Russia DOES intent to take all of Ukraine-- not just for land resources, but also naturalization of its people and technology
The war of attrition which the Biden admin aided to has already permanently damaged Russia's economy to a wartime mode and it can't return to a peaceful productivity- sanctions and trading partner relationships are toast.
China is absolutely in-tune with what Trump's admin will support and very well may make a move on Taiwan during his term. The time is almost now.
Trump's attempts to broker peace will be ignored by Zelenskyy and perhaps even NATO allies. Putin will take the bait (wink wink) if it leads to reduced sanctions and his opportunity to stabilize his economy while allowing the military to recover- then they push westward again.
Potential wildcards:
Trump's admin is properly briefed on the greater details of our conflict and take a hard line at his peace brokering deal. If, in fact, he is ignored or denied, then perhaps Trump ramps up military supply in a 'go get your shinebox' type response.
Trump is influenced to continue aid because the military-complex checks are too good to ignore. The Northrop Grummans, Boeings, Raytheons, and Indiana munitions factories won't be so happy about winding down production when they had greater support from the Biden admin
NATO steps up to steer conversations in our absence; watch for Macron's advising
Erdoğan inserts himself (as we all knew he would) among the peace talks for his interests at a convenient time when the Caucuses fracture more and look to him for their protection