Ok so he starts to win at some point or he doesn't. To me, the answer is pretty obvious, he doesn't. The road out of the SEC West is going through Alabama until Saban hangs it up and even then have they ever been the 2nd best team in the West under Jimbo outside of the Covid season?
So, he's not ever winning there, as in the SEC or the CFP. At what dollar amount would they actually buy him out? 50 million? Per a tweet I saw the buy out doesn't even get to 50 until 2027. I don't seem them tolerating 4th or 5th in the SEC West for 5 more years. So what happens?
They could just fuck him the way Tech did Leach right? I have no idea but if sovereign immunity can apply to Tech it seems like it could apply to aggy as well. There's obviously a huge downside to that because what top of market value HC would ever agree to coach there after that? So I don't think that happens.
But what about drumming up some bullshit that would enable them to fire him for cause? Hang that over his head then pay him a fraction of what he has left on his deal to move on. That last scenario seems most likely to me. No way do I see him finishing his contract there and no way do I see him being given 50M+ to leave.