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wildcat09

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by wildcat09

  1. For those of you worrying, if you notice the polls haven't really changed at all for the swing states in the past month. For real polls of different samples with margins of error built in that aren't weighted, that wouldn't happen. You'd see some swings back and forth. They're weighting the polls because they're terrified of missing Trump voters like they did in 2016 and 2020. We have no idea how much they're weighting, but I bet it's pretty substantial. Everyone just thinks it should be about a coinflip race so the pollsters tweak R share of the electorate, predicted turnout in Philly, etc. to get a poll that's almost 50/50. But they've been missing to the right in every race and ballot measure since Dobbs and this new weighting only compounds that error. Does anyone seriously think Trump has any real advantages or has done anything in the last month to help himself? He's way underwater in approval and his VP is even worse. They're trailing in enthusiasm. His campaign has no fucking money or GOTV. Trump is falling apart on the campaign trail. Even their "advantage" with billionaire donors trying to make up for his campaign's cash and GOTV deficiencies is an incompetent clownshow operation that's easy to ratfuck by having Dems sign Elon's petition, etc. They're literally not doing anything right. The open fascism is a desperate attempt to re-energize their base, but it's not working because Trump doesn't have the juice any more and that shit turns off more voters than it brings in. Vote and make sure your friends who aren't Republicans vote and we'll beat these fucking losers, just like they did earlier this year in France and the UK. We can't let the fucking French be better at antifascism than us.
  2. No. Some billionaires placed some big bets to move the line, that's all that is.
  3. This would just be an open license for men to murder their girlfriends/wives. This guy doesn't deserve to live.
  4. NowThis?
  5. Works now. Thanks.
  6. It's not even really about his mental fitness. It's just more "Trump likes to go off script and it doesn't help him" shit.
  7. Hah, what a waste. A Trump-supporting Haley isn't winning any women voters back. She appeals more to business conservative men who are still leaning Trump but don't love his behavior so MIGHT stay home or leave that race blank. I don't think that's a large enough bloc to sway things in any swing state.
  8. It's some dumbass Dem consultant shit. They obviously believe that because it didn't seem to matter to independents in a couple of polls months ago there's no value in using it. But it likely didn't matter to independents in a couple of polls months ago because they didn't know shit about it and hadn't started paying attention, but it could become a bigger issue with them now if she actually talked about it a lot.
  9. I'm getting a 503 error in Safari on iphone. Chrome on desktop works fine.
  10. I can't wait to see what insanely stupid scheme this is a part of.
  11. The enthusiasm gap is clear, their ground game sucks, ours is good, and Trump is visibly dying in front of the world every time he appears in public. You hate to see it.
  12. Sometimes I think Helo has to be a guy doing a bit, but if so he's incredibly committed to it and you gotta remember that there are in fact a lot of guys who are just like that in this world.
  13. I personally am delighted when the GOP candidates start literally sounding like fatty.
  14. Musk didn't do shit at PayPal except nearly fuck it all up and get forced out by people who realized he was fucking it all up.
  15. People saying "he won't do it" have a very confused view about how fascism works.
  16. And who wrote the forward for Project 2025?
  17. If you want to credit Elon for Tesla's growth you kind of have to acknowledge that much of that growth was only possible because of pretty rampant fraud by Elon.
  18. I think what's most annoying about this type of propaganda is just how fucking lazy it is.
  19. The reporter who broke that story got blown up. Others understandably got pretty quiet about it.
  20. wildcat09

    A Jew

    Yeah, uh, this is probably all bullshit:
  21. Brought to you by the same poster who used to post James O'Keefe as gospel.
  22. My favorite was the Uranian One conspiracy.
  23. Anyone presenting anything Chris Rufo says as the truth about anything should have a guardian legally assigned to manage their affairs.
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