Definitely going to have to now.
I think--even with how many of us actually ARE former reliable R voters--we all recognize that this is a bubble. And being educated and not having to live paycheck to paycheck is another bubble. The talks of a Kamala blowout were always hopium, but I felt the pollsters essentially predicting a coin flip were right on. I would have had to consume something to the right of Fox News to think that this reality was even a slight possibility.
I'd wager that over 75% of my closest friends, family, and co-workers probably voted for Trump yesterday. Most educated and well-off themselves. So I'm not totally insular, and I obviously know Trump voters who aren't dumb, conspiracy-theorist nutjobs.
While it would be easy to say, "Oh, it's just because, at the end of the day, people vote with their wallets no matter who that person is." But I feel like there's more to it than that to get this many non-traditional MAGA votes aligned on the side of someone who sounds absolutely batshit crazy every time he opens his mouth. So I am now out of touch with the majority of the electorate.
Anecdotally, the transgender stuff probably made a bigger impact than expected. Yes, on the extremes, the GOP went to full-on transphobia and told hateful lies about surgeries in schools, litter boxes, and literally and girl who looked too masculine. But I know many parents with more reasonable concerns--unfounded or otherwise--and the Dems certainly didn't do much to reach out to quell those fears in a rapidly changing world.