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horncyclist

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Everything posted by horncyclist

  1. I'm more to thinking Beto will head to Iowa. I like the idea of Governor or Lt Gov but that means sitting on the sidelines for 4 years. He has a good a shot as anyone in the crowded field and probably better than most. National profile, massive donor list, proven he can be competitive in red and purple states, retail politics style perfect fit for NH and Iowa. He would capture a lot of the Sanders support. I say go fo it. Seize the opportunity. Though I don't blame him if we wants to head back to Texas to just be a dad.
  2. Has Cornyn hinted at retiring at all? I don't think Beto could beat Cornyn but he could definitely take an open seat. I want him in the Senat too.
  3. Sounds like viewpoint censorship to me. This guy uses the constitution as toilet paper and the morons eat it up.
  4. Can we talk about MJ? Anyone know expected turnout in TX-31? CNN has her up 4K votes showing 60% estimated turnout, but their turnout estimates have been all screwy.
  5. What numbers are you watching? That'd be another nice silver lining to Beto's loss.
  6. ABC projects Dems win the house. Let's get those subpoenas printing.
  7. Yeah, I noticed that too. I expect it too tighten some. Cruz will probably win by 2% when the big urban counties come in. Beto got damn close.
  8. Going to be great when Trump has to resign because of Mueller and Ted goes back to full time Senator from running for President in Iowa. I'm still a Texan but glad I live in Northern Virginia right now.
  9. Do they make calls on exit polls? Beto has a lot of votes out there if the big cities follow the early voting margins.
  10. I'm not calling it for what it's worth. Neither is CNN. Regardless, Beto built a democratic party in Texas. Dems will win some congressional seats tonight because of him.
  11. Does seem early to call it.
  12. It seems like all of the Cruz counties are trickling in and the big Beto counties are on hold: Dallas, Travis, Harris, El Paso...
  13. I don't think we've seen any election day votes from either. I'm still puzzled by what the hell Nate Cohn was tweeting about.
  14. This isn't over yet. Cruz's lead is about 75K votes. Election day vote in Travis county alone makes that up.
  15. Lubbock county in. 66-33.5. 2016 was 66-28-4 (GJ). So basically Beto picked up the Gary Johnson voters there. Cruz takes a lead, but it's basically from election day totals coming in from smaller counties. I want to start seeing election day from Dallas/Travis/Harris/Bexar and El Paso.
  16. NYTimes seems behind. The CNN live update is better right now. Still not seeing a lot of election day. When does that from big cities and rural usually come in?
  17. There goes Montgomery County. Beto still up. Would like to see more of the election day tallies coming in. It looks like that's mostly only from tiny counties right now?
  18. I think the 70% is based on a turnout estimate. If the estimate is wrong, then the percentage doesn't mean much.
  19. Where are these numbers from?
  20. All that matters on a national level, with the Senate off the table, is House Judiciary subpoeana power. If I can get that and Beto, I will be happy.
  21. Turnout is huge there. And as far as Cruz catching up. I beleive what we've seen is the early vote come in for big counties first, followed by early vote plus from the rural counties. Plus Houston and El Paso outstanding. Anyone following this really closely know how Beto's doing against benchmarks? How's turnout estimates looking?
  22. We should see Harris at 8 pm?
  23. Wow. Something else to watch is the difference between Texas Governor and Senate. Those are basically the cross-over republicans.
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