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horncyclist

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Everything posted by horncyclist

  1. Your fake news! and You're fake news! You're all fake news! These guys should all hang.
  2. So you have two major international crises, your former personal lawyer testifying before Congress that you committed multiple crimes while in office, and you're planning to spend the day sucking off a North Korean Dictator. Just another day in the life of Trump. Make no mistake, this shit happening with India and Pakistan nuclear armed to the gils is absolutely terrifying. Now, consider that Trump is president.
  3. He sent out one the other night with the subject "Some exciting news." And I thought, "great he's declaring." And it was that he had won El Pasoan of the Year."
  4. If it's pretty much a straight wealth transfer that will largely be spent, you'd probably see a net stimulus effect on the economy.
  5. Hey guys, what's going on in here? Any very cool new candidates today?
  6. 2019 appears to be a typo. Says 2018 in the memo text. No new indictments yesterday.
  7. Feb 22, 2019 Superseding Indictment. Did I miss something?
  8. That's my point. I think Beto will be able to excite the left, young people especially, without taking extreme left positions. I don't know. We'll see. Regardless of how centrist the candidate is, the republicans will label them an extreme-left socialist. Klobuchar, or should I say Comrade Klobuchar, included.
  9. I think Beto could appeal to moderates while exciting the left. He did it in Texas. Ready for him to jump in.
  10. I understand it as it's an opt-in. "If you like your welfare, you can keep your welfare." So yeah, someone getting $1300 in benefits could keep getting the benefits instead of opting to take UBI. Someone getting $500 in benefits, could take UBI and just get $1000/month and no benefits. I think overtime you would see less reliance on the traditional safety net benefits as people going through hard times would just stick with UBI rather than deal with stigma of added benefits. Anyway, the details would obviously be sorted out. I think the biggest contribution Yang is making is "look, we've got a huge fucking problem coming and we need seemingly radical solutions to deal with it." While I think there's a chance over a generation or two the economy adapts back to full employment, in the short term you're going to have a ton of people without a way to earn an income who formerly worked for an income. It's going to be a huge mess at a time when GDP continues to soar. You can't have millions of people suddenly impoverished. I think his prediction of riots is dead on, though the riots might take different form than outward violence such as skyrocketing suicide, drug addiction, domestic violence etc. This isn't going to go well.
  11. I think the idea is for a portion already receiving assistance, UBI could replace that assistance. I think part of his plan would be that the safety net would be replaced with the $1000 guaranteed income over time, saving in administrative costs. Milton Friedman supported this kind of welfare. The other potential criticism, which he discusses, is you would have really wealthy people also opting into UBI because he doesn't want a free $1000. His plan, as designed, is kind of regressive in that way. I think that's justified by the universal principle of the idea. It's guaranteed to everyone, because you're a citizen of the US. It's your dividend for being part of our society. I'm not saying his idea is perfect, but I like that he at least has some foresight with his policy priorities. Even if you believe the economy will eventually adapt to replace the jobs lost through automatization, it's not going to happen over night or in many's lifetimes. And a large segment of workers will never be able to transition. A 55 year old truck driver with a high school degree or GED is not going to go back to school to become a coder to program the self-driving truck. It's just not going to happen. His son or daughter might, but he won't. What do you in the mean time? This is what happened with manufacturing and coal, and instead of thought-out policy to address it, we got opioids and Trump. Yang offers UBI as a solution to soften the transition during this next transformation and avoid the same pitfalls.
  12. So what should be the burden of proof when the President is a suspected Russian agent? Obviously any criminal prosecutions require beyond a reasonable doubt, but if there are impeachment proceedings, it's left up to the individual senators. Should the standard be that normally given to a criminal defendant by our constitution? Preponderance standard used in civil cases? Mueller may be reluctant to make conclusions about the broader conspiracy because he's judging it by whether they could prove it beyond a reasonable doubt. I don't think that's how the Senators should look at it, but inevitably, republicans will use Mueller's lack of conclusion as an exoneration.
  13. Eh, he'll make the most of the 20 seconds and everyone will be in the same boat. Of the long shot candidates, I think he and Buttigieg will definitely make some waves. Autonomization is going to be a huge disruptor in the economy, and you need to have a plan to address it before truck drivers start committing mass suicide...or worse. Hopefully we have that discussion and it's easy to pair solutions with an appeal to people like former coal minors and manufacturing workers that got screwed when manufacturing was larger autnomized/off-shored. I also like the way Yang sells medicaid for all as benefiting small businesses by decoupling healthcare from employment. That's a huge drag for any employer, and isn't good for the employees anyway. I guess you could just shift to all individual markets, but that was part of Obamacare and look what republicans did to that. UBI and guaranteed medical care would make it a ton easier for people to take risks, which is what we want.
  14. I got the impression he's thought through things a lot more than you gave him credit for.
  15. Did you listen to the podcast?
  16. Eh, this is all about name recognition and the top two in that regard-- Biden and Warren-- are seriously flawed candidates and unlikely to be the nominee in my opinion. Hopefully the dems put forward a strong candidate without much baggage. I think it could be a historic landslide if Trump somehow makes it to 2020.
  17. Has he made any public statement about the national emergency declaration? Nothing on twitter, his Senate website or in a google news search. His hypocrisy and cowardice is incredible. Can't believe Texas chose this guy over Beto.
  18. I've been talking to people about Yang and his ideas quite a bit after seeing this. It occurred to me in listening to this that we're not only not addressing the real problems, but our way of digesting and analyzing policy publicly is outdated. I'm skeptical he gets anywhere, but no one could have foreseen Sanders' rise at this stage in 2016 either. I could see him catching on with a lot of young people. Honestly, the first declared candidate that I've been truly excited listing to this cycle.
  19. And yet, complete silence against subversion of the constitution by President Trump. This guy is garbage. Poor Texas.
  20. Surprised he can still afford Dr. Sebastian Gorka, PhD as his personal assistant considering all the asset forfeitures.
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