TCU won the Rose Bowl in 2011, too.
  20. It's a shame this game didn't happen last week, could have gotten the college gameday treatment and primetime timeslot for everyone to see it.
  21. Fun to see a group of Berkeley liberals march into the deep south and get the win. Some klan-robed heads exploding after that one.
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