Seasick Sailor

Only box wine and bud heavies for celebrations from here on out: This is what I did for WS Game 1 last year. Probably saved 10% over presale prices.

Here are Stanek's numbers compared to Abreu, Neris, and Montero. Seems clear that he should be the 4th option. Rk Name Year Age W L W-L% ERA G GS GF CG SHO SV IP H R ER HR BB IBB SO HBP BK WP BF ERA+ FIP WHIP H9 HR9 BB9 SO9 SO/W 1 Ryne Stanek 2022 30 2 1 .667 1.15 59 0 10 0 0 1 54.2 36 8 7 2 31 1 62 0 0 4 224 336 3.02 1.226 5.9 0.3 5.1 10.2 2.00 2 Bryan Abreu 2022 25 4 0 1.000 1.94 55 0 18 0 0 2 60.1 45 16 13 2 26 0 88 4 0 7 248 200 2.12 1.177 6.7 0.3 3.9 13.1 3 Rk Name Year Age W L W-L% ERA G GS GF CG SHO SV IP H R ER HR BB IBB SO HBP BK WP BF ERA+ FIP WHIP H9 HR9 BB9 SO9 SO/W 1 Ryne Stanek 2022 30 2 1 .667 1.15 59 0 10 0 0 1 54.2 36 8 7 2 31 1 62 0 0 4 224 336 3.02 1.226 5.9 0.3 5.1 10.2 2.00 2 Hector Neris 2022 33 6 4 .600 3.72 70 0 26 0 0 3 65.1 49 29 27 3 17 0 79 6 1 6 263 104 2.35 1.010 6.8 0.4 2.3 10.9 4. Rk Name Year Age W L W-L% ERA G GS GF CG SHO SV IP H R ER HR BB IBB SO HBP BK WP BF ERA+ FIP WHIP H9 HR9 BB9 SO9 SO/W 1 Ryne Stanek 2022 30 2 1 .667 1.15 59 0 10 0 0 1 54.2 36 8 7 2 31 1 62 0 0 4 224 336 3.02 1.226 5.9 0.3 5.1 10.2 2.00 2 Rafael Montero 2022 31 5 2 .714 2.37 71 0 25 0 0 14 68.1 47 22 18 3 23 2 73 2 0 1 270 163 2.64 1.024 6.2 0.4 3.0 9.6 3.1

His FIP, WHIP, and BB/9 ae all higher than his ERA would lead you to believe. The bullpen hasn't pitched a single inning where the game couldn't have turned on a single pitch aside from the middle innings of ALDS game 1, so it makes sense to me that you would avoid a guy who walks too many.

No Vasquez. No Mancini. No Hensley.

A couple things from the above: 1. If Vasquez can keep Framber in line, it would be shame to have him on the bench tonight. 2. We can't let Stanton beat us tonight. If I was Boone, I'd bat Stanton and Judge back-to-back.

Batter Pitcher PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR BB SO AVG OBP SLG Giancarlo Stanton (R) LF Framber Valdez (L) 8 8 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 .500 .500 1.000 Tim Locastro (R) N/A Framber Valdez (L) 2 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .500 .500 2.000 Christian Vazquez (R) N/A Luis Severino (R) 12 11 4 4 0 0 0 1 3 .364 .417 .364 Trey Mancini (R) N/A Luis Severino (R) 18 17 6 5 0 0 1 1 2 .353 .389 .529 Yordan Alvarez (L) DH Luis Severino (R) 5 3 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 .333 .600 .333 Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B Luis Severino (R) 23 21 7 5 2 0 0 2 2 .333 .391 .429 Aledmys Diaz (R) RF Luis Severino (R) 12 11 3 3 0 0 0 1 1 .273 .333 .273 Jose Altuve (R) 2B Luis Severino (R) 27 27 7 6 0 0 1 0 6 .259 .259 .370 Gleyber Torres (R) 2B Framber Valdez (L) 8 8 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 .250 .250 .625 Aaron Judge (R) CF Framber Valdez (L) 6 5 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 .200 .333 .200 Josh Donaldson (R) 3B Framber Valdez (L) 6 5 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 .200 .333 .200 Kyle Tucker (L) CF Luis Severino (R) 6 5 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 .200 .333 .800 Alex Bregman (R) 3B Luis Severino (R) 20 18 3 1 2 0 0 2 4 .167 .250 .278 Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) SS Framber Valdez (L) 14 14 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 .143 .143 .143 Martin Maldonado (R) C Luis Severino (R) 11 11 1 0 1 0 0 0 5 .091 .091 .182 Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B Framber Valdez (L) 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 .000 .333 .000 Jose Trevino (R) C Framber Valdez (L) 10 9 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 .000 .100 .000 J.J. Matijevic (L) N/A Luis Severino (R) 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 Mauricio Dubon (R) N/A Luis Severino (R) 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 Oswald Peraza (R) N/A Framber Valdez (L) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 David Hensley (R) N/A Luis Severino (R) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000

We should make a change at DH. This is what will probably happen. This is what should happen.

Perfect:

McTaggert confirms:

Counterpoint: we let him work it out and win the WS MVP a la 2017 Springer.

Have you seen Mancini’s ABs lately?

La MF’n Pina.

Bader is going to be the Kike Hernandez of this series. Hopefully he cools off in a similar fashion.

One of these days our liners to the right centerfield gap have to start falling, right?

At least he made solid contact.

Unless you pitch him on two days' rest in game 4, which there should be no need to do, or skip JV in game 5, the game 2 starter gets his second start of the series in game 6 on regular rest. I suppose we could pitch Framber on short rest in game 5 and pitch JV in game 6 on five day's rest, which would be in line with how we used him when we used a six-man rotation.

It is, but the game 2 starter shouldn't have to pitch on short rest at all. The schedule is 1, 2, off, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, so the game 2 starter would pitch game 6 on regular rest. JV has game 5, so why would the game 2 starter's ability to pitch on short rest matter?

Wouldn't this mean he should start game 3: