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wildcat09

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by wildcat09

  1. Oh, you're a legitimately insane person. I'm sorry.
  2. Oh yeah, I'm sure the guy who is running as a dictator and who can wield his supporters to launch infinite death threats against anyone they hate will have a ton of trouble getting GOP Senators to go along with whatever he tells them to do.
  3. There's virtually no scenario in which Trump wins the White House and the GOP doesn't also take the House and Senate.
  4. A lot of posters who spent the last 3.5 years convincing themselves another Trump term isn't possible finally woke up last night. That's all this is.
  5. And it wouldn't have mattered because the debates don't matter. If anything, the way Pete would've crushed him would've probably gotten Trump more support from white blue collar workers who would've thought Pete was a smarmy elitist gayboy they would never vote for. Median voters and the people who post in the CR have zero in common. It's two completely separate circles. They're basically aliens to us and we to them. The shit that panics political sickos often doesn't matter one bit to median voters and we're usually really fucking wrong about the things we think make a good political candidate. It's basically the same race today as it was on Wednesday.
  6. Yeah, tons of people thought he was too old in 2020. There's a whole lot of revisionist history going on up in here. I'd bet good money that more than 90% of the posters freaking out right now thought to an absolute certainty after 1/6 that Trump wouldn't run again and that if he did he wouldn't be the nominee. I bet all of you thought DeSantis would crush him.
  7. Well there IS an amendment saying Trump is ineligible and SCOTUS read it and did the Westworld “doesn’t look like anything to me” so maybe there’s a chance!
  8. And I could see Sydney Sweeney and Rachel McAdams approaching me this afternoon for a threesome. Jesus Christ people, how do you think black women, the actual fucking Democratic base voters, would react to a black woman VP being tossed overboard for a white man?
  9. A bunch of otherwise smart people are being extremely fucking stupid about this because they think politics works like it does on tv shows. They’re manifesting Trump’s own brain disease.
  10. Assuming he holds everything else he won in 2020, that'd give him 272.
  11. Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia. Man, I'm the optimist on the board tonight but "SHOW ME WHERE TRUMP FLIPS?!" has been and is still very silly. He is more likely than not to flip all three of those right now.
  12. Because Biden has some comms strategists he needs to fire tomorrow. They didn't tank this, he genuinely did badly. But it's recoverable.
  13. They know marketing. Dems are policy wonk dorks who don't know fuck all about it.
  14. In all seriousness they shouldn't bother trying to prep Biden with a bunch of data none of the viewers give a shit about. He's clearly most comfortable attacking Trump. Just let him do that 100% of the time. The fact that the Dem campaigners and consulting class still thinks they need to prep for a debate on the issues is a huge part of the fucking problem with the party.
  15. I didn't watch but have seen the lowlights. He needs to do better. What y'all don't get though is that there is no conceivable scenario short of him dying in which replacing him improves the Democratic nominee's chance of beating Trump. It's not just some unexamined religious belief that a party shouldn't replace an incumbent nominee, even a very weak one. The Democratic coalition is a very broad coalition that is always fraying at the edges and Biden is still the nominee that it is overwhelmingly most comfortable agreeing on. He has a solid campaign that has ongoing operations, networking, fundraising, etc. It's not simply a case of someone else stepping in and taking over. If the party "elites" step in and replace him with someone else the entire coalition shatters. It might've been possible had he announced before the primaries that he wouldn't run again. It's not now.
  16. Good. She's fucking wrong about the Democrats every election and she lost her seat to fucking Josh Hawley because she's a shit politician. She's the fucking BrandingIron13-0 of the Democratic party and they should at all times do the exact opposite of what she's saying. I'd be fucking terrified right now if she were saying she thinks Biden is still fit.
  17. You people have got to stop pretending this shit is a tv show. There is no conceivable world where the entire party gets Biden and Kamala to step aside for another candidate and unites behind that candidate.
  18. Holy shit. I'd completely forgotten Ewing played for the Magic.
  19. It's going to be so funny when he doesn't have a cold and sounds like 10% better for the next debate and all of you are like "WHERE WAS THIS JOE LAST TIME!?" The debates haven't mattered in decades. The overwhelming majority of the people who watched tonight are political sickos who already know who they're voting for. Sure Trump will run clips of Biden looking bad. People whining about that are ignoring that there will also be lots of clips of Trump looking bad too. Unless he dies between now and November he isn't getting replaced because that'd be much fucking worse for Dem chances in November than running Joe out there with a visible puppeteer.
  20. Do you people even listen to yourselves? If Biden had crushed Trump he might’ve picked up 1-4% in polls. Jesus, it’s like y’all have never seen a presidential election in modern America before.
  21. Ehhh…there’s a few guys in here who’ve repeatedly said (dozens to hundreds of times) he has no chance. I’ve been yelling at them to stop being stupid for nearly four years but somehow that hasn’t worked.
  22. What’d you think going in to 2022 elections?
  23. This. The one good thing about the voting public’s short memory is that this will be forgotten in a couple of weeks. Those of you wishcasting some west wing convention scene where Biden steps aside for a new candidate who is immediately popular and whom the entire party supports aren’t living in reality.
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