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horncyclist

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Everything posted by horncyclist

  1. I think the idea is for a portion already receiving assistance, UBI could replace that assistance. I think part of his plan would be that the safety net would be replaced with the $1000 guaranteed income over time, saving in administrative costs. Milton Friedman supported this kind of welfare. The other potential criticism, which he discusses, is you would have really wealthy people also opting into UBI because he doesn't want a free $1000. His plan, as designed, is kind of regressive in that way. I think that's justified by the universal principle of the idea. It's guaranteed to everyone, because you're a citizen of the US. It's your dividend for being part of our society. I'm not saying his idea is perfect, but I like that he at least has some foresight with his policy priorities. Even if you believe the economy will eventually adapt to replace the jobs lost through automatization, it's not going to happen over night or in many's lifetimes. And a large segment of workers will never be able to transition. A 55 year old truck driver with a high school degree or GED is not going to go back to school to become a coder to program the self-driving truck. It's just not going to happen. His son or daughter might, but he won't. What do you in the mean time? This is what happened with manufacturing and coal, and instead of thought-out policy to address it, we got opioids and Trump. Yang offers UBI as a solution to soften the transition during this next transformation and avoid the same pitfalls.
  2. So what should be the burden of proof when the President is a suspected Russian agent? Obviously any criminal prosecutions require beyond a reasonable doubt, but if there are impeachment proceedings, it's left up to the individual senators. Should the standard be that normally given to a criminal defendant by our constitution? Preponderance standard used in civil cases? Mueller may be reluctant to make conclusions about the broader conspiracy because he's judging it by whether they could prove it beyond a reasonable doubt. I don't think that's how the Senators should look at it, but inevitably, republicans will use Mueller's lack of conclusion as an exoneration.
  3. Eh, he'll make the most of the 20 seconds and everyone will be in the same boat. Of the long shot candidates, I think he and Buttigieg will definitely make some waves. Autonomization is going to be a huge disruptor in the economy, and you need to have a plan to address it before truck drivers start committing mass suicide...or worse. Hopefully we have that discussion and it's easy to pair solutions with an appeal to people like former coal minors and manufacturing workers that got screwed when manufacturing was larger autnomized/off-shored. I also like the way Yang sells medicaid for all as benefiting small businesses by decoupling healthcare from employment. That's a huge drag for any employer, and isn't good for the employees anyway. I guess you could just shift to all individual markets, but that was part of Obamacare and look what republicans did to that. UBI and guaranteed medical care would make it a ton easier for people to take risks, which is what we want.
  4. Isn't it states not cities?
  5. I got the impression he's thought through things a lot more than you gave him credit for.
  6. Did you listen to the podcast?
  7. Eh, this is all about name recognition and the top two in that regard-- Biden and Warren-- are seriously flawed candidates and unlikely to be the nominee in my opinion. Hopefully the dems put forward a strong candidate without much baggage. I think it could be a historic landslide if Trump somehow makes it to 2020.
  8. Has he made any public statement about the national emergency declaration? Nothing on twitter, his Senate website or in a google news search. His hypocrisy and cowardice is incredible. Can't believe Texas chose this guy over Beto.
  9. I've been talking to people about Yang and his ideas quite a bit after seeing this. It occurred to me in listening to this that we're not only not addressing the real problems, but our way of digesting and analyzing policy publicly is outdated. I'm skeptical he gets anywhere, but no one could have foreseen Sanders' rise at this stage in 2016 either. I could see him catching on with a lot of young people. Honestly, the first declared candidate that I've been truly excited listing to this cycle.
  10. And yet, complete silence against subversion of the constitution by President Trump. This guy is garbage. Poor Texas.
  11. Surprised he can still afford Dr. Sebastian Gorka, PhD as his personal assistant considering all the asset forfeitures.
  12. Wow. You're a moron.
  13. Here's a good discussion of the legal issues with a national emergency declaration. It's not so obvious he would be ultimately blocked. https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/01/08/how-supreme-court-might-rule-if-trump-declares-an-emergency-his-wall/?utm_term=.9f577f9ce976 This may be one of those cases where you see justices taking weird positions because their desired political outcome differs from their legal views. They'll first look to the statute to see if it defines' national emergency. It apparently doesn't. If this counts as a national emergency, then it means Congress basically granted completely discretion to the President to determine whether it's a national emergency or not, which raises a lot of constitutional issues. It's going to be a mess and ultimately decided by the Supreme Court.
  14. I found an answer to my own question: http://theconversation.com/if-trump-declares-a-national-emergency-could-congress-or-the-courts-reverse-it-109752 So we're not talking about simple majorities for Congress to override. 2/3 would be difficult. This is all fucked up and dictator action. We'll see who actually believes in the constitution.
  15. I meant wouldn't Trump have to sign a national emergency override? Isn't it otherwise a Congressional veto?
  16. Doesn't trump have to sign it?
  17. Mark Kelly in in Arizona. Good candidate for dems. Hope McSally enjoys her 2 years in the Senate.
  18. Non-candidate Beto just happened to have Annie Leibovitz photographing him yesterday: https://www.elpasotimes.com/story/news/politics/2019/02/11/photographer-annie-leibovitz-spotted-beto-el-paso-rally/2843934002/ Really excited to see him run.
  19. Big night for Beto. First rally since losing to Cruz right? Head to Head with Trump. Lot of people watching and a strong issue for him. Excited to see him reappear in a big way.
  20. I'd say there's no way a shutdown happens again, but they seem to happen when each side thinks they can come out ahead politically. With the last one, it was clear to any objective observer-- including McConnel-- that Trump had a losing hand from the beginning. Trump's irrationality distorted things, and he went all in with a pair of twos. Here, I honestly think the politics have shifted a little bit and the pressure's on democrats to give in to avert a shutdown. They'd probably receive more of the blame this go around. With pressure from the bases of both sides, I wouldn't be surprised if we see a shutdown of a week or two, playing chicken up to the point where the consequences start setting in again. We'll see.
  21. This would be great. Let them live out their libertarian dreams in the shithole of the poor states plus Texas and Florida. You think South Americans caravans are a problem? Wait till you got a line of poor fucks from Oklahoma, Mississippi and other shitholes streaming over the border pissed off cause their wealth transfers from those liberal rich states get cut off. Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk
  22. You're not a smart man, are you? It must be painful to go through life that dumb. Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk
  23. This is more or less his first campaign event. That High School gonna be packed. Hopefully they're looking for bigger venues. https://twitter.com/BetoORourke/status/1094257285000581120?s=19 Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk
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