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Gravy Train

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by Gravy Train

  1. Anyone else seeing 60-90 DoM before the listing is removed, then later relisted at a similar or higher price? Sellers have a 5-month window to act (when cyclical buying activity peaks through summer break) and if they don't get the price they *need*, it's often easier to park the property or rent it out if it's being floated on a 2.89% 30-year mortgage. Better price indicators have been noted from homebuilders recently, where, in some markets, it's more cost effective to build than to buy an established SFH.
  2. Fair to assume Cam Williams will return, allowing Goosby to backup? The Peach Bowl seemed to fatigue a number of players, while Ohio State played a clean and quick Rose Bowl game. I'm hoping there's enough rest for those who need it.
  3. Crazy to think Ed Orgeron's raging boner pills offered Freeman the opportunity to take the reigns at Notre Dame. Now we know who was holding the Irish back all those years.
  4. Looked like Karl Kirby Junior Junior. Hope it's Kirby next.
  5. I'm with you but detest Arlington and ATT. Need to see the BO&W show up though
  6. Well good for them because they fucied up a whole lot of missed holds and ball spots to convert third downs in regulation.
  7. Gravy Train

    Landman

    The windmill farms track for that locale but we haven't seen the Olney cattle ranches or their orange/red dirt. Apparently Sheridan's home ranch is outside of Weatherford and he likes to shoot in their town, while the landscapes are somewhere nearby in Young County.
  8. "Higher for longer" can go fuck themselves. The market will remain dead as long as the forces of affordability remain high, relative to income: high price plus high cost of capital. The Median Multiple between 1990-2002 plateaued at a level between 3.5x-4.0x, where 3.0 and under is considered affordable, and 3.1 to 4.0 is mildly unaffordable. Today, that figure is trending close to 6.0 or worse in many markets. Inventory in many markets has returned to 4 month averages, with 1/4 of the top 200 DMAs now returning to 2019-era inventories, and the NAR is marking down 2024 as its worst year in sales volume since 2008: Homebuilders are fucked too-- they've posted more new, unsold inventory than any time since 2009. They're running out of land near our largest employment centers at a time when enterprise executives and political incumbents are enforcing RTO policies, most of which seem to be leveraged RIF functions and do not offer relocation expense. I don't know how this trainwreck ends, but price, the US10Y, and wages seem to be immovable objects, and the average homebuyer is already broke and can't afford another dollar in their monthly coupon or rent check.
  9. Nice post, Eddie, that video was suggested to me in my feed, then I noticed you posted it here. Part two will undoubtedly explore the "absurd" coupon codes of 30% off and retailers who have been impacted by not participating in PayPal Honey. This invokes a number of questions, including merchants sharing coupon codes and E-commerce platforms like Shopify. Not surprised by the referral link stealing scheme. Can't believe PayPal spent $4B on a fucking browser extension.
  10. I've been hooked on Curra's Oaxaca's blend for nearly a decade and make a point to pick up two pounds of their whole bean every visit I make to Austin. It's my go-to for the drip maker, on rotation with La Colombe Nizza. Intelligentsia's Black Cat Espresso is in the Breville Barista at the moment.
  11. Rare Books, inside J Theodore? Good bar program and they're happy to share allocateds. Possibly the easiest (and most reasonable) place to get a pour of Weller 12.
  12. Sounds like you need some Google Pixel in your life-- Samsung hardware underneath, no bloated launcher on top, nor a bunch of redundant brand-only apps locked into their ecosystem, and best of all, better dedication to system updates.
  13. Surprising-- what were the CELs for? I'd like to think you previously logged 30K miles of aftermarket-tuned V8 power without a hiccup. Hold on to that 2021 Landcruiser, it's the last of the solid and reliable Japan assembled examples.
  14. It's still slow, but makes all the right noises and is easy to care for. I can appreciate coveting one of the last GS-Fs (the last attractive sedan Lexus made), then moving on to the IS 500. Analog experiences (with a warranty) are quickly becoming extinct.
  15. UGA sits on their gimpy QB's hands until ND, and if they get through them, they play one of Penn State or Boise State, either of which can be shut down by the run. That could have been us but Steve fucked it up.
  16. Cot dam, give me some of whatever you're drinking, because I sorta lost interest after the SEC CCG. There may have been 11 different ways to win that game, take home SEC hardware in the first year, and enjoy the easier path through to the CFP, but no, he lost to another pudgy dipshit in a visor. UGA's path is cakewalk and one we should be enjoying. Now, it'll be hilarious to see them bounced by ND, but our side of the bracket gets too spicy after ASU. All that's left is to execute Shock & Awe from here on out, and I need some help with that motivation. EDIT: Fuck y'all's negs, go donate to NIL or Burnt Ends and watch a fucking football game.
  17. Speaking of Colorado and EVs, how about a nearly-free Fiat 500e lease? https://www.lhmchryslerdodgeramfiatdenver.com/fiat-offer.htm TFL did a video about it-- For CO residents, it's about $1,400 in taxes for a 27 month lease with a 10K/yr mile allowance. 2024 Fiat 500e$0 Down$0 per month 27-Month One Pay LeaseTaxes due at delivery. No other drive-off payment required!No Payments required during the full term of the lease!
  18. I bitched out and bought a Rivian R1T Quad instead. With 835hp / 900ft-#, it's a hoot to drive, but I clearly did this backwards as I'm not yet in Colorado to enjoy the EV benefit. Still Colorado dreaming though, shitty as the RE market and 10-year treasury seems to be. Jealous your project is likely underway. Hope the SQ8 is treating you well, I still have my S6 and don't know what to do with it, but a part of me wants to replace that with a C7 GrandSport 7MT; the car we should have all picked up in 2019 when GM was hurting, slashing dealer incentives to $55K OTD with a 0% note.
  19. I'll continue to clown on them because the brand established its reliability reputation by rehashing old technology for decades... but I've beaten that topic to the ground in here before. Now that they've been forced to modernize, let's see if that recognition remains. The one halo car they built was delivered a full decade late and released at a time when it was compared to the Porsche Carerra GT. A decade later, anything resembling "sports" from the brand was one they contracted through Subaru or BMW. When every nameplate in their catalog is outperformed, better featured, or follows a more uniform design language, I'll say Toyota no longer builds cars for people who are passionate about them.
  20. It's the stereotype of the typical elder Toyota/Lexus owner, especially if they've owned several generations of those vehicles. They may follow the manufacturer's recommended maintenance intervals, but stretching a turbo-4 to 10K intervals isn't ideal. Only recently has Toyota modernized their powertrains, where most were NA, combination port/DI, and could go the distance on longer oil change intervals. I'm not convinced TM has fully "kaizened" all of these new lines, with the rough start they got on the Tundra/Sequoia/LX600 and Tacoma, for metal shavings discovered in engines to failing transmissions and broken aluminum front diffs. Lastly, I find Toyota owners are the types who don't actually care about cars. Searching for the Jay Leno quote on that one.
  21. Well, blacking EVERYTHING out doesn't exactly help to determine WTF model it is (or what the wheels look like) from a distance greater than 10'. I like some contrasting features of my car.
  22. The only new Lexus models that retain their 5-liter, VVTi V8 are the LC500 and IS500. Everything else is some combination of their 2.4L DI, turbo-4 and hybrid powertrain. Further, Lexus is endorsing 7,500-10,000 mi oil change intervals (synthetic) on these engines. I wouldn't feel comfortable about buying any used Lexus unless the owner was a fanatic about the car.
  23. Gravy Train

    Landman

    Something briefly noted in ep 6, when Angela is speaking with Victor's family law attorney before signing the decree:
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