For those of you worrying, if you notice the polls haven't really changed at all for the swing states in the past month. For real polls of different samples with margins of error built in that aren't weighted, that wouldn't happen. You'd see some swings back and forth. They're weighting the polls because they're terrified of missing Trump voters like they did in 2016 and 2020. We have no idea how much they're weighting, but I bet it's pretty substantial. Everyone just thinks it should be about a coinflip race so the pollsters tweak R share of the electorate, predicted turnout in Philly, etc. to get a poll that's almost 50/50. But they've been missing to the right in every race and ballot measure since Dobbs and this new weighting only compounds that error.
Does anyone seriously think Trump has any real advantages or has done anything in the last month to help himself? He's way underwater in approval and his VP is even worse. They're trailing in enthusiasm. His campaign has no fucking money or GOTV. Trump is falling apart on the campaign trail. Even their "advantage" with billionaire donors trying to make up for his campaign's cash and GOTV deficiencies is an incompetent clownshow operation that's easy to ratfuck by having Dems sign Elon's petition, etc. They're literally not doing anything right. The open fascism is a desperate attempt to re-energize their base, but it's not working because Trump doesn't have the juice any more and that shit turns off more voters than it brings in.
Vote and make sure your friends who aren't Republicans vote and we'll beat these fucking losers, just like they did earlier this year in France and the UK. We can't let the fucking French be better at antifascism than us.